JUSTgottaBELIEVE
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Everything posted by JUSTgottaBELIEVE
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The Sox aren't spending "right now"
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Seems like the left side of the staring infield next season is Montgomery (3b) and Baldwin (SS). I’m down with that. Sosa is fine at 2b. Vargas can play the utility role full time (IF/OF). -
If the Sox had a competent GM Crochet would have been moved for a haul last month and Robert would have been moved for a haul last offseason but here we are
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But I was assured his trade value would be better than last month if they just hold on to him longer. He’s following the Moncada path and will have negative surplus value by the last year of his contract.
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Doesn’t a guy like Baldwin fit this mold though? I think you can win a lot of games with a roster full of Brooks Baldwin’s.
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Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Take a look, many of the Os guys graduated and/or were traded. They start to get very thin once Holliday also loses prospect status in a month. They’ll have just two T100 guys then. -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Funny -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Not if they’re shitty until 2030 like @southsider2k5 predicts -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Yes, they are -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Again, they’re going to have waves of prospects coming thru just like the Orioles have had in recent years. Like the Orioles, the Sox are going to have several years of high draft picks as well as signing of free agents with the sole purpose of flipping them for prospects every July. No doubt they’re going to have a top 3 and likely even top farm system for a few years. That’s not my concern, my concern is development and sustained success. People laughed when I said the Orioles window is going to close quicker than most think. “But look at how stocked their farm system is!” Holliday will be graduating from prospect status soon (assuming he doesn’t suck ass again and get demoted) so pretty soon their #3 prospect is Enrique Bradfield (seems to me their farm system depth is depleting). Easy to tank and be an annual seller. Hard to put a team over the top and sustain contender status while maintaining a strong farm system like the Dodgers or Astros. -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
So all the critiques of Fedde from May were resolved two months later? No mlb track record, one year wonder at age 30+, etc.? Seems like many are playing both sides of the coin here. He returned exactly what I expected him to return. I never believed he was returning a top 100 guy. Just like I didn’t believe Jack Flaherty was either. -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
They have a great shot of landing the top draft pick in 2026 if that makes you feel any better? Grady Emerson sounds fun. -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
And if you asked people here what they thought they would get for Fedde back in April/May many didn’t think they’d even get a single 45/50 FV prospect. -
Crochet Trade Updates (Nightengale)
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Chicago White Sox's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Fangraphs has the Sox farm system as #3 in MLB now. After they trade Crochet and Robert this offseason they’ll be #1. Additionally, they’re going to be bad the next couple years so more high draft picks and signing/trading of free agent rentals for additional prospects the next two summers. They’ll be a consistent top 3 farm system for the next few years so that won’t be the issue. The issue is will Jerry allow for high end free agent signings with the payroll sitting well below $100M in the coming seasons and will the Sox be able to develop their top rated prospects at the mlb level once they’re there? -
Latest as of early 7/30 GC likely to move, LR not
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to southsider2k5's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Said in another thread, Robert is our future Moncada. They’ll hold on to him until the end of his contract and get nothing for him. Fans here will rejoice when he’s no longer on the team. -
Guess Trade Values of Sox Starters
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Next we’ll see how accurate my 55 FV + 2 45/50 FV prospect prediction was for Crochet -
Guess Trade Values of Sox Starters
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Trade Winds 2024
I originally thought Fedde would return a 45/50 FV + flier. I think most would have been happy about that and some even questioned he’d return that much. It’s difficult to separate his exact return in the 3 team trade but it appears he essentially returned a 45 FV prospect + Vargas (who is likely equivalent to a 45/50 FV prospect at this point). Pretty good guess back in April and certainly more than most expected at that time. -
Randy Arozarena traded to SEA
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to CWSpalehoseCWS's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Been saying for awhile, Robert’s current value isn’t near what most here seem to think it is. It’s fine, we’ll hold on to him until the bitter end of his contract and get nothing for him ala Moncada. -
Crochet wants an extension to pitch in the playoffs
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to southsider2k5's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Huge -
Crochet wants an extension to pitch in the playoffs
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to southsider2k5's topic in Trade Winds 2024
We have no idea if there’s any truth to what Heyman reported. Regardless, Fedde, Kopech, Brebbia, Banks, Flexen, Wilson are all on the block. Miller being unavailable might actually result in Kopech returning a 45 FV prospect. -
Crochet wants an extension to pitch in the playoffs
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to southsider2k5's topic in Trade Winds 2024
Mason Miller off the trade market due to injury. That combined with the Rangers back in the playoff race certainly helps the Sox leverage. -
Just saying even a guy like Mayo will be a bust here if we’re being honest
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Let’s be honest, guys like Mayo have no shot either. Might as well load up on pitching and try to win games 2-1.
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Cease has no hitter going into 8th vs. WSH
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I think that’s the argument. Does being durable make you an ace though? Kyle Gibson has been extremely durable but does that make him anything more than a solid #4? -
Cease has no hitter going into 8th vs. WSH
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Cease doesn’t even have the best ERA on his team. He’s not a frontline ace for a contender like Corbin Burnes or Chris Sale. He’s a low end #2 or good #3. Anyways, I’m happy with the return the Sox got for him. -
Cease has no hitter going into 8th vs. WSH
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
And still higher than Drew Thorpe. Crazy.