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Look at Ray Ray Run

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Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run

  1. Moncada and Anderson were both + on the bases last year, Madrigal is supposed to be a very smart base runner (he was in college), and Robert is TBD but he might be one of the three fastest players in baseball. Abreu is a tard on the bases for sure.
  2. The value of non-statistical variables isn't quantifiable and really shouldn't be much of a problem; unless you think that's worth some significant amount of money (it's not).
  3. the number is set; there is no arbiter process. Another team can then offer the max that is set, and the team can decide to match or not.
  4. This is an incredibly misleading and not really accurate number based on what should be accounted for in the revenue split. Don't even get me started on how shady some of these owners are with local TV revenues either. Also players used to get 60+%
  5. I think the Sox should rank higher, not lower.
  6. I posted a quote that you responded to in which he very clearly states they're going to use technology to determine when fatigue is setting in.
  7. Sure, they take a combination of a bunch of metrics (some trash and others not) and grade you vs your peers to determine your value. I'm simply replacing the slow moving arb process that scales poorly with a valuation progress that pays you what your worth once you hit year 3.
  8. Exactly, they already have a system to evaluate the value of a player that is used by all teams in arbitration. Taking away arbitration while using the same process in a RFA landscape would be a big win for younger players and a more fair way to pay players for their production.
  9. They already do it - it's called arbitration - so I'm not sure what you mean.
  10. I used WAR because it's a metric everyone understands; I'm sure baseball can come together and use a value level based on multiple factors. Most teams have their own proprietary valuation models, and baseball could easily come together to develop one in agreement with most. WAR was just a metric I used to push forward my concept. I actually like the RFA concept for a few years - it gets young players money faster than the scaling of arbitration, and it allows teams to protect themselves from losing their guys by paying them market value while not allowing others to greatly out bid the market just to steal a player from another team. If you don't want to pay your players market value by their 3rd year in the league, too bad so sad.
  11. They really shouldn't have to give up anything, given that ownership already agreed that Manipulation is against the rules.. It's defining what is manipulation that is the hurdle. The PA lost a CBA for the first time in a long time - they punished FA's as well as maintaining the punishment for young players. Arbitration should likely be done away with, and I think the league should move more towards a restricted free agent concept instead of arbitration... where a team has the right to match and maintain any young player in a R-FA concept. If you want to cap the salaries in R-FA to match the average salary of a player with a similar WAR or etc via the FA process, that would be fine with me as well. So when Moncada is set to become Arb eligible, he simply because RFA eligible. You take his previous two years WAR/Perceived Value, compare it to the FA market price for that value, set a ceiling on that value that matches the FA market, and then allow teams to match any other teams offer and retain that player.
  12. I imagine it will be difficult, but a comparison to peers could be a start. Prospect rankings compared to minor league level. Or you can simply push the date back far enough that a team who wants to manipulate time will be harming the team in the current year, and would force them to keep their top prospect down through, let's say, July 30th or something similar. Defining readiness will be a very big hurdle for the PA, as it is defined differently by everyone, but there are certainly ways that could force teams to call up prospects when they are ready.
  13. I think the way this organization is laid out now, and the way Paddy operates in general, it will always be quantity over perceived quality. Paddy would rather have 6 guys near the back end of the top 30 or into the 40-50 range than 2 guys near the top unless that guy is a generational talent like Robert.
  14. Haven't read through the thread, so apologies if this was discussed, but Bryant lost this grievance due to the ambiguity of "readiness" as laid out within the current CBA. Because it was not defined, and could be assumed to have multiple meanings, the arbiter is required by contract law to side and agree with any explanation of readiness or lack-there-of that is presented to them by the team. The only way in which a team could lose a grievance like this, is if they explicitly state that they held a player down to obtain another year of service. No team is ever going to say that, so until there is a new CBA in which "Readiness" is clearly defined and not ambigious, the arbiter is required to rule in the teams favor. Now one could argue that the team is not acting in good faith, but that lawsuit would take ages if brought by the PA and any resolution would be nearly impossible to monetarily define. The PA is just better off negotiating and defining it in the next CBA.
  15. Yeah, magical will have a much better OBP than I think most believe.
  16. 10th in power jajajajajaja I mean, I see regression, but going from the most prestigious HR hitting team in MLB history to the 10th best power team in one year, after adding Josh Donaldson, is really really stupid.
  17. I'm confused why the Mets are about the Twins; not us. The Twins being so low is baffling, and I'm one of those who isn't buying all-in on last year for the Twins, but 12th is still stupid low.
  18. Mazara is about average, and they have 4 guys who have 60-70 grade speed.
  19. Super confused how the Sox are 7th in speed. Also confused how the team #1 in lineup balance can rank so low. Also, how is it possible that one of the better offenses in MLB history is 12th while the NY Mets are third?
  20. Has anyone heard further info on the Field of Dreams game tickets? Would love to take my old man, and imagine I'll have to buy on the secondary market, but have no idea when they go on sale initially.
  21. The problem is that data really doesn't tell us anything, but for frequency; we don't have count knowledge for example - if they are banging on 0-2 or 1-2 and their OPS is 40 points higher than normal, it's still below average production but better than expected. There are a lot of variables that aren't accounted for in that generalist view; even citing raw home vs road splits takes out a lot of elements of competition and etc.
  22. This is wrong imo. Look at OPS by count - knowing a fastball is coming on 3-0 3-1 is a huge advantage for a batter. It's not a bigger advantage than steroids - that's absurd - but it's certainly a big advantage to know off speed or fastball. Timing and adjusting your hands and staying back are the toughest elements of hitting imo; although I could never hit a slider so I'm bias. The players who don't like to know are reaction hitters they're entire life and they're typically so gifted it doesnt matter.
  23. Everyone can hate dusty all they want, but he's well liked and thought of in baseball circles.
  24. Managers would be lining up around the block to take over that roster. None of them care about the GM.
  25. People think ricky will play yolmer a lot because ricky played him over alen hansen and some other bums. Pretty funny.
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