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Everything posted by jackie hayes
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Bruce Levine: "Sox interested in Juan Cruz"
jackie hayes replied to SSH2005's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Btw, here's the thing about Cruz wanting to start. It's not from his mouth, just a q&a with the beat reporter. I don't want to give the impression he's raising hell or threatening to soriano anytime soon. Here's the relevant part: Fwiw. News on the teams' official sites is usually so sunny about the players, that it caught my eye. -
QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Mar 24, 2006 -> 05:15 PM) Don't worry, Iraq will soon take care of this whole thing. Of course, the problem with this argument is fairly obvious IMO...while parents do have an affect on their children's political beliefs, there's certainly no 100% guarantee that just because a child has conservative parents, they'll also grow up to be conservative, or liberal, or whatever. There are a huge variety of other factors that can and will come into play as demographics shift. The trends with factors like income and education tend to be much more strongly correlated with voting patterns than do who your parents are. Naturally, if your family is that one which rides around the country protesting soldier's funerals the correlation may hold more strongly, but even then, there's always the possibility of movement, especially given unforseen political events in the future. A person could always be raised in a conservative family, go to college, wind up in a left-leaning dorm, spend 10 years as a communist, get married, wind up with a high income, and vote himself or herself some nice shiny new tax cuts, and then realize when they'r 64 that those tax cuts for them whipper snappers are gonna cut into social security and medicare. Why do we need a "100% guarantee" for this to be a good argument? Sure, there are other factors, but if this one is important (plausible), it will influence elections, at least if it's independent of those other factors (also plausible). This sounds like one of those arguments that dismisses all statistical theory with the answer, 'Well, it doesn't ALWAYS happen that way.' And I'm surprised you'd make that argument...
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QUOTE(whitesoxfan101 @ Mar 24, 2006 -> 10:23 PM) Because he's Borch with a better eye basically. He has a GREAT batters eye though and a lot of power, so he will be around for a while. Problem is when he makes contact, it's usually home run or popout, he's a dead pull hitter, he can't hit lefties, can't run, and can't field. I could see it end up being him and the Greek God of Walks as the 2 1B on Boston though. Borch with a better eye is just, not Borch at all. He's a lh hitter with power who gets on base. And he almost falls through waivers. His average the last two years has been .250, not awful by any stretch. Just look at his hitting chart -- he's not in any way, shape, or form a "dead pull hitter". In his ML career, he's had 82 abs against lhp. That's nothing. But even there, though he hasn't hit, he's still been able to get on base. As for the fielding, he looked fine when he was with the Cubs. I think it's mostly that, if you are a high profile prospect with some team and then get shipped out, you're labelled a bust. But since Dusty won't play anyone below 32 without a court order, you're basically f***ed if you come up with the Cubs now. Slip up for one week and you're benched indefinitely. There are so many teams ahead of the Red Sox that could have used Choi. Just dumb.
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Bruce Levine: "Sox interested in Juan Cruz"
jackie hayes replied to SSH2005's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Cruz reportedly has strong feelings about being a starter. He was terrible last season as a MLB reliever, then went down to the minors and excelled as a starter. I have some worries that he just half-asses it when he's put in relief. Any thoughts on this? Still, he'd clearly be better than Thornton. But I wonder if he might be worth more to another team as a prospective starter. -
I can't believe he fell all the way to the Red Sox. Why does noone like this guy?
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Afghanistan to enforce Death Penalty...
jackie hayes replied to Rex Kickass's topic in The Filibuster
QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ Mar 24, 2006 -> 01:33 PM) You guys have to understand Islam a little better. The guy isn't being killed because he is a Christian. He is being killed because he was Islamic and converted to Christianity, which is a mortal sin according to the Koran. There is a difference there. Still a tough sell. The crime is the "act" of conversion -- meaning conversion is necessarily an "action" as opposed to a "discovery". It seems as though, under this interpretation, a foreigner convert visiting Afghanistan could also be executed. The Koran is the highest law, and the Koran's restriction isn't limited to the borders of Afghanistan. The more I look at it, the more I think the Afghan Constitution is a joke -- there are a million little bits about 'You have this right, unless it's prohibited by law...' You have this right, unless you don't. This is exactly the situation everyone was worried about -- conservative clerics can annul anywhere they see fit. Are there any real protections? And didn't Karzai appoint the courts? That seems to be what the Constitution calls for. How did he let people like this on the bench? -
Afghanistan to enforce Death Penalty...
jackie hayes replied to Rex Kickass's topic in The Filibuster
QUOTE(Soxy @ Mar 24, 2006 -> 05:14 PM) Jackie's a a "he." THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU THANK YOU And Balta? :headshake Not cool. Jackie Hayes = Sox 2nd baseman in the 30s. And a dude. There is no "official" English language version of the Afghan constitution. The quote is from a site that was linked from a FindLaw.com article, and FindLaw is reputable, so I'm assuming it's good. -
Pretty easy thing to test, anyway. Just check the autocorrelation of the prediction error -- at least, for teams that don't have much turnover. How did this turn into another stats debate? The article had no stats analysis at all.
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SoxTalk Interactive Mock Draft
jackie hayes replied to WHarris1's topic in A and J's Olde Tyme Sports Pub
Okay, enough. How does this work? Can someone pick for him? -
Afghanistan to enforce Death Penalty...
jackie hayes replied to Rex Kickass's topic in The Filibuster
I just don't get it. Chapter 1, Article 2 of the Afghan constitution: So the only way this makes sense to me is... Some judges decided that all "other religions" do not fall "within the limits of the provisions of law" (as they see Islamic law) per se. So "followers of other religions are free to exercise their faith" as long as they don't exercise their faith. Is that about right? 'It's just stupid enough to work...' Didn't Karzai appoint the courts? How did this happen? -
He's wrong about the Twins vs Sox (relative odds), but obviously the level of the odds is out of whack with reality. If all the odds were fair bets, that would mean there is a 180% chance that someone wins the WS this year. So the house is overstating teams' chances of winning by almost double, on average. That's how they make money, but also makes it ridiculous to think of these as fair odds/fair bets.
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Lol, I saw that yesterday. Fwiw, it doesn't sound as dumb in the original article, it's just mentioned in passing as an obvious fact. (I HAD to see if anyone was actually writing a story on this.)
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Soxtalk and YASNY featured in Sports Illustrated
jackie hayes replied to Buehrle>Wood's topic in 2006 Season in Review
QUOTE(RockRaines @ Mar 23, 2006 -> 05:53 PM) Grow some balls and register. Never know, maybe all the guests are MLB roiders, trying to see if we've got dirt on them too. Not nice taunting them like that, Rock. -
Soxtalk and YASNY featured in Sports Illustrated
jackie hayes replied to Buehrle>Wood's topic in 2006 Season in Review
QUOTE(LosMediasBlancas @ Mar 23, 2006 -> 03:02 AM) Jackie, you made a clear and very good point back then. I only pulled up our quotes because I found it kinda funny that we were discussing it back then and now it's happening. I haven't read the SI story either. Okay, I wasn't sure. Although maybe it was obvious -- you've made it pretty clear you'd never argue on a message board. -
Soxtalk and YASNY featured in Sports Illustrated
jackie hayes replied to Buehrle>Wood's topic in 2006 Season in Review
QUOTE(Steff @ Mar 23, 2006 -> 12:32 AM) While this didn't pan out, he does have some solid sources. Wasn't meant to be a knock, just a funny quote. (I literally loled. I am, yes, easily amused.) Though, to be honest, I can't say I'll trust his "sources" the next time. But that's just me, I'm not calling for his head or anything. -
QUOTE(Chisoxfn @ Mar 22, 2006 -> 11:44 PM) And that thread did have fire, considering all the news outlets reporting the news simultaneous with Soxtalk. If you mean the smoke-fire thing, I don't know about that. Since the whole thing turned out to be smoke, it's not so much that we had fire -- only that we were smoking the same stuff as everyone else.
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Soxtalk and YASNY featured in Sports Illustrated
jackie hayes replied to Buehrle>Wood's topic in 2006 Season in Review
I wonder if spataro's seen it. Says he logged in yesterday. Seen on a NY fan forum -- "If you can't trust spataro51, then who can you trust in this crazy world?" Lol -
Soxtalk and YASNY featured in Sports Illustrated
jackie hayes replied to Buehrle>Wood's topic in 2006 Season in Review
QUOTE(LosMediasBlancas @ Mar 22, 2006 -> 10:13 PM) From that thread: Los: "If everyone can trace this rumor to this site, it better be true, or we're gonna get ripped.' Jackie Hayes: "Disagree. I think most posters have been pretty cautious. And if the national media utters a single word based on such a flimsy source, it won't be the source that looks ridiculous. " I still think that. I did say "most" posters, not "all". I think the general reaction was just wait-and-see, and some tittering and chatter. Not really accusatory. And I haven't seen the SI story, but it would be awful funny if journalists attacked anonymous internet posters for irresponsible reporting. Jmho. -
QUOTE(mreye @ Mar 22, 2006 -> 03:13 PM) 100 Million Dollars? Who's her lawyer? Doctor Evil?
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Soxtalk and YASNY featured in Sports Illustrated
jackie hayes replied to Buehrle>Wood's topic in 2006 Season in Review
QUOTE(Balta1701 @ Mar 22, 2006 -> 09:37 PM) Well, it sure looks like they're reading us...so I think they may notice... Funny guy. -
Soxtalk and YASNY featured in Sports Illustrated
jackie hayes replied to Buehrle>Wood's topic in 2006 Season in Review
The steroid stuff a while back, I'm guessing. Edit: This link came up in a search, but I'm not a subscriber. Can anyone who is a subscriber summarize? -
"Brian Griese has agreed to terms on a five-year contract that should keep him in a Bears uniform through the 2010 season..." Yeah, okay.
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Nationals playing hardball with Soriano?
jackie hayes replied to SSH2005's topic in The Diamond Club
QUOTE(southsider2k5 @ Mar 21, 2006 -> 02:20 PM) What a selfish SOB. Hopefully this flushes his value as a free agent down the toilet, and he gets hit big time in the checkbook. Interesting. Bowden weighs in on Soriano going on the dq list. Basically, if he sits out the year, obviously he doesn't get paid. But moreover, his service time does not increase, so he remains ineligible for free agency after this season. Bowden: So Alfonso, do you ever want to play baseball again? -
QUOTE(YASNY @ Mar 21, 2006 -> 07:32 AM) I stand corrected. About...?
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SoxTalk Interactive Mock Draft
jackie hayes replied to WHarris1's topic in A and J's Olde Tyme Sports Pub
soxhawks -- you're up.