striker

Admit all of their risks but split your stock to reduce your risk. Do you play the $1 slot once or the .50 cent twice.

So if Acuna + Baty is not enough, then what would the ask from NYM be? Is the difference worth the risk and the cost? Your risk of trading Robert now is his value is low. What does that mean trade wise? Today you get Acuna but if you wait and his value goes up you get Jet Williams? Is that gain really that much and worth the risk? If you hold onto Robert and his 2025 is just like 2024, then do you get anything for him at all? Acuna helps fill our up the middle needs (CF/SS), has speed (which helps carry value defensively and on the bases), has a good history of walking/hitting/low strike outs in the minors and has had a good strikeout rate with his limited time in the majors. Baty too has a great track record in the minors with walks and slugging, and grades out well with baseball savant and fangraphs defensively at 3rd. Sign me up.

I like the Mets as a trade partner. They need a cf and a bat to protect Soto. They have a lot good not great prospects, most of which are blocked. Williams, Baty, Acuna, Maricio, Gilbert, Clifford, Rodriguez, Benge. Give me three of them and call it good.

Seems like Sox fans are down on Robert and would rather sell low. BTV has him around $13m in surplus (less then 3war/season). The prospects you get at that level would be pretty risky imo. If you hold onto him for the first half and he tears it up, then his surplus could almost triple. 4war would be $80 in value over 2.5 years with about $47.5m in cost. Its a contract year for him so I would hold at $13m in surplus value.

I don’t think we turned it down, I think Gammons said we were asking for Martes, Tucker and Musgrove for Quintana

Robert makes sense for the Astros too. Send Cam Smith+ to the Sox

How much war do you believe Robert will produce the next 3 seasons? I am thinking 11 war.

Haven’t heard the Brewers mentioned until now. Thoughts on their system? I wonder if this is to push the Cubs forward.

No one is trading us a superstar

So you get Campbell at 3 war and another piece. That other piece doesn’t hit (see history). You go from 1 war at 2b to 3war for a 5 war pitcher. My approach improves the team faster and decreases your risk because you aren’t hedging your bet on unproven commodities. When you have 10 holes in the boat you focus first on plugging holes, THEN you make the boat look nice. I also don’t think anyone is going to give us a top 50 prospect for Crochet and if they do, the second piece is going to he an even riskier bet.

I would do this in a heartbeat. You plug 3 holes. Sox were ca: -2.4, 1b: -1, rf: -2.4. That trade is a 10 war improvement. People are nuts wanting prospects. Why get some dude you hope is a major league regular when you can just get major league regulars.

That's my point, yes Moncada was worth more than Basallo, but Sale was worth more than Crochet. Moncada:Sale = Bosallo:Crochet. I didn't think Kopech was that high yet but sounds like he was.

I don't think Orioles bite on that. I compare Crochet to Sale and Q trades. Sale/Q had more surplus value but still just netted 2 top 100s and some throw ins. The top piece was a bat but the 2nd top piece was an arm (which comes with more risk than a bat). If I'm Elias, I'm also asking for Kopech in that deal. If I'm Getz, I'd do Basallo, Norby, Beavers, an arm (De Leon/Baumeister/Armbruester) for Crochet and Kopech.

Tigers spend though, they will actually pay to extend their star pitcher, unlike Reinsdorf.