Reddy

No, she isn't. She's going to win. Heitkamp probably won't. And no, you have your easy soundbite wrong. It's not re-elected>>>>Principles, it's BEING IN OFFICE ALLOWS YOU TO DO>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>more good than if a Republican were in your seat for 6 years. Dems suck at big-picture long term thinking.

And you're suggesting that the GOP would refrain from running ads about the liberal Joe Manchin trying to derail Trump's agenda and caving to the far left feminazis? Someone isn't paying attention. You think those ads wouldn't move the needle? Really? ONE ad like that is lights out for Heitkamp.

Uh. Is this a serious question? Google Trump's approval rating in ND/WV. I'll wait.

What political advantage does it give Red State Dems to vote No? Also, can you name the Blue State R's in the Senate? Are any of them in opposite party +40 states like Manchin/Heitkamp are?

Ocasio-Cortez endorses Cuomo. Cue DSA/Bernie Wing meltdown in 3...2...1...

Sigh. How don't y'all get this? No Democrat will be a deciding vote on Kavanaugh. If there's a single No vote from the Republicans, no Dem will vote Yes. If there are enough Rs to confirm him, there will be a couple Yeses from Dems (Manchin/Heitkamp likely) There's literally no political point in a red-state Dem voting no if it won't actually make a difference, and those red-state Dems who vote w/ the party 45-60% of the time is 45-60% more than a Republican in that seat would vote with Dems. How is this hard to grasp?

I'd put confirmation odds at 60-40 against at the moment. I think Flake needed political cover to vote *no* going into HIS 2020 run, and it needed to come from a place of Kavanaugh perjuring himself as opposed to looking like he was "giving in" to the crazy radical feminist leftists.

See: John McCain 2017

Wow. We finally wholeheartedly agree on something. Well said.

Which IS very cool.

Gotta love those third party voters.

Hubbell's been running a pretty disjointed and poorly executed campaign. Fortunately, Reynolds keeps (like Blum) creating controversies for herself, and medicaid could be the winning issue for Hubbell. That said, if this weren't a wave year, Fred would be toast. Everybody on the ground is talking about not-so-crazy scenarios where candidates like Finkenauer and Axne win but Hubbell loses. Especially now that straight ticket voting is no more.

I don't fucking care who you volunteer for - volunteer for someone. I listed people who are supported by Bernie/DSA/OR because I thought they'd appeal to you. Clearly, I didn't understand just how specific your brand of politician is if none of them fit the bill. End of the day you're making excuses for not doing the work that actually makes a difference. Spin it for yourself however you want.

Anyway. All I'm seeing here is someone who'd rather whine than do something to create the change he wants. #shrug

You're telling me those Bernie-endorsed candidates I listed don't meet your standards? Seriously?

Same thing is happening here in Iowa. Stacey Walker, a friend and awesome progressive, won his primary for Supervisor and his primary challenger re-registered as No Party to challenge him again in the general. I think that shit's ridiculous.

She doesn't need it. Why not Beto? Why not Pressley? Why not Jealous? Bryce? You have so many options. Pick one. Do it.

It's 2018 and you can volunteer remotely for literally any candidate you want. I can happily get you on a remote phone bank! (So can everyone else. I know a bunch of folks calling for Beto) Let me know who you want to volunteer for and I'll hook you up!

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-ia01-1.html NY Times/Siena live poll has Finkenauer leading by 14 pts.

It's about winning fucking elections because that's HOW we actually help people. Losing elections so you can have moral victories hurts people.

how do they vote against that without voting against the funding of the govt?

Um. Voting not to fund the government 48 days out from the midterms is a terrible idea.

However, Nate Cohn suggested that this is not abnormal this far out from the election, and that the hispanic vote tends to break late and towards Dems. He said Dems in hispanic-heavy districts will likely seem further behind now than they will be come election day.

Shalala is a mess. Agree completely re: Gillum. He's the great Dem hope right now in FL

Why are you even in this thread? What have you contributed to it?