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Look at Ray Ray Run

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Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run

  1. Yes, but sadly in the financial world the people whom it does apply to have an inordinate amount of power and wealth regardless of results. The definition of success in big business has evolved so much in the past two decades - nearly all of the evolutions and changes have come at the expense of the vast majority of the working class. I will do much more work at my job today than I am likely to do in 10 years when my salary is 250% greater. That structure is broken in my opinion and I'll save the remainder of those thoughts to remain on topic.
  2. With his speed and hit profile, a normalized league average BABIP would be very surprising. He profiles with his speed and hit spread to be on the high end of BABIP outcomes.
  3. The participation trophy knock always cracks me up because it was actually the boomers who wouldnt stop crying that their kids didnt get a reward that created that culture. 10 year old kids were not demanding trophies. That said, the boomer generation also has had no issues giving absurdly big bonuses to countless executives who have driven companies into the ground... my favorite thing in my finance life is hearing the excuses for giving out these massive bonuses to executives at companies who are hemorrhaging money and cutting labor. Its comical and so widespread it hurts. That said, I agree with you that generalizations are poor and people should be judged individually. I just think the "millenials or lazy or privileged" cliche is absolutely absurd.
  4. It's the message board culture - you are much more likely to respond to a post you disagree with than one you agree with... why? Because it's pointless to reiterate someone elses point immediately after they presented it. On the other hand, discussions and knowledge gains tend to stem from disagreements. People feel more driven to respond to something they dont agree with. Theres nothing wrong with it, but its why it happens. People would rather tell you why they disagree or are upset with something than the opposite.
  5. They're paid to produce and give max effort, not to win. There is a massive difference.
  6. Players would likely never make the excuse you listed as they are some of the most competitive people on the planet. No player says yeah, we suck but we're not even trying to win! Dont confuse front office goals or plans with players goals and plans.
  7. You love Houston, and I understand why, but then you make the point that screwing over agents and players isnt a good long term plan. That is houstons issue, imo. They treat people soley as assets and openly admit that.
  8. A lot of pressure on Kop and Cease - I'm fearful the Sox may leave Hansen in a relief role. Missing out on Manny and Bryce could actually be a blessing in disguise IF the Sox use that money on pitching to supplement their ++ offensive future. The Sox need to prove that they'll spend the money first though obviously... before we can say the above and believe it. They should to out and give 190 million dollars to gerrit cole.
  9. I was confused how that wasnt around 500 feet. It was longer than Thomes black out game homer by like 40 feet. To clear that back drop has to 460 given the height of it.
  10. Ding ding. Players eat like shit because they're paid like shit... and they're kids. The elite players already have access to nutritionist and dietitians - Robert certainly does. Hes a kid though and being able to eat whatever you want is almost part of that age group and development. It's not very important at 22 but becomes important for staying healthy and etc as you enter your late and early 30s.
  11. Guys, how about baseball worries about paying minor leaguers a living wage before we worry about catering food to them year round? I like where your heads at, but starting with the basics (like a competitive wage) should be the main priority.
  12. High school pitching is, by far, the riskiest asset available in the MLB draft. FG had a publically available value on each prospect and high school pitchers have a horribly high bust rate.
  13. Have the Nats broadcast on and their booth thought it was just a mistake and he meant ball ha.
  14. And Juan Minaya, Viera, and Aaron Bummer would say they think too much... When the run disparity is as extreme as it is between MLB and the IL and PCL this year, all that matters is league runs. The best pitcher in the IL has an ERA of 3. The best pitcher in the MLB is under 2. The amount of runs scored in the league tells you how hard it is to prevent runs there. Good for Covey and Fulmer for being better there.
  15. Well, from a run prevention stand point it absolutely is. Maybe I have not defined my point well, and that's my fault, but it's harder to prevent runs in the IL and PCL this year than it is to prevent runs in the MLB. There are, overall, a lot more runs scored per game in those leagues. That means that ERA's in general are much higher, also meaning that allowing fewer runs is more difficult.
  16. The Sox may have another issue on their hand if he can prove the injury happened in the big leagues. Kopech injury occurred in a big league game. I imagine the Sox believe delmonico's did not. If nicky can prove it did then he should be on the MLB IL
  17. Being unable to DFA an injured player is a protection for the players.
  18. Yes, it was adderall lol. The story is hilarious as well.
  19. Pretty sure this is all 40 man people. I remember this happening with Tolleson prior and I believe he was in AAA.
  20. You've got about 20 more games in which you need to hope he slumps badly because if he gets to the midway point with an 850 ops, the confidence level of him finishing the year north of 800 is about 85%. Here is a list of exit velocity leaders: Batter Avg Exit Velocity (mph) Avg Distance (feet) Avg Gen Velocity (mph) Avg Launch Angle (deg) Avg Height (feet) Events Judge, Aaron 99.0 230.4 8.5 11.2 35.2 46 Gallo, Joey 97.6 259.2 10.1 19.5 59.8 88 Fisher, Derek 97.5 213.6 9.6 4.2 26.5 33 Cruz, Nelson 95.4 250.3 5.7 16.9 50.3 94 Bell, Josh 95.0 241.4 6.5 10.9 40.5 176 Yelich, Christian 94.8 233.0 5.8 11.1 43.8 161 Schwarber, Kyle 94.8 235.6 5.2 15.4 47.3 131 Devers, Rafael 94.5 214.3 6.3 8.7 34.9 183 Sanchez, Gary 94.3 260.7 6.1 20.9 66.3 113 Donaldson, Josh 94.2 227.9 5.2 12.1 43.1 130 Moncada, Yoan 94.0 232.7 5.7 11.4 37.7 166 Would you bet on anyone else on that list having a sub 800 OPS? I know I sure as hell wouldn't. Schwarber is the only one you could argue against. Moncada very clearly, with his contact authority, would be a very good be to ops more than 800 every year he continues to hit the ball this hard.
  21. I'm about 99% sure you can not DFA an injured player until he is taken off the IL.
  22. The year of control for relievers isnt as valuable because of their volatility. Colome has shown a track record of success while adjusting his stuff and role. Colome is also nearing the point in which his ERA and FIP variance can be tied to contact quality suppression. He does a lot of things well. I think Hand was overpaid for, Cleveland had soured on Mejia, to begin with and him being a lefty is his biggest advantage. I dont think I'd value one much higher than the other ROS.
  23. For the vast majority of pitching prospects, velocity peaks at a very young age (like 18-20). Adams ended up being one of those guys and he never developed any secondary stuff that was ++ when his fastball started to fade. Adam's was disappointing for sure - I was rather excited about his ceiling following his first minor league season.
  24. Yeah, but I also think the market has already begun to correct - meaning reliever rentals arent going to continue to be traded for top 30-40 prospects. Colome is probably worth a 75-100 guy to a team that's close though. The surplus value on trading an actual prospect for a reliever has never matched up.
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