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Everything posted by Balta1701
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The case for Elvis Andrus @ 2nd Base
Balta1701 replied to CaliSoxFanViaSWside's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I don’t care that much if a guy can’t play RF, you can always move Benintendi over to RF and play your backup guy in LF if that’s the position you need to fill. I care more about CF as I can’t move Benintendi there for more than a couple days without it being a game costing disaster. -
It is possible that the AED needed several shocks to restore his heart rhythm also, those things have you continue CPR sometimes as well if the first shock doesn’t resume a normal rhythm. I’m not sure if that would mean anything for his long term prognosis if it did.
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Doesn’t exactly cause it to stop, it interrupts the regular heartbeat and sends it into random muscle firing rather than the standard coordinated heartbeat pattern. An AED shock across the heart is designed for situations like that, you overload the heart to clear the random firing and hopefully it resets to a normal rhythm, although damage can still happen and every second of delay is worrisome. I’m a bit worried that maybe 9 minutes of CPR meant that the nearest AED took that long to get to him.
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The case for Elvis Andrus @ 2nd Base
Balta1701 replied to CaliSoxFanViaSWside's topic in Pale Hose Talk
If someone wants to offer him more than $1 million and a chance to play meaningful games in September, with what he has done the last few years, my reply to him is good luck. If the Diamondbacks want to offer him $2 million and a guaranteed big league slot and he wants to take it, then best wishes. He isn’t worth a guaranteed big league contract to these White Sox. The option to send him to the minors to start the year is quite important to this roster the way it’s set up. And comparing him to Rodon makes me physically recoil. Rodon was a young player who finally broke out after a series of injuries, with every stat saying he was excellent but wore out after 120 innings. If he could stay healthy he looked like an ace, performance wasn’t the question. Andrus is a veteran who had a 2 month stretch of extra home runs, without any support from higher exit velocities or anything else measureable, in fact many of his stats trended the wrong way when he got to Chicago, he hit a couple extra homers, with HR rates that rivaled the best HR hitters in the league for two months and way above his career numbers. Hugely important, was the difference between the White Sox winning 70 some games and being .500, but I will bet a lot he can’t keep up that Hr pace next year. -
The case for Elvis Andrus @ 2nd Base
Balta1701 replied to CaliSoxFanViaSWside's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Here is the list of positions I have come up with where I feel the White Sox have sufficient depth to get through a season with no problems. 1. People named Reinsdorf. 2. The Grounds Crew. Thanks to Roger Bossard. Right now I don't think they even have enough marketing people, they definitely don't have enough radio and TV people under contract, I'm not sure they have enough vendors considering they picketed the bloody stadium at the end of the season, and there's literally no position on the diamond where I would say "They have enough depth that they won't have any issue during this season." So, would Elvis Andrus make sense for this team receiving an invitation to spring training? Absolutely. If they were to sign him, I would go so far as to say that between the injury histories of Moncada and Anderson, Leury's performance and injury history, and the inexperience of Sosa and Romy, there would be a high likelihood that he would make the team out of spring training. If he didn't' make the roster out of spring training we would probably need him for something by the end of May, and right now they have no one they could call up who could fill that kind of role. They would wind up calling up Burger and playing Leury or Romy full time at 2b or SS if someone struggled or got hurt, which is just a mess. The White Sox would be better with Elvis Andrus as an additional option than they are right now. Elvis Andrus is not a starting player on anything other than a bottom of the league team. He is a guy who can be slightly above replacement level, we shouldn't count on anything more than that. But, the White Sox right now don't have replacement level infielders in their organization if anyone gets hurt or if anyone (including Leury, who was awful and who had a back injury last year) struggles again this year. Now here's the problem. If Andrus was on this roster as a spring training invite, and the setup was for him to come up once someone had a chance to struggle through April or once someone got hurt, and he was in a spot where he might receive 200 plate appearances and play 50 games...that's not a terrible plan for $1 million. However, the question is whether we could limit him to that role. If Tony LaRussa was the manager, I would have to say "No you cannot sign him. If you sign him, he will receive 600 plate appearances regardless of how bad he is. It will not matter if a rookie can outperform him, he will get preference because he's a veteran." Can Pedro Grifol manage a veteran and 2 rookies at infield positions? I don't know. I don't have a lot of confidence that they won't screw it up, but if they could do it correctly, having him in the organization could make them better overall. It is also possible that someone could give an Elvis Andrus type player a big league contract. There are bad teams in the league, he could potentially start for one of them right now. The White sox should not offer Andrus that kind of deal, and if he would prefer that to a minor league deal with a team that has an outside chance of competing, then that's his business, find someone else who can fill that role. -
Someone has to note the Blackhawks ownership covering up a sexual assault issue in this discussion. That’s a whole different level of stuff.
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Jeremiah Green, drummer of Modest Mouse. Too many drummers this year. Watch over your drummers please.
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2023 MLB offseason signings and rumors thread
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
A team like Arizona should be signing guys who have decent skills but who may or may not be healthy at positions where they don’t have anyone young, playing them for the first half, and trading the ones that are healthy. -
Because the White Sox’s players were not as good as they were supposed to be. Projection systems didn’t know that Grandal’s back was blown out so they assumed he would still be an above average catcher, and they didn’t know how much Robert’s 2021 injury might affect his 2022 performance. Those two alone basically make up the difference between their projections and their final record. But…those projection systems already did say the White Sox were weak. The White Sox and the Cardinals showed as the weakest projected division winners, so it’s not surprising at all that they were vulnerable. And…projection systems typically underestimate young teams because they have no data on them. Cleveland was a young team, the White Sox were an old team, that’s the setup where a miss is more likely. If we follow that rule again this year - Cleveland is still one of the youngest teams in the league, the White Sox are fairly old overall (although a little younger than last year). Anyway, as I said, Cleveland is flat out better on paper. The White Sox were better on paper last year and turned out to not be. Cleveland could underperform this year, it’s baseball frankly you can’t count out the Royals and Tigers yet, anything is possible. Zips, for example since I have it open, got 4/6 division winners right and the only 2 playoff teams it missed were the White Sox (out) and Phillies (in). It isn’t hopeless, it’s not hopeless for KC and Detroit yet. It is absolutely an uphill climb. On paper, Cleveland is absolutely a better team. Baseball isn’t played on paper, but you also can’t ignore that.
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They were substantially better than the White Sox last year. They played 16 rookies last year, so they have a decent chance of being even better and way deeper this year. Their system is top 5 in baseball so even if people get hurt they have serious depth to call up and use for trades. They’re weak spots last year - power in the middle of the lineup, catcher - they have improved at those in free agency. They lost no one of importance to them in Free Agency. They have one of the best managers in baseball. They now have playoff experience also. If you go position by position, Cleveland is as good or better than the White Sox on paper across the whole roster. A couple might be narrow wins for the White Sox , but on paper that’s it. The White Sox had a negative run differential last year so the White Sox might not even be as good as their .500 record from last year. The White Sox lost their second best player and second best pitcher to free agency. The guys they added in free agency are just trying to make up for what they’ve lost, and they still need others to improve just to make up that ground. The White Sox have a bad system particularly at the upper levels, so it is difficult for them to fill in for injured players with callups or trades. There is a scenario where the White Sox are better, where literally all the problems the last 2 years were LaRussa related and they are super lucky with health this year. Grifol almost certainly would win manager of the year in this case. On paper this is Clearly Cleveland’s division. Someone has to seriously overperform to catch them. It can happen, but very few people outside of Sox fans and no projection systems are going to pick the White Sox this year.
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Rumor: TLR will (NOT*) be present for ST *update
Balta1701 replied to ChiSox59's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Wasn't Garcia also fighting back soreness most of last year, with no real chance to rehab or recover from it? -
2nd Base I guess it’s going to be Sosa or Gonzalez?
Balta1701 replied to AJ'S Cousin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
At the same time though, I think it seems likely that even if they manage to fill one of the remaining holes, they will leave themselves with 2 or 3 other obvious places where things have a high likelihood of going wrong. Outfield - they desperately need a backup OF. You could absolutely have signed Kiermaier for that money and said "Expensive but totally fits the roster". Infield - had they signed Segura to the same deal the Marlins just did, you similarly would have said "yup that makes complete sense, this is actually decent infield depth and this could help bring in the rookies a lot over the next 2 years". Catcher - If Grandal's back goes out in March and this turns out to be a mess, I don't think anyone can be surprised. Starting pitching - it took 1 guy getting COVID last year for Dallas Keuchel to, on paper, be their #2 starter, and a guy they signed as their 6th-7th starter right at the end of spring training last year wound up being their second most important starter. Davis Martin (whoa I almost typed Davis Mills) is fine as one swingman, but this is another obvious spot where the depth could easily collapse by April 1 if two guys pull muscles in spring training or during the WBC. The White Sox haven't made trades to clear any salary or fill any holes so far, and many of the teams that might have taken salary on have done their spending on free agents. There are a couple of possible guys left as free agents who could be useful for each of these positions, but the quality is declining. Their payroll is only about $5 or $6 million below last year's payroll, so it is starting to seem unlikely that they have the resources to fill all of them. If they signed Duvall tomorrow, you'd say it made sense and filled one hole, but you could totally expect that some of the other weaknesses are going to come into play. Depth has been an issue for this franchise each of the last 2 years. I was sitting here at this point last year complaining about the lack of depth. It doesn't seem weird to me to be harping on it again, and it won't be surprising to me when people start saying how no one could have overcome injuries like these in April of next year. -
Rumor: TLR will (NOT*) be present for ST *update
Balta1701 replied to ChiSox59's topic in Pale Hose Talk
A replacement level player is by definition 0 WAR per season. Leury has played 10 seasons (wow). That means, on average, he is a 0.3 WAR per season player. He is, effectively, on average, within error of a replacement level player for his career. That's a guy who, overall, you should have a decent chance of replacing with comparable production midseason by picking a guy up on waivers. Overall, no, that is not good enough for a role player. From 2017-2021, a 5 (ok 4.5) year stretch, he put up 5.8 WAR. That...is acceptable for a role player. It's not Chris Taylor who is an excellent utility player, it's not an average starter on a medium team ~(2 WAR per year). But for a backup, playing part time, getting some value out of being able to play at difficult positions, that's a tolerable role player. That isn't a guy who should be batting 2nd or 3rd on anything other than a 55 win team. That isn't a guy who should be batting 3rd while your recent #3 draft pick bats 7th. That isn't a guy who is so important you can't afford to put him on the IL when he's banged up. That isn't a guy who you need to get in the lineup every day because he's so important that he needs at bats to get out of his slump. -
2nd Base I guess it’s going to be Sosa or Gonzalez?
Balta1701 replied to AJ'S Cousin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Let me look up the Braves for you. Spencer Strider - made the team out of Spring Training. Was in a swingman role. His first start was on May 30. This kept his innings reasonable and gave him time to work into the role. Michael Harris Jr - made his debut on May 28. Grissom - called up on August 10. All 3 of these guys were given time during the year to work into their roles. -
2nd Base I guess it’s going to be Sosa or Gonzalez?
Balta1701 replied to AJ'S Cousin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I think this conversation is coming up right now in large part because the insurance options and backup plans available are dwindling. I don't think anyone out there thought it was a grand idea for the White Sox to sign Nimmo and Benentendi while cutting payroll elsewhere to fit them in. However, if I play this out - Robert regularly has been injured the last 2 years. It would absolutely, 100% make sense to be proactive about resting him early in the year. You should absolutely, 100% expect that he will have a small muscle pull somewhere, and you should be proactive about putting him on the IL when that happens. On top of that, given that Colas is a rookie who isn't all that experienced at baseball in the US, who did move quickly, and who has never played more than 117 games in a season, could there be some serious benefit to giving him extra days off to stay fresh and extra days off to stay in the dugout and receive coaching and practice? Throwing in at least 20 offdays for Benintendi, haven't I just set up need for a guy who can competently play at least 100 games, including some time at CF? There are only a handful of options remaining who can do that. There are not competent options for this in the White Sox's organization right now, their backups are Reyes/Hamilton/a big boost for Cespedes. This is a point of discussion right now because there are now only a few competent options left and the White Sox haven't gotten one. It should continue being discussed until we see an actual fix. -
2nd Base I guess it’s going to be Sosa or Gonzalez?
Balta1701 replied to AJ'S Cousin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
How many of them were in their important role on opening day, rather than earning it during the season? -
2023 MLB offseason signings and rumors thread
Balta1701 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
While I still cannot guess what the White Sox's payroll limit is, I continue to think it's worth pointing out that $5-$6 million for 1 more player puts them pretty much right onto last year's payroll. At some point, there may be an additional reason why they're not getting these done - all of Duvall, Segura, an extra catcher, and an extra swingman pitcher might make sense for this roster, but they may not be able to afford it. -
Liam Hendriks coming up in trade discussions
Balta1701 replied to Sleepy Harold's topic in Pale Hose Talk
It is entirely possible that this happens. But what team is going to give you a useful contributor and take on $9 million in salary because they are so certain that it will? Literally none. As with Kimbrel last year, you could take a bad contract back if you could find one, but no team is giving you a valuable big league level guy with several years of affordable control for a guy who is effectively worthless. -
Rumor: TLR will (NOT*) be present for ST *update
Balta1701 replied to ChiSox59's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Yes, I would expect a normal shortstop to fall off a little if they didn’t practice shortstop every day. This is why true gold glove shortstops pretty often stay at shortstop for the first part of their careers and only become utility guys later when they’re bats aren’t good enough or they lose a step at SS, because strong defense there is really useful. No one is asking a guy like Leury to be a gold glove shortstop, you’re asking him to not be so bad that he costs you every game he plays. For Anderson in particular- hell I have no idea what went on with him at SS last year, there were weeks when it looked like he’d never played the position before. -
Rumor: TLR will (NOT*) be present for ST *update
Balta1701 replied to ChiSox59's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Of course not. Leury Garcia has a career .644 OPS. Luis Robert has a career .808 OPS. Your utility guy needs to be "good enough that he doesn't cost you the game". -
2nd Base I guess it’s going to be Sosa or Gonzalez?
Balta1701 replied to AJ'S Cousin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I'd be only half surprised if they brought in someone like Andrus or Harrison, but either of them seem a notable downgrade and less likely to be successful rotation players. -
Rumor: TLR will (NOT*) be present for ST *update
Balta1701 replied to ChiSox59's topic in Pale Hose Talk
It would be difficult for me, is that what you're going with here? I think there are a whole lot of players who could do that, but they're good enough at their current positions that you don't want them to. Could Tim Anderson do that? Probably. If he had a couple months to work on outfield, could he be at least as good as Pollock in the OF? Probably. He doesn't have the frame for 1b or for catcher, but anywhere else? Sure. With enough practice, could Robert play everywhere other than C and maybe SS? Heck, there's a decent chance that this time next year I'll be saying that Robert has to be moved out of CF. With most guys who have the physical tools to do this, you want them working specifically on one position to try to be excellent at one position rather than good at several. There are probably about as many guys who are truly elite at being utility guys as there are who are truly elite at other positions. -
Doesn't the White Sox/Bulls ownership group own a large share of NBC Sports Chicago already?
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2nd Base I guess it’s going to be Sosa or Gonzalez?
Balta1701 replied to AJ'S Cousin's topic in Pale Hose Talk
If you brought in a "Segura" right now, your bench on opening day is probably something like Seby, Romy, Leury, and Hamilton/Reyes, with Sosa starting in AAA (or swap Sosa and Romy depending on who has a good spring training). Out of Segura, Moncada, and Anderson, you probably plan on 0 of them getting 600 plate appearances, hell there's a good chance one of them is hurt before the team breaks camp. Leury hasn't exactly been the paragon of health either, last year he is another guy who probably should have gotten an IL stint to try to heal up. If Sosa was putting up a .850 OPS at Charlotte for the first few weeks and we were handling this well, it wouldn't be long before he was up either to fill in for an injury or because someone was struggling. Compared to last year, if people are struggling with the bat and dealing with a minor nagging injury, it would make way more sense to put them on the IL for 2 weeks to let them rest and do some strength training rather than playing them every day and hoping they can play through it. Having a guy who was as bad as Leury on the roster isn't ideal, but at least there's several backup plans - hopefully one of them would work well enough.