sure, he could miss a 20 yard chip shot too
I guess you'd need to dive down into win probabilities to see the risk/reward of getting say 3 yards closer and centering the ball (or putting it exactly wherever the kicker wants it) vs. the chance of losing yards or even a fumble.
still don't think the kneel-down is the right call or defensible though
but also, they lost because their kicker missed two FG's including one as time expired