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StrangeSox

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Everything posted by StrangeSox

  1. Hospitalization and % positive test rate are both climbing steadily in Texas. In Arizona, ICU beds are almost full. Reminds me of the "there's no global warming, 1998 was the hottest year" stuff you'd see until we regularly set new temp records every year. That's why we have trendlines of different periods rather than comparing to local maxima or minima.
  2. You can make a partial analogy to the way we identify carcinogens. We can't prove that any one case of lung cancer was caused by tobacco use. But what we can do is look at all of the data of lung cancer prevalence in different populations and come to a solid conclusion about the carcinogenic effects of smoking. Similarly, we can look at things like studies where headshots are or aren't included and find discriminatory effects when they are. We can look at studies that send out identical resumes with only different names like Joe Smith or Jamaal Griffith and see substantially different interview scheduling results. Many, many studies of these sorts of effects are out there. And then we can look at the public policy discriminations that are well documented. Josh linked that piece from Ta-Nehisi Coates earlier in the thread where he examined deeply discriminatory housing and education policy in the 20th century. None of this is new or hidden. You just have to be willing to listen to what reality is telling you.
  3. Hospitalizations across Texas for COVID are climbing steadily.
  4. is there any easy tracker for daily positive test % by state?
  5. They just hadn't yet been discharged by the time the study closed. So very long hospitalization.
  6. The weird thing is that BLS was completely upfront with the systemic errors in their numbers this month. This is in their original press release: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm | However, there was also a large number of workers who were classified as employed but | | absent from work. As was the case in March and April, household survey interviewers | | were instructed to classify employed persons absent from work due to coronavirus- | | related business closures as unemployed on temporary layoff. However, it is apparent | | that not all such workers were so classified. BLS and the Census Bureau are | | investigating why this misclassification error continues to occur and are taking | | additional steps to address the issue. | | | | If the workers who were recorded as employed but absent from work due to "other | | reasons" (over and above the number absent for other reasons in a typical May) had | | been classified as unemployed on temporary layoff, the overall unemployment rate | | would have been about 3 percentage points higher than reported (on a not seasonally | | adjusted basis). However, according to usual practice, the data from the household | | survey are accepted as recorded. To maintain data integrity, no ad hoc actions are | | taken to reclassify survey responses. They say right there that the data is misclassified and that the U-3 is 3 points higher! Outside of a tweet from Minnesota Public Radio, though, I haven't seen the media reporting anything but the "2.5M jobs gained; wow!" top line numbers. e: WaPo did a writeup https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/06/05/may-2020-jobs-report-misclassification-error/
  7. Some good news: https://www.wsj.com/articles/coronavirus-good-news-11591399491
  8. So there was positive employment news today! Unemployment down to 13.1%! Except it turns out BLS accidentally misclassified 4.9M unemployed people as employed. Oops.
  9. wow shocked to learn that the police are lying to us yet again?? Police across the country are showing and telling us all exactly who they are. Believe them.
  10. Don't worry, they're resigning en masse! But it's because there's even a tiny amount of accountability for the thugs who violently assaulted a 75 year old peace activist and left him bleeding from his head as they marched on to attack others.
  11. You can judge people who choose to be part of these violent organizations who at best turn a blind eye to what goes on around them Expect to see a whole lot of suspicious charges against protesters and especially organizers. The lawlessness is rampant in departments at every level from coast to coast.
  12. They do feel invincible and don't fear consequences. These are deliberate shows of force Group psychology makes sure the good cops are at best complicit Here's some more of our boys in blue, this time giving armed white supremacists a heads up that they're about to violently assault and arrest protesters. They try to do it discretely so that they don't "appear to be playing favorites." They similarly let armed white supremacist gangs roam around fishtown in Philly a few days back. What more are they doing across the country that isn't being caught on film? edit: and why would law enforcement be seizing masks?
  13. CPD getting in on the violence, dragging two women from their car and assaulting them, including kneeling on one of their necks. https://abc7chicago.com/cpd-officers-under-investigation-in-brickyard-mall-incident;-family-to-speak-out/6230816/ As for how much we spend on policing vs. social programs, another illustration. This time from LA via an @dril tweet comparison.
  14. They're demonstrating their power and unaccountability.
  15. I'd recommend that everyone go read "Ordinary Men: Reserve Police Battalion 101 and the Final Solution in Poland." It's not about policing per se. It's about the power of ideologically driven group think that can get, well, perfectly ordinary people to commit heinous crimes against their fellow man. The men in Battalion 101 weren't ardent Nazis. They were drafted into rear guard service from a fairly non Nazi part of Germany from not particularly Nazi friendly backgrounds and demographics. Nevertheless, their crimes against humanity slowly ratcheted up to marching thousands to the edge of mass graves, shooting the people in the base of the skull, and shoving them into the pit to make room for the next batch. American police forces obviously are not at Nazi mass murder. It's not anywhere I think they'd ever get. But the point is that sort of social organizational influence can lead nearly anyone to do horrific things in the right conditions. That sort of deep organizational rot seems to be where a lot of police forces are in this country today. A seige-occupation mentality where the people they are policing aren't their fellow citizens and residents but others. Look into David Grossman and the training his group gives to police agencies across the country that drills into them that they're all in war zones and need to be ready to kill. Even if you want to completely discount any analogies to modern policing issues, it's a very good and important book. Think Stanford prison experiments but, you know, horribly real.
  16. More police violence on innocent people tonight, this time in Buffalo. Where are all the good cops immediately arresting the guy who just violently assaulted this man? edit: oh they're just blatantly lying about, natch
  17. But you're arguing that as a society we abandon the children, outside of brutally policing them.
  18. This article's a few years old, but the focus of it is early and mid-20th century housing and educational policy/funding. He focused on Chicago. Even if you don't come to the same ultimate conclusion as him, it's a thorough review of decades and really centuries of the prevention of accumulation of black wealth and the looting of whatever wealth the community obtains. edit: there's an ancient filibuster thread on the article as well as others like his "The Ghetto is Public Policy" which iirc was a genesis for the much larger article you linked https://www.theatlantic.com/national/archive/2013/05/the-ghetto-is-public-policy/275456/ edit: I had asked Prof. Sharkey for some more info back when the article came out:
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