mac9001

Meidroth had an average EV of 88.6 last year with a 34% hard hit rate (EV 95+). Colson was at 85.8 and 34.2% respectively. Difference between them is Meideoth hits everything on the ground or a line (thus high BABIP, low HR), while Colon his everything in the air (below avg BABIP, average HR rate). He has no issue making solid hard contact, he's just not putting it on the air and thus won't generate XBH. But with his plate discipline and ability to hit the ball hard on the ground he'll be able to maintain an above average batting avg and likely elite OBP (with minimal ISO). If he plays an avg 2B he'll have plenty of value, the floor is high enough where he'll have a long MLB career.

For those interested, every Tommy John since well...Tommy John: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1gQujXQQGOVNaiuwSN680Hq-FDVsCwvN-3AazykOBON0/htmlview?pli=1

For all the hate that Colas gets his overall offensive number were pretty comparable to Colon's.

There's something unique about Chase. He had an absurd 30% swing rate (lowest in bigs is Soto at 37%) and a microscopic 3.2% swinging strike rate. The dude doesn't swing the bat and when he does he pretty much always makes contact. The only reason he strikes out is because of the absurd amount of pitches he takes. His EV and hard hit rates were pretty comparable to Benintendi's. He'll probably be fine.

Honestly, watching Burke in AAA he started the year off very rusty. There was a very noticeable improvement in his command. He's likely always going to have above average walk rates, but his last 4-5 starts in AAA I don't think he had a single non-competitive AB where he just walked someone on 4/5 pitches. He has the stuff to make mistakes at the big league level, someone like Cannon had zero room for error, but Sean can just let a 98 MPH, 7+ extension, 18+ IVB rip over the plate and he's still going to get swings if its anywhere near the zone. That has some serious staying power when you have the stuff to widen your margin of error.

Davis seems too competent to end up back in Charlotte but I figure the odds of Burke being back in AAA have to be 60%+, Cannon 50%+, Smith back in the bullpen 50%+ and Wilson and Perez getting non-tendered 50%+.

Ironically if I had to pick which starter is the most likely to end up in back in AAA (or non-tendered) Burke would be at the top by a mile. But at the same time I don't see anything wrong with giving him the nod, its not like anyone else has earned it. Personally would have gone with Davis, but I'm more concerned with who's going last and I hope they keep Wilson in the pen and give Shane Smith a chance at starting.

Those sound like quotes from someone who thinks he's going under the knife.

Colon looks magnitudes better at short this year. Sliming down a bit has made a big difference.

If Martin pitches well (AS level well) I really hope they don't just take the best offer on the table for him. He has so much service time remaining you really don't lose any value holding him for a year or even two until someone just caves and blows you away on a offer. To assume our top pitching prospects all stay healthy would be foolish and trading away solid cost controlled pitching depth without significant surplus on a return is not going to age well.

Good chance Mason is shut down for a few months at a minimum even if they don't recommend TJS. Thus the probability of him getting any big league time just dropped to essentially zero.

Most of the recent bats acquired and some of our notable prospects that are likely at some point get ML at-bats do have above average walk rates. It's possible the walk rate for our hitters may actually improve notably from last year.

Taylor's curve was absolutely filthy today. He either threw it for a called strike or got a swing on miss on just about every curve thrown. The 99 mph fastball didn't really even play that much today. There at most a half dozen guys in all of minor league ball that have better stuff than him.

Not sure Wilson becomes much of a trade asset if you let him start.

It would be an absolute crime to not let him be our 5th starter right now. He looked fantastic today, the stuff is legit. I hate use spring training as the basis for evaluating a player, but it's beyond me how the Brewers let him unprotected. It's front end stuff or legit closer potential. I think he's now our 4th best pitching prospect.

As someone who experienced fairly chronic back issues in my early 20s I can say with absolute confidence a stretching and core workout routine completely changed my life. I'm about to turn 40 and it's been over 12 years since I last experienced severe back spasms and I continue to do a 3-4x per week stretching/core workout routine.

So Carela was optioned today. Does that mean if they put him in the 60 day they won't burn his option? I forgot that Berroa was technical on the active roster so they didn't have to option him they could just place him on the 60 day, keep him on the MLB roster and just eat a year of service time.

I watched Jackson Jobe a bunch of times last year and man does he give off a Kopech vibe. I have a feeling he's going to have some command issues in the bigs. I also have no idea how Max Clark grades out to a 70 hit tool. Not even close.

I didn't realize you save a option year by using the 60 day DL.

This likely means Berroa is done with the Sox. He's out of options and he's likely not back until mid 2026 and he didn't exactly look ready for the bigs in his short stint. Seems like the most likely outcome on him is he gets DFAed next spring.

Bonemer is really gonna make or break last year's draft. Not seeing a lot of upside in the other position talent we drafted and our drafted college OF bats could fall off these lists really quickly. In '03 we at least stocked up on some quality stuff on the pitching side. Smith is a hell of a prospect but we also passed on some really solid positional picks so I feel like you almost need him to be a front end starter or the draft is a bust.

Excellent write up. The names on the list speak to the excellent depth the White Sox now possess on the pitching side. There's enough legitimate prospects on that list and some will definitely get big league opportunities. I was really impressed with Schweitzer and the overall quality of his stuff. At a minimum I think he'll find success as a reliever. It might be just a bad first impression but the quality of his stuff took a major dive out of the stretch. If you put him in a bullpen told him to forget about the runner and just focus on throwing a max effort fastball (while maintaining control) I feel like he could have some nice upside as a late inning reliever.

My first thought watching Colson this spring was he looks a bit leaner. But in my head I figured maybe the humidity in Charlotte just adds 10 lbs. It's just a matter of time until he's like a 255-260 first basement with total focus on power hitting.

If the plan is to let Shuster start it seems like he's probably the best candidate to fill starts until Thorpe is ready. You give him 3-4 starts to earn his spot and if he's pitching well you only give the spot back to Thorpe if the "rehab" stint went well. I'm not sure that Shuster has a lot of value out of the pen, but be might have value being a below average starter.

Adams got tagged for two rockets, but he has legit swing and miss in his repertoire. Everytime I see him pitch I'm left with the impression he's going to have a very successful big league career.