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South Side Hit Men

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Everything posted by South Side Hit Men

  1. He's been on more teams (five) than he has service time years (four). He is a marginal 5th OF, decent platoon bat, poor glove and he's 30, that is why he is consistently DFAd.
  2. This is correct, WARP is typically more conservative with younger players, prudent overall due to the lack of performance track record. Players with an established record (performance, ability to play through a season healthy consistently), whereas younger players do not have an established record, take a few years to adjust to the grind of the season, and typically increase their ability and performance until they reach their peak age (26-28). It also doesn't include time not on the IL, such as Eloy who has already missed more games while not on the IL (4) than he has played (3, leaving the 3rd early), or time of such as when they gave Jose the series off vs. a formal IL stay. The Sox had key players out, but a much lower number of overall players out, which accounts for the Sox' lower position in terms of overall IL / WARP impact. Also, high impact players out for the entire season, such as Mike Clevenger or Justin Verlander, also impact the IL impacted WARP. fWAR lost by key players (2.0 + projected fWAR) YTD (Limited to current roster & Total IL days 10 +) New York Mets (10.5) : C. Carrasco 2.8 (2.8 X 120); N. Syndergaard 2.6 (2.6 X 122); J. DeGrom 1.3 (5.1 X 32); B. Nimmo 1.2 (2.5 X 60); M. Conforto 1.0 (3.3 X 37); J. McNeil 0.8 (3.0 X 35); F. Lindor 0.6 (5.1 X 15); P. Alonso 0.2 (2.6 X 12). Los Angeles Dodgers (9.1): C. Seager 2.8 (4.6 X 75); C. Bellinger 2.7 (5.4 X 61); D. May 1.6 (2.2 X 91); C. Kershaw 0.8 (3.4 X 28); M. Betts 0.5 (6.0 X 10); G. Lux 0.5 (2.4 X 23); M Muncy 0.2 (2.5 X 10). New York Yankees (7.9): L. Severino 2.7 (2.7 X 122); L. Voit 1.8 (2.6 X 86); A. Hicks 1.5 (2.4 X 77); C. Kluber 1.2 (2.1 X 67); A. Judge 0.4 (4.2 X 11); G. Stanton 0.3 (2.5 X 14). San Diego (6.5): M. Clevenger 3.0 (3.0 X 122); D. Lamet 1.4 (2.6 X 67); F. Tatis Jr 0.7 (4.4 X 19); T. Grisham 0.5 (2.4 X 27); B. Snell 0.3 (2.8 X 15); C. Paddack 0.3 (2.6 X 13); Y. Darvish 0.3 (3.1 X 10). White Sox: (6.1): L. Robert 2.4 (3.3 X 90); E. Jimenez 2.4 (2.5 X 116); Y. Grandal 0.8 (3.9 X 25); L. Lynn 0.3 (2.8 X 14); T. Anderson 0.2 (2.7 X 10). Data Used: Fan Graphs Preseason 2021 ZIPS Projections: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=zips The denominator used is 187 days (For example: Luis Robert's projected fWAR 3.3 was multiplied by IL days missed (90) divided by MLB days to date of 122) or 3.3 X (90/122) = 2.43 = 2.4.
  3. Baseball Prospectus has a solid tool and graphics to plot out player injuries and impact by projected WAR (for BP it is WARP). Here is the White Sox Graph for the season, with injuries color coded. Details regarding the injury are available when you hover over each player on the site, but I can't convert that here. Currently, the Oakland A's are the only team in baseball with less players (4) currently on the IL than the White Sox (6). This second chart is YTD projected WARP lost due to injury. As I tried to convey here earlier this year, the Mets have had a much larger injury impact, and if you look at the rest of MLB, the Sox have been fortunate, primarily due to the fact their rotation and nearly all relievers have remained healthy this season. YTD Projected WARP lost due to injury 9.6 New York Mets 8.3 Los Angeles Dodgers 7.0 San Diego 6.3 New York Yankees 6.1 Toronto 5.9 Arizona 5.8 Houston 5.6 Los Angeles Angels 5.5 Saint Louis 5.4 Tampa Bay 5.4 Washington 5.2 Atlanta 4.6 Cincinnati 4.6 Seattle 4.3 San Francisco 4.3 Minnesota 4.1 Milwaukee 3.8 Cleveland 3.7 Chicago White Sox
  4. Yes, and Lambert did a great job keeping it close despite not having great stuff. Sox lose if either don’t dig deep and give the team a tied game heading into Bummer, Kimbrel and Hendriks.
  5. Use your best pitchers in high leverage situations, good things happen.
  6. Bummer and Kimbrel really efficient (7 and 12 pitches). Hendriks not as (18), but you may still see him in the 10th, if necessary.
  7. Starting Pitching the reason on that front, was lights out until the Houston series, shaky since.
  8. Yes, the Sox’ schedule was softest in July. Thanks, makes sense. Series against bad teams: April (3): Kansas City; Texas, Detroit May (5): KC (twice); Minnesota (twice); Baltimore June (4): Detroit (twice); Pittsburgh; Minnesota July (5): Detroit; Minnesota (twice); Baltimore; Kansas City
  9. I’m pretty shocked July was the best month for the Sox offensively. OPS / Runs per game April .749 / 5.08 May .753 / 4.83 June .710 / 4.84 July .783 / 5.12
  10. He also said Jerry’s RSN is hot garbage. Jason doesn’t need to deal with this bullshit, can broadcast for professional sports networks and announce live from games.
  11. He’s better than Andy Mazur. Wish Len stayed on radio, but understand the arrangement, and satisfied he’ll announce 120 or so games on radio. Fear Benetti leaving for and Len is gone from radio for good.
  12. Gavin has options and Tony loves him a heavy helping of Jake “The Franchise” Lamb. It is addition by subtraction with Lamb and Robert replacing Goodwin and Sheets, Tony can’t continue to play Goodwin for his platoon obsession. Still stuck with Leury, who did not beat the play there.
  13. Reynaldo Lopez has been money this season, so glad he has been called up. THAT’S the way to make the bridge ornaments pay.
  14. Goodwin calls off Engel and missed it. I want him DFA’d when Robert returns, he is absolutely abysmal in the OF.
  15. The way to make them pay is coming through with hits, the Team keeps failing where it would hurt the opposition the most.
  16. Fans booing, but Sox need to score any way possible. Tonys out yelling.
  17. Another HR just foul. Really like what I’ve seen from Cesar this series.
  18. Hardly any Sox fans have enjoyed the past three series. Some have a longer term perspective, or at least do not fear a complete Sox collapse. Every team in baseball hits a rough patch at some point during the season.
  19. Padres have a good shot playing in the coin flip game against the Dodgers or Giants, and then the NL West Division winner in the Division series, the odds reflect the tougher road, IMO.
  20. True, but it's a marathon, at least until the playoffs, so the balance between Tony "focused on winning today" and the organization (including Tony) trying to prepare the team to hit their stride in late September for October is key. Really liking the Lambert start today, could care less if it may cost the team a win. With the odd season last year, and guys like Rodon nearing his innings pitch high over the past five seasons, it's important to make sure everyone, and fingers crossed Eloy, will be near or full strength in October.
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