
GreenSox
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SoxTalk fan pulse: How far away are the Sox from competing?
GreenSox replied to Jack Parkman's topic in Pale Hose Talk
2021 at the earliest. Sure Hahn can "go for it" next year and we'll be back to 2015. -
Top 5 pick would mean way too much serial losing at this point. If this FO can't make-do with #10 or so, then I don't know what to say (actually I do, but I've said it before).
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I thought he was a JC. My mistake.
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I have yet to see a single college position player drafted by this FO do anything in the majors. Accordingly, I voted Rutherford.
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Okay - a Nova type is one, but they really need someone a level better than Nova. Bring in someone like Santana? Fine, but Hahn's hit rate is about 25% (lower really) on low end starters, so you better bring in 3 to be sure. Kopech? You can't count on Kopech. He may be good, me may not be. Fine, sign Bumgarner. Then it's a roll of he dice with Kopech, Rodon and Lopez to fill 2 spots. And there better not be injuries or else you get Covey or Hahn's fav Don Roach. And then there's the pen. They really have no high leverage/strikeout guys. They need at least 2. That will give a 6 man pen, which I guess you can live with (if you get no injuries). But they still have to upgrade from the Osichs at he back of the pen. This needs another year of simmering. But I'm confident in the position players and hopefully the FO will make the right decisions.
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Not if the Sox intend on contending. Covey pitches on a contending team? Good one. Not having injuries is the exception, not the rule. They have 2 top 1/2 of the pen pitchers: Colome and Bummer. Marshall and Fry are good, but bottom guys on a contending team. The only sure rotation piece is Giolito. Cease is a likely. Rodon is a maybe; Lopez is a maybe, but higher than Rodon. Look at the depth on these contending teams. Sox need to match it, or at least approach it, or they are howling at the moon. And we've seen that before: Rick Hahn declared that the team was ready to win in 2014 when they weren't even close. Then he proceeded to set the team back 5 years by "going for it" 2014-16. A bad hitter doesn't kill you, especially if he can defend. A bad pitcher can destroy you.
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It's crazy because a)they need far more than that and b) Hahn's record at finding pitchers via FA or trade is atrocious.
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The Sox have 1/2 a bullpen: Colome, Marshall, Bummer, Fry. I like all of those guys. But none are great. The rest of the bullpen is not major league quality; yes 1 or 2 may improve, but really bad right now. That's 4 short. The starting staff: Giolito is 1. Cease is a "probably" - I'll rate him as a .75. I still think Lopez is iffy, but at worst a cinch for the pen. So I'll give him .5 for the starter and .5 for the pen. Rodon is .5 at best. Sum total, they have 2.75 starters and 4.5 relievers. That's 2.25 starters short and 3.5 relievers short. Add 5 pitchers for depth and you need 10.75 more pitchers. You cannot go in there with 5 and 8 and think you can contend. Injuries happen and performance below expectations happen. So who do they have? Kopech, Dunning all good possibilities...who else? They are short on pitchers and a TOR starter is the least of the problems. Sox have a costly history on being short pitching - they probably had top 3 overall talent in the majors from 2001-2004 and they were always a pitcher or 3 short. I'm a 3 year guy; I think a competent FO can rebuild in 3 years. And this team had a jumpstart with Sale et al to trade. Well this is year 3, which means contend in year 4. But they simply aren't ready. If they do it now, they'll look like the 2015 White Sox. They need to build for another year. And that's why I hated taking a pass on this trading season.
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The one-game playoff has depressed the prospect for starter trade - by a lot. Why trade the future for a 1-game coin-flip playoff game. The trade that the Indians made were never really done much in July (Tampa pulled off a great one last July) but in December but you don't see those much in December anymore. The Sox should be doing those trades but with prospects (except the "untouchables") and for pitching prospects. This lineup will be good; the pitching is a disaster. The Sox are 10 pitchers short. Eyeing a top of the rotation pitcher is ridiculous considering the number of holes in the staff.
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July is always a seller's market. Teams are looking to buy. Yes I would have. These are career year players, not elite relievers, and you take what you can get. The prices will only fall from here. But maybe he'll trade 4 prospects for one year of a player like the "elite" Samardzija in December...get ready, because that's the kind of nonsense he's going to do. He certainly won't outbid the big guns for Cole.
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After electing not to participate in a seller's market, there's always next time.
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I certainly am not confident that they'll land a big fish. And because of this FO's abysmal record with FAs, I'm not confident that FAs they sign will perform.
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Colome remains with White Sox, who always had ample interest in him
GreenSox replied to Sockin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
He certainly was. 2nd to best Sox hitter last season, clearly on the improve. This "Bad framing" was suspicious; as per once he leaves Cooper and his pitchers it's suddenly decent. And even if he wasn't a high price at the time, this is yet another example of "who could have known." It's Hahn's job to know. I can't think of a single trade for a veteran that he's made that was an overall positive. -
8/1/19 Mets@Sox Gamethread extraordinaire
GreenSox replied to wegner's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Time for a 9th inning rally. Do it. -
Good gracious the Sox don't need to trade the good prospects for "proven veterans." That approach has a 100% failure rate.
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I'm more concerned about some volume in pitching over front-line starter. The Sox need 10 pitchers by my count, so some volume is necessary. they need to be good, but great can wait. The Sox have enough in their farm system beyond the untouchables for teams to like. They always do. Players that other teams can improve upon, that the Sox have mishandled, that the Sox may not value but other teams do, etc. are always there The problem is that these players don't have a lot of trade value because other teams see the hidden assets as their premium; so the Sox will have to pile on these type of prospects. The trick is for the Sox to find prospects in other orgs that have been mishandled, that have hidden virtue, etc. and not just go for the obvious at a premium price. Can they?
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Castellano was supposedly "the best bat on the market", yet his numbers aren't much better than Abreu's.
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Colome remains with White Sox, who always had ample interest in him
GreenSox replied to Sockin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Now they only need 4 more, maybe 5 (depending on how one views Marshall's dependability) and then another 2 for depth. -
Colome remains with White Sox, who always had ample interest in him
GreenSox replied to Sockin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
The Sox are 10 pitchers short. Hahn hits on maybe 25% (if that) of the free agent pitchers he signs. The only prospects close are injured, and there are only 2 of those. Position players are the least of the problems. -
Sox Trade Nate Jones/INTL Slot to TEX for 2 Minor Leaguers
GreenSox replied to Sleepy Harold's topic in Pale Hose Talk
That's the way they've been for years. I'd add that their best home grown prospect in years, ahem, was an international signee. But they seem to like to abandon what works and repeat what fails. -
Cordell Optioned; Anderson reinstated; Fulmer recalled
GreenSox replied to ChiSox59's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Fulmer needs a new coach: someone who can make something of his great spin rates and speed up his tempo by a lot. No way should he need to paint the knees to get an out. -
Sox Trade Nate Jones/INTL Slot to TEX for 2 Minor Leaguers
GreenSox replied to Sleepy Harold's topic in Pale Hose Talk
For better or worse, this is what the White Sox do. -
Sox vs. Mets - Tues, July 30th, 2019
GreenSox replied to smalls2598's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Nice game....until they ran out of pitchers and brought in the organizational minor leaguers, which is about 1/2 of the pitching staff. Sox are about 8-10 major league pitchers short. -
I know. I thought neither was on the 40 man.