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Jake

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Everything posted by Jake

  1. QUOTE (Jenksismyb**** @ Jun 10, 2014 -> 05:14 PM) Food for thought: http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2014...ters-murder.php edit: and for those that will surely respond with "correlation does not mean causation," at minimum this suggests there isn't some wild increase in murders with concealed carry, which is often the (irrational) fear. There's some awful statistical inference going on in that "study," which has the rigor of an undergrad research project. Other highly significant predictors of gun violence found: presence of young people, rural vs urban (more gun violence in rural areas per capita), alcohol consumption, how white the population is. Of those with any statistical significance, the presence of the federal ban or a state-level CCW "may issue" or outright ban were the least significant predictors. Even so, the entire method was bad IMO - the fixed effects regression is best for accounting for variables that you have not accounted for so that you don't have results that are biased due to some unforeseen covariance. For instance, this method would help me tell whether something was really affected by race or if something else correlated with race was the significant factor. But they included all of the expected extraneous factors and we get a nasty "hey look, everything's significant" result. A good rule of thumb is that when everything appears significant, you probably have made a procedural mistake or you have not yet included the significant factor
  2. Scholarship plan should be available to all draftees.
  3. QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Jun 10, 2014 -> 08:15 PM) House Majority Leader Eric Cantor loses in his primary. Seems funny/good until you realize who he lost to and what the partisan breakdown of that district is like
  4. Also, re: WWDC. Something I saw mentioned a while after the fact that could be a big problem. We're assuming the iPhone 6 will be a significant size increase - I think I saw reports of 4.7" screens being manufactured. Between TouchID and the fact that iOS 8 shows no signs of on-screen navigation buttons, we're talking about a device with that big physical home button being huge relative to screen size. It could rival the LG G3 in footprint while still having a smaller screen than all competitors.
  5. I am using a $30 Virgin Mobile Kyocera Rise that's running Android 4.0.4 ICS while I price some repairs. I think a place nearby might be able to fix my One for $60. If it costs much more than that, I'll probably opt for a Moto G w/ LTE as it's really plenty of phone. I'm pretty impressed with how this POS Kyocera Rise works. I can get a somewhat comparable experience on this device thanks to the openness of Android and the Google connection. The fact that so many of the integral system apps are updated through the Play Store makes the 4.0.4 vs 4.4.2 OS difference between this and my old phone rather trifling. I didn't think I'd be able to use Hangouts, Play Music, or the newest versions of apps like Gmail and Maps. There are nuances and a few key things like Google Now missing, but it's pretty cool that a bottom of the barrel device like this can be pretty damn useful.
  6. Sorry, not enough people died, not newsworthy
  7. Trading Noah for Love would be idiotic. No way I'd do that.
  8. Jake

    6/8 Games

    Anderson needs to stay at SS as long as possible. We knew we'd get a big error number from him when we drafted him. He has a ton of talent to be a great SS defender. While there are plenty of examples of guys who made lots of errors in the low minors and never could defend, many of the good ones worked through periods like this when they were young
  9. There is no reliever I would have wanted to pitch to Trout there. I'll roll the dice with Sale at a non-insane pitch count rather than any of our relievers coming in to face the best player in baseball with the bases juiced and nobody out. Per usual, when a pitcher doesn't do his job, the manager looks bad.
  10. Jake

    Hillary

    I have to say, regardless of her qualifications for the job, I can't say that I love the sound of it that our Presidents over the years would be Bush-Clinton-Bush-someone else to make it seem less creepy-Clinton. Who would win after that, Jeb? George Prescott? Chelsea Clinton?
  11. I'm having the most first-world problem... I'm pretty sure my HTC One is water damaged and bricked. In this case, my dad is happy to use his upgrade to get himself a One M8 and give me his old iPhone 5. ...and good god do I not want to use an iPhone. The daily frustrations will kill me. But I can't turn it down, for now. Bleck
  12. QUOTE (RockRaines @ Jun 6, 2014 -> 12:11 AM) Wait until his knees start to fail at that size. He better hope his genetics hold up There are a few dudes on that team that can help him out with knee pain management
  13. 1 - Rodon 2 - Anderson 3 - Hawkins 4 - Davidson 5 - M. Johnson 6 - Danish 7 - Montas 8 - Trayce Thompson 9 - Adams 10 - Michalczewski
  14. LeBron is always dealing with cramps. When you have a legit cramping problem, though, there's nothing you can do about it. Not without a good 15-60 minutes to deal with it. The reason the Spurs went wild from 3 is how much effort the Heat put into denying the ball inside. It opened everything up.
  15. I remember 6-9 months ago, if not more recently, folks thought we might take Reetz at #3.
  16. I'm so glad Hoffman is out of the question. Last thing we need is a righty with good velo, control problems, and no track record of success in a non-elite college conference. Aaron Nola is and was an infinitely better choice. For me, Rodon - Kolek - Nola - Aiken. I'm pretty cool with any of them at this point.
  17. Almost every time fathom makes a post about how bad Davidson is hitting, he hits a home run. Keep it coming!
  18. QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jun 5, 2014 -> 12:28 AM) Why wouldn't it be surprising to me (at all) if Aiken doesn't have a huge impact at the major league level? He would be the 4th pitcher on my list at the moment. I'm not super high on Aiken, either.
  19. QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jun 4, 2014 -> 10:31 AM) Surely, the presence of Harrelson in the booth has much more of a direct impact (both positively and negatively) on team marketing than anything Farmer and DJ do. They're actually okay together now. Nothing like the guys we've had in the past like John Rooney, Wayne Hagin...or even Dave Wills, now with the Rays. Just okay. And still way better than Chris Singleton on radio. The more interesting survey would be how well Harrelson does with both men and women under age 40...especially teenagers. I have a feeling a lot of the teenagers' parents grew up with Hawk and pass on their love of the Sox through his broadcasting anecdotes, but there's that other side....the kids growing up without an affiliation or without parents who are huge baseball fans. What do those kids think about him...and how is he perceived? I have a feeling those stories from the 50's, 60's and 70's are going to be of little interest to kids of today's generation, that are so addicted to their ipads, computer games and cell phones. My anecdotal experience is that the younger people are more into because he makes the game more fun and interesting. You can actually tell when important things are happening.
  20. QUOTE (Soxfest @ Jun 1, 2014 -> 12:31 PM) Not going to work anymore since early May. MLB has followed the procedure from their Android app and changed the At Bat app for iPhone, iPod and iPad to force the use of location services. These can’t be bypassed by any vpn or proxy service. These devices now require the location services to be enabled in order for the app to function. This will give away location regardless of the DNS changes. I've gotten around blackout on a rooted Android tablet. I converted my location spoofing app to a system app and used a VPN from the same location. The trick is that if "allow mock locations" is enabled in developer settings, MLB At Bat will not let you watch. Converting the GPS spoofer to a system app allows you to spoof location without enabling mock locations.
  21. I don't think it is completely unreasonable to take issue with team names like Illini, Indians, etc. It is not as offensive as Redskins. To call yourself Indians and use Chief Wahoo is worse than to call yourself Indians and use a chief or a tomahawk or something. Of all things, though, Redskins is the easiest to say, "that has to go." And yes, Pekin Chinks is pretty ridiculous but I remembered that one. Kinda funny they went with Dragons to replace it, but again, that's not so bad since Dragons are meaningful to and symbolic of the culture of Peking, China
  22. QUOTE (Brian @ Jun 4, 2014 -> 08:36 AM) But there wasn't because it's ridiculous, like that analogy. Changing from the Bullets to the Wizards to get away from a violent ideology would've been more suitable. If every school or team changes their Indian mascot names, fine, but why is Washington being singled out? Because "redskin" is a particularly derogatory term that cannot be construed as deferent or respectful
  23. My gut: 1. Rodon 2. Kolek 3. Nola 4. Aiken
  24. Most of us don't know Native Americans, so we don't realize what things do or do not bother them
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