Yup, you're not going to be able to force owners to pay aging guys a ton of money for what they did in the past again. The front line is going to be players in years 1-7
The group think needs to decide whether we want to win as many games as possible in 2019, or develop talent for the future most effectively. Because giving Jon Jay more ABs than anyone else is not good for the latter. I'm also not sold it the best option for the former either.
I'd go Moncada, Machado, Abreu, Eloy when the time came. I expect a significant drop in K's for Moncada if he's hitting ahead of those three instead of Yolmer and Avi
And obviously lineup limitations change the math, but on average a runner on first with 0 outs scores more often than one on second with 1 out who scores more often than a runner on 3rd with 2. Outs, in general, are almost always bad.
It's more like 10 times out of a hundred. Or the difference between a .200 hitter and .300 hitter. Last year Harper was on base almost 15 extra times out of 100. Nobody is saying a walk is better than a hit. It's not. It's just better than an out 99% of the time.
Teams that are on base more score more. Therefore they win more.
Let’s say hypothetically kris Bryant was a an FA last off-season and took a pillow deal for this year. He got hurt and wasn’t himself. Now it’s likely that next year he’ll go back to being kris Bryant, but nobody knows for sure and the contract will reflect that. He just cost himself 50-75 million dollars.
Its not a risk worth taking because he wanted to play somewhere that wasn’t interested.