GreenSox
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Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
If it skews, it skews in favor of the 7/300 over the 10/330. The present value of the income from the extra 3 years can be added to the 7/300. If a player is going to put his money into CDs, then 10/330 is better. If he's a decent investor, 7/300 is no worse, and probably better. You get your money earlier, invest it and earn more in investment returns than the present value of the extra $30 million. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Incorrectly; on recalculation, around a 5% rate equates the two. The risk-free rate will likely be below 5%; still there is other risk in waiting for your money -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I'm not sure exactly what you are saying here, but at a 3% interest rate (pretty conservative) 7/300 is about the same total money as 10/330. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
No reason not to -- it's a better deal as you get your money quicker. That said. 7/$300 is nearly $43 mill per year....quite the price. I could dig a couple of 5/$200s, no opt outs. Gives the Sox a 5 year window of winning with them. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Yes, because the years provide them with their protection/insurance in case they are injured, their play turns sour, etc. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Ray and Bradley have 2 and 3 years left on their contract; they're good, but would cost a lot and leave any real long term contention up to Hahn's drafting, of which has not been shown to be a favorable proposition. Dyson is basically a mid-30s version of Engel. -
2018-9 MLB off season free agency thread
GreenSox replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Hard pass. Just have to pray Engel can hit, by waiting for the 3 or so CF prospects we have to be ready. -
This is the kind of move the Sox need to make.
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Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Bringing Shields back would be awful signalling....and a constant reminder to fans of something that I'm sure the FO would like them to forget. As for Shields and Abreu being mentors.....what has this accomplished? None of the young players has show much. Yea they've stayed out of trouble...do they really need mentors for that? -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Hahn made 2 massive mistakes. After his first season (2013) in which they won 63 or so games, they were at an A-; he made some moves and they won 73, in 2014 which put them at a solid A level. At that point, they needed a controllable hitter he could pair with Eaton and Abreu and a couple of 3-5 starters and some pen help. They didn't need it all in one season but those were 2 year goals...instead managed the situation like they were at a B+ level and rents Samardzija for one year, signs Melky, Robertson, etc. They improved 3 games in 2015. Then in 2016, he panicked, rushing up Fulmer and Anderson, making the horrendous Shields trade, and using a 1st round draft choice on Burdi, who was drafted specifically to rush up into the 2016 pen. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Building through FAs and veteran trades has zero chance of working (we saw that frmo 2014-2016). But a different FO would just continue the rebuild, re-evaluate and put in different development programs for these prospects. That said, Hahn &Co. will get their full chance. I do wish they'd be a little more open minded about the lack of tangible progress and whether this set of coaches/evaluators/ developers are all the best they can do. Cooper and Steverson have already had their hands on several blue-chip prospects....it would be good to see some above average regulars come out of that soon. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
They signed Floyd Bannister to a 5 year deal too. I always figured it related to Eddie Einhorn taking a step back from Sox operations after the 1980s. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
The front office is perfectly capable of screwing up drafts in which they have a top 5 pick. That's no salve. If they can't do it with these players and prospects, it's not happening. As for the idea of the Sox being good at developing starting pitching, where is it? Oh sure Sale and Q 7 years ago..... -
Offseason plan in the event the Sox don't get HarpChado
GreenSox replied to Jack Parkman's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I think that's probably true....but the Phillies might have outbid that (and, like the Sox, they need to go high). And on an AAV basis, the Yankees could have outbid the Sox. -
Offseason plan in the event the Sox don't get HarpChado
GreenSox replied to Jack Parkman's topic in Pale Hose Talk
They are one of only 3 or 4 teams that has made a serious offer for these players. Really don't know if they are record-breaking (unless you are talking about Sox record-breaking, which they obviously are). -
Offseason plan in the event the Sox don't get HarpChado
GreenSox replied to Jack Parkman's topic in Pale Hose Talk
That's the truth...well it doesn't matter who they are (although those are the most likely) but they need 4 or so homegrown stars out of this rebuild. -
Offseason plan in the event the Sox don't get HarpChado
GreenSox replied to Jack Parkman's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Good with these except for the Pollock part. Not excited about Martinez either. -
Bears need to tank the 2nd half. Need the Eagles out of the playoffs. Don't like the Eagles matchup for the Saints.
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Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I agree; in many ways it's not a great distribution of assets. But it's still better than what they've been doing. For example, last year, the Astros paid a little more than $16.7 million for the bulk of their bullpen (annualized): Rondon, harris, peacock, Osuna, Devenski and Pressly. The White Sox paid nearly $17 million for Soria, Jones, Santiago and Avilan. None of this really has to do with player development (only Peacock, Devenski and Jones really came from the organizations). It's management, evaluation and opportunity. Will Harris was pitching well when cut by Arizona, and the Astros moved on him; still effective and cheap. (2.8 million). Now I left Sipp and his $6 million out of the analysis - he's an obvious overpay. Still they got a lot more bang for the buck out of their $23 million on the pen. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
They throw away that money and more on nonproductive aging players ever year. In 2016, it approached $25 million. The production of many of the Sox $4-$10 million players can be found for a fraction of the price. Time for something different. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Well, 10/350 beats that Yankees offer aav and total contract. Would that be enough? Probably not. Re the rumors, it would seem that the national guys could get at least a denial from the Yankees if it weren't true. But then again, Dick Clark is an Australian blogger, and they just may not bother with what he has to say. -
Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
The Sox had to offer crazy money to get Machado. If they didn't, they weren't serious. That said, even crazy money may not be enough. At some point there is declining marginal utility of money. He wants to win. -
No doubt - they just make numerous times the number of good moves that can overcome the bad. Luhnow has made a number of questionable trades (which is one reason I want Hahn to deal with him). But boy can they identify and develop amateur talent....
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Machado: Update - Manny, do you officially like us?
GreenSox replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Only Hunter Pence was of that age and level and Wade traded him. Also Michael Bourn. They got more mileage out of their trades of 2nd and 3rd tier players, largely conducted by Luhnow. Can't argue with Hahn's returns on the big 3, but the returns on the 2nd tier players have been light - at least a nugget hasn't emerged. The Astros had several (as did the Cubs) from their 2nd/3rd tier trades.
