Kalapse

QUOTE (JoeCoolMan24 @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 03:11 PM) Apparently the "mystery team" is the Rangers. I would believe they would offer a package around Smoak. Olney agrees. Buster_ESPN Rangers are back on Lee. Hard to imagine Texas making this deal happen without Justin Smoak being part of the deal. less than a minute ago via web

QUOTE (fathom @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 02:31 PM) And Greg, still don't think they're trying to get #400 at home for Andruw? We are going up against another lefty.

Seems like things are moving pretty fast. SI_JonHeyman #rangers 1 of a few teams jumping in with big snag in yankees/lee trade talk 2 minutes ago via mobile web

Alright this s*** is getting merged.

Why do I have a sick feeling? I f***ing hate mystery teams, my common sense needs to kick in and remove these butterflies from my stomach.

Buster_ESPN Source:SEA-NYY talks stalled over identity of second player in the deal, second baseman David Adams.We'll see if another team has jumped in. 2 minutes ago via web

Buster_ESPN Source:SEA-NYY talks stalled over identity of second player in the deal, second baseman David Adams.We'll see if another team has jumped in. 2 minutes ago via web

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 02:52 PM) Really? I must be thinking of someone else, I thought NYY had a defensive guy at C they were high on, I assumed it was Montero. Clearly I'm not up on some of the prospects in other systems. Francisco Cervelli? Young, defensive wiz who is garnering more and more love in NY.

Buster_ESPN Heard this: At 3:45 E. time, big concerns arising within the negotiation that the SEA-NYY Cliff Lee deal could break up. Fluid situation. 3 minutes ago via web

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 02:48 PM) Retherford is a man without a position, he's a sub-par defender everywhere on the field, and probably a utility man if he makes the majors. There are also some makeup questions about him, and his attitude. Torres is just not nearly the prospect McAllister is, without even getting into the age discussion. Torres is a nice guy to have in the system, but nothing terribly special. Best case he's a back of the rotation starter for a weak team, more likely he's a long or middle reliever. I just saw K's post, and yeah, Flowers is not only much older and slower to develop, but also I believe Montero is considered a defensive wizard, and I don't think Flowers is anything like that. Montero might end up being a DH.

QUOTE (pktmotion @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 02:34 PM) Wow, No, what a sound rebuttal. Montero's line after 4 seasons: .309/.368/.486/.855 Flower's line after 5 seasons: .281/.392/.490/.882 Flowers also has ~20 more HR/ ~60 more RBIs. Flower's(.63) BB/K ratio is better than Montero's(.53). The only thing Montero has on Flowers is the bloated over-evaluation of AL-East minor league systems. But back to the comparisons. 2B David Adams 3 seasons: .281/.370/.439/.809 CJ Retherford 4 seasons: .283/.336/.464/.800 CJ has 3 times as many HR and twice as many RBIs than Adams. RHP Zach McAllister: 37-27 3.14 ERA 1.204 WHIP Carlos Torres: 35-32 3.49 ERA 1.317 WHIP McAllister is better than Torres here. But keep in mind Torres has pitched fairly decent when he was called up to the Majors. Very similar trade packages; only thing is NYY prospects are ridiculously overvalued. You know Montero is nearly 4 years younger than Flowers, right? He also doesn't have Tyler's history of PED use. Also, CJ Retherford (the 25 year old, tool-less undrafted free agent that's bombing at 2 levels) is really a non-prospect and Torres (27 years old) is basically a guy. You can't just ignore tools and age and pretend that it's feasible to compare all stats in a vacuum.

QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 12:46 PM) They will sign him in the offseason, but I guarantee they won't do it during the year. That's their policy, and if they won't change it for Jeter or Rivera, I'm sure Lee will be no different. By "soon" (should have said quick) I mean right after the World Series, we won't make it more than a few days into the exclusive negotiating period before he's locked up. Any team that had plans to go hard after him this offseason won't even get a chance to talk to him. I suppose this goes without saying, though. When you have the resources that the Yankees do there's no reason to negotiate in season.

QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 12:43 PM) Yanks also picked up Chad Tracy. f***ing hell, these assholes just keep buying all the best players in the game. How do they get away with this s***?

QUOTE (chw42 @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 12:40 PM) That ballpark in KC helps. Mid 80's at the cell tonight and hopefully Quentin will be back in there.

QUOTE (chw42 @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 12:34 PM) He's got a .240 BABIP with career norm batted ball rates. This isn't going to last. He also allows a s*** ton of fly balls. Wow. GB/FB of 0.59 would be the second lowest in the game if he were qualified and his HR/9 is under 1? HR/FB of 7.6%? Here come the home runs.

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 12:00 PM) This year so far: 3.51 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 42 K in 48 IP. He may regress eventually, hopefully tonight, but this season he has been pretty solid so far. xFIP of 4.90 (4.8 BB/9, 1.62 K/BB) definitely points toward a hard regression along with his history.

QUOTE (fathom @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 12:09 PM) Completely disagree. As someone just mentioned, Berkman's a legend there. Astros aren't just going to give him away. Yeah, I edited that into my post. Don't think he saw it.

Also for the sake of argument this is what ZIPS has them both doing the rest of the way: Berkman: .275/.386/.505/.891, .390 wOBA, 12 HR LaRoche: .276/.354/.504/.858, .373 wOBA, 12 HR

LaRoche would be a lot cheaper monetarily. Berkman is still due about $7M the rest of the way ($14.5M this year) + $2M buyout and that's assuming he drops the caveat that his $15M option must be picked up if traded. LaRoche will only make a little over $2M the rest of the way ($4.5M this year) +$1.5M buyout. It's also going to be tough for the Astros to sell to the fanbase on trading Berkman at a relatively low price especially with the way he's heating up, he is an All-Time Astros great.

Looks like it's going to be Montero, David Adams + 1. The Yankees will almost undoubtedly lock him up and I'd imagine soon for a price tag in the range of Sabathia but fewer years: 5/$115M would be my guess.

QUOTE (BigSqwert @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 11:28 AM) Back to Laroche, Fielder, and Berkman. For as little sense as a Fielder trade made last week it makes even less sense since Peavy went down. Really can't afford to be trading away major league pitching right now.

QUOTE (Felix @ Jul 9, 2010 -> 12:34 AM) Mathematics of wonton burrito meals! Also, that episode is first season Is that the one with the chimp?

WAY too early for this. It's just impossible to say, things can change drastically over the course of even a week.

QUOTE (ptatc @ Jul 8, 2010 -> 07:49 PM) I agree we could use some help. Our offense is below average all across the board except HRs. Even though we face more RHP (at least so far this year) we are worse off against LHP. I don't know if the trend of the drastic difference in LHP vs RHP will continue but as a team we are worse against the LHP and might be as much if not a higher priority. Our RHH don't seem to be getting the job done against the LHP. Of course maybe thats because they haven't seen many this year. Our RHH are above average vs RHP, it's our LHH who are killing us vs RHP because they are not good hitters. our RHH vs RHP: .259/.326/.443/.769 league average: .259/.318/.410/.728 our LHH vs RHP: .259/.324/.364/.688 league average: .263/.336/.407/.743 Just as we suspected during ST: we're getting no power from the left hand side. Personally, I don't really care what side of the plate our newly acquired hitter bats from just as long as he's a good hitter with above average power because that's what we're lacking: productive hitters with some pop. It just so happens that some of the more intriguing names out there are left handed hitters.

QUOTE (ptatc @ Jul 8, 2010 -> 07:32 PM) Everyone keeps saying we need a lefty bat. If I'm reading the stats right we have a 259BA and 738OPS against RH pitchers and a 227BA and 696 OPS against LH pitchers. This would imply to me that we need help from RH hitters not LH hitters or at least players that can hit LH pitchers effectively. .259/.325/.412/.738 vs righties (that's before today, worse after getting shutdown by Santana) .234/.319/.385/.704 vs Lefties and then comes the rub . . . 2390 PA vs RHP and only 702 vs LHP. 77.2% of our total PA this season have come vs righties (higher after today). We go up against SIGNIFICANTLY more righties than lefties and our team line vs RHP is below league average which is .264/.333/.415/.747. It would stand to reason that we could use a some help against the pitchers that we face more than 3/4 of the time when our team OPS is 9th in the AL against said pitchers.