southsider2k5

As bad as Outman has been, I am only interested if the Dodgers trade for Robert, and need to move him out for a roster spot as a back of the deal type of addition, and not as a significant piece.

The good news for the Sox is there is maybe one other superstar level pitcher on the market right now, and even Skubal is questionable with the Tigers status. If no one offers a Sale like package by the 30th, I am very probably taking the highest offer out there and running with it.

Don't get me wrong, it has been fascinating to see this unfold in real time, but just because The Sox have rolled like 5 sevens in a row with Crochet's health, doesn't mean the next roll will also be a seven.

This feels more like I ran out on the interstate that one time and didn't get hit by a truck and die, ergo, the interstate is safe to run out on to.

That's not how this works. The best indicator for future injury is past injury.

Dodgers related, this is interesting.

There are guys who you can wait on, Fedde should be gone to the highest bidder.

And look, if there was some body of work that actually supported the idea that guys who have year after year of injury problems just suddenly get healthy and explode their workloads without ever looking back again, then I would be more open to it. But Garrett Crochet would be a literal first here.

His injuries were not just his elbow to where you can blame his entire history on that one thing.

So if he wasn't good enough for pro ball after the one year, how is it that he would have been fine in pro ball the previous year?

His 2020, 2021 and 2022 seasons had nothing to do with that.

He has pitched more innings in this one season than he had in 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 combined, even including his college innings. The fact that anyone would see it weird to question a guys health history in this circumstance is bizarre. He is the definition of an injury history.

And pretty much every single hitter in the Yankees top 10 too. They have been awful this year. Arias was thought of the next superstar, and has been awful. Pereiera has been really bad with the Yankees. Lombard has been awful in A ball. The only guy who has had a good season is Dominguez and I would be shocked if they let him go.

He's portrayed that way because he has had injuries literally every year of his professional career until now, plus going back to his college career he had injuries then as well.

Even his employers don't feel he is conditioned for a full season as a starter.

He is not conditioned to pitch a full MLB season.

Conditioning and a long injury history are major concerns for Crochet.

For Crochet specifically, I see the risk WAY higher than was on Cease.

Yeah, that's why I gave the "realistic" caveat. Sure we could go get Alonso and Soto in free agency, but are we? Nah.

I would bet the mortgage on a 3rd straight, and give decent odds on a 4th one. I don't see a realistic scenario where 2025 isn't a 100 loss season.

And then crazy amount of pointless roster churning this year, and losing players in the process for nothing is another strike.

I haven't seen anything to tell me that Getz has the stones to wait out a proper deal.