A Breakdown of the Final 100

[flavum]

This one's for Caulfield...

 

Simple math, really. 100 games left. 50 home. 50 road. Need 87 wins for the second wildcard--that's my assumption right now, although the Mariners and Yankees are tied, on pace for 84 wins.

 

Here's what the Sox have left:

 

16 - Twins 10-6 (10 games at Target Field)

13 - Tigers 6-7

13 - Royals 7-6 (10 games at The Cell)

9 - Indians 5-4

7 - Blue Jays 4-3

7 - Mariners 4-3

6 - Orioles 3-3

5 - Angels 3-2

4 - Red Sox 2-2

4 - A's 2-2

4 - Giants 2-2

3 - Yankees 2-1

3 - Rays 2-1

3 - Astros 2-1

3 - Rangers 2-1

 

56-44, to finish 87-75.

 

Another way to look at it--

If they can squeeze 21 more starts out of Chris Sale, and the team goes 16-5 in those starts, they have to go 40-39 whenever somebody else pitches.

 

The keys-

Chris Sale's starts must be "Win Day"

Beat up the Twins

Stay away from sweeps