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CaliSoxFanViaSWside

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Everything posted by CaliSoxFanViaSWside

  1. QUOTE (chw42 @ Jun 16, 2010 -> 08:42 AM) And you know this, because? The reason why things like FIP and BABIP have value in player evaluation is because the pitcher doesn't have a great amount of control on balls hit in play. This was concluded by Voros McCracken through a lot of research (I think 92% of balls hit in play are not the direct responsibility of the pitcher). Yes, you can hang a curveball and get hit hard, but you can also dot the corner with a fastball and get hit hard. Does Gavin just start getting better all of a sudden in June because he makes his own luck? Or is it just the luck table turning around from two months of absolute disaster? It's not like he's Alexei and needs to pitch in warm weather to succeed. I know this because its baseball . Its not rocket science. You throw the ball down the middle of plate it gets ripped resulting in a high BA ,BABIP and all sorts of good things for the hitters. You make good pitches and it results in lousy stats for the hitter and good stats for the pitcher. It's been that way for over 100 yrs. and it will continue that way. And yes Gavin makes his own luck because he just pitches better later weather its his curve biting more or hitting his spots .Hitters hit bad pitches harder and hit good pitches worse. It's not luck its talent or lack thereof. You sound like you never played the game but are a big fan of math .
  2. QUOTE (chw42 @ Jun 14, 2010 -> 07:28 AM) Floyd was going to turn it around anyhow. He does this crap every year, he posts a super inflated ERA due to terrible luck (.369 BABIP),but his peripherals are great (with the exception of 2008, he was exceptionally lucky that year). Before last night's game, his FIP was 4.02, after that start, it's down to 3.8, that of a very good pitcher. He's now second in pitching WAR on the team next to John Danks. Everybody in the rotation with the exception of Freddy Garcia has a FIP below 5, even Peavy and Buehrle. There's been a lot of bad luck for our pitchers, however, we're seeing a reversal of that right now and it will probably continue. I know you like to throw that scientific billy beane stuff around but that is just nonsense. You make your own luck when you throw hanging curves and fastball right down the middle of the plate . That high BABIP stuff is from throwing bad pitches not having terrible luck.
  3. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Jun 13, 2010 -> 07:48 PM) Yes, he does. By my math, the Sox have about $10 million or so to spend this offseason and will have 8+ spots to fill. You offer AJ arbitration, and he takes up $7 million+ of it. What 8+ spots ?
  4. QUOTE (southsideirish71 @ Jun 13, 2010 -> 07:41 PM) They are not trading him. Kenny is pretty easily fooled into thinking that any teams is a winner just lurking to break out. A nice little run against bad NL teams might get some prospects shipped off for our run that will never appear. Everyone can only see what's in front their eyes. Most of you act like the Sox are incapable of a turnaround. It's unlikely I know , but personally I rather be wrong thinking they can turn it around then be right knowing they will suck the rest of the year.
  5. QUOTE (chw42 @ Jun 13, 2010 -> 07:39 PM) Minus the first pitch fastball to Tracy after Soriano's double. He was throwing 1st pitch fastballs a lot. The difference was he got that one up a little bit. Can't expect perfection from either Gavin or AJ . Some times you just get outguessed. It's not rocket science.
  6. QUOTE (IamtheHBOMB @ Jun 13, 2010 -> 07:34 PM) f*** this team. Can't score a single runner with bases loaded and no outs. It was 2nd and 3rd with no outs. Alexei K'd then Rios was IBB'd . Konerko had based loaded 1 out .
  7. QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Jun 13, 2010 -> 06:45 PM) Prediction: Cubs win 1-0. Fixed.
  8. QUOTE (fathom @ Jun 13, 2010 -> 07:20 PM) Jones is batting? You have to be kidding me. Works for me .
  9. Floyd should have hit Soriano with a pitch after Lee got thrown out.
  10. QUOTE (Kalapse @ Jun 13, 2010 -> 06:47 PM) This is just pure hell. Look on the bright side. We're not losing and having another well pitched game.
  11. Kong usually hits Lilly hard ,get on Rios and let Kong drive you in.
  12. Ok fine we won with 3 runs and 2 runs lets see us win when we get no hit !
  13. All I know is that if Q and Bacon can put up good 2nd half numbers and the starting pitching gets stronger and the rest of the team remains status quo we just might make a run and draw crowds. Giving up on the team means giving up revenue despite all we hear about getting younger and trading away productive pieces. Getting younger at this point in time means getting worse and I like our chances better relying on current players to improve.
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