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It's not even low! 1.7 is very good for a reliever, that's the funny part. But yeah, but yeah the other numbers are definitely terrifying, so I'm not sure it matters all that much.

The better break the bank regardless.

I’d be surprised if there weren’t calls on Leury. The cubs could sure use him for instance. Hes a lot harder to trade than Colome if you have any allusions of being good in 2020 though.

1000%

That’s fine. They don’t need to trade Colome for junk.

Ngl it’d be pretty hilarious if Thor spins a no no and is immediately traded

I’m totally fine with moncada not wanting to play on a tight hammy in 2019. We’ll talk next year if it continues to be a thing.

Could also be the team being super safe

Having Cordell and Engel on your 40 man roster is perfectly fine, even for a competitive team. Just as long as they're in the bottom ten.

Fangraphs won't like Colome because he doesn't strike any one out. BBRef loves him. And teams presumably have their own much more sophisticated forms of WAR that none of us have access to. Not a one of them is pulling up fangraphs before they make a trade.

Jay is the only buy below replacement level. Good lord he's bad on D.

You kind of have to consider the status of Robert and Madrigal as they give 3 - 6 weeks to determine who the bottom to guys on the 40 are as the seats are just being kept warm. Are they going to carry two guys knowing they are DFAing them after a couple weeks, or do they use the opportunity for competition.

His spin rates have been way up too. Velocity as well. Which is probably the real cause for what the article listed. He needed to make a change and actually appears to have over the break. Hope it continues.

You'se right, fixed it. That table obviously isn't enough to prove a conclusion, but it's an idea why people care about the stat.

Sure but then you're looking Wins Above Irredeemable Major Leaguer or something. Here's the top 15 teams last year for example, I just added a flat 48 to everyone. WAR Actual Exp 1 59.9 103 48 107.9 4.9 56.3 108 48 104.3 -3.7 51.3 100 48 99.3 -0.7 50.7 91 48 98.7 7.7 49.8 92 48 97.8 5.8 49 97 48 97 0 47.3 90 48 95.3 5.3 45 95 48 93 -2 40.7 90 48 88.7 -1.3 39.8 82 48 87.8 5.8 39.6 96 48 87.6 -8.4 36.6 91 48 84.6 -6.4 35.7 89 48 83.7 -5.3 34.9 80 48 82.9 2.9 34.1 82 48 82.1 0.1 They Brewers are the largest outlier, and it did feel that they over performed their true talent at least to me.

It's because you're supposed to at ~43.5 wins to the WAR total, as that's how many games you'd expect a 0 WAR team to win. The Sox were expected to get ~61 wins by bWAR last year, they got 62. Obviously it's still baseball and weird shit happens but it's almost always within +/- 10 wins and more often than not within 5.

Wow a lineup with 3 people that matter long term. Amazing how much progress they made since last week.

If this were true, than there'd be one version not 3. I'm not even hating on it, I'm big on the numbers, but saying there is zero subjectivity is not true. It's certainly not objective fact that RA9 is better than FIP or vice versa. Straight from the horses mouth: "There are hundreds of steps to make this calculation, and dozens of places where reasonable people can disagree on the best way to implement a particular part of the framework"

With facts and logic

Hasn't Elias been the GM for like 10 months?

1. To say there's nothing subjective isn't totally true, but the situation you laid out and the way it's scored doesn't make any difference to WAR. That play will be a knock on him in both instances. 2. I'm not even sure what your point is. 3. Use Wins Above Average then. What difference does it make what the baseline is. This is completely silly. And yes the 9th inning generally matters more than the first couple, but not necessarily more than the 8th or 7th.

Don't they have two or three more offspring in the pipe too? The still have Kacy Clemens right?

I wonder if this indicative of some org strategy to target blood, or if it's mostly just coincidence

Is Trey Mancini too bad in right to target?

He's worth a shot, but I'm not holding my breath he doesn't suck