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JUSTgottaBELIEVE

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Everything posted by JUSTgottaBELIEVE

  1. Never really thought of Rutherford as a high upside player. I’d want a high upside arm that is close to the majors if they’re going to trade Colome.
  2. Who replaces him at closer for the rest of this season and next if they trade him? I’ve heard several people now say he’s easy to replace, so who would the Sox replace him with?
  3. I’m thinking the return is a 50/55 grade prospect and another 40/45 grade prospect. I’d do it if the 50/55 prospect had high upside like Hernandez.
  4. Some guys outperform their advanced stats. Regression never came for Mariano Rivera. His career ERA was 0.55 less than his FIP and 0.78 less than his xFIP. Colome’s career trends are comparable. So even if Colome’s ERA increases a run to the low 3’s, he’s still a better option at closer than most guys (has a career save percentage of 90% = proven/reliable). He’s proven to be reliable whereas guys like Luke Jackson are anything but.
  5. He has major control issues but I’d take a chance on a big arm like D Hernandez and another lotto ticket.
  6. Sure seems the Braves and Phillies could use some bullpen help as well. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.talkingchop.com/platform/amp/2019/6/16/18680678/braves-news-bullpen-woes-are-not-exclusive-to-the-phillies-unfortunately
  7. Point is to simply quote strikeout rate as the lone metric for a reliever’s effectiveness is absurd. I’ve said it before but Colome is a poor man’s Rivera. That’s not a slight on Colome either.
  8. Mariano Rivera had a career strikeout rate of 8.22 K/9. I wonder if teams thought he was just a guy too.
  9. Both have been bad but the Mariners are worse and there’s no reason for any sense of optimism with that franchise over the next few years unlike the Sox.
  10. There’s more to a catcher’s defense than framing. McCann is marginally better at framing but he leaps and bounds better at blocking balls, minimizing errors/miscues, and shutting down the opponent’s run game. Not sure how many games you’ve watched the last few years but it’s a night and day difference when you compare their defense. It’s really not even close.
  11. I don’t understand the love for Narvaez. He was terrible defensively. He’s basically what I expect from Collins in another year or two. OPS around 800 but poor defense. That’s fine for the backup catcher/DH/occasional 1b but not as the primary catcher. Give me a guy like McCann all day every day as the primary catcher even if his OPS is 100-150 points less than a guy like Narvaez (which of course it isn’t this year).
  12. Jones sucked when they tried him as their closer. Matt Thornton was another guy. Dominant setup man that sucked hard whenever they’d try him as closer.
  13. Using WAR to compare all relievers to closers is ridiculous. Nate Jones at his peak was a 2 fWAR guy. Would you want him closing out games over a guy like Colome, who’s highest fWAR season as a reliever is 1.2? That’s a rhetorical question and is Exhibit A for why comparing middle relievers and setup guys to closers is misguided.
  14. Since TB made him a closer back in 2016, Colome has a 91% save percentage (111/122) and an ERA under 3 while functioning as the team’s closer. Hard to find anyone with a better track record in save percentage and ERA, especially a team like the Braves that need a closer specifically (unless you trust Luke Jackson).
  15. Slide Eloy to DH when you play JDM in RF or LF, Abreu at 1b. Vaughn won’t be ready until late next year or early 2021.
  16. Depends on what Abreu is willing to sign for. If it’s a 1 or 2 year deal having both guys could definitely work.
  17. Hopefully they skip Manny’s next start so Gio pitches against the Cubs in the second game of the series on Wednesday.
  18. Guess who played RF tonight for the Red Sox...I know he sucks defensively but that lineup with JDM in RF and Abreu at DH might score 900 runs. Especially if they also signed Grandal to catch.
  19. Does this count as a win against a “good” team or do the Yankees suck too?
  20. Puig will be lucky to do better than a 2 year deal unless he has a monster second half this season.
  21. Not hindsight. I was calling for this before the season started.
  22. It only took 6 months but I see everyone has now figured out why I was saying last offseason that Harper was the much better fit than Machado for the Sox both now and in the future. Big missed opportunity there.
  23. Well, not really. The people labeling him a bust haven’t shown up in Madrigal threads over the past week. I wonder why ?‍♂️
  24. His defense is trending the wrong way in a hurry and he’s basically a 90 wRC+ hitter in a Cubs uniform over the past 4 years. Hard pass. I’d rather sign Avi Garcia to a cheap deal (certainly far cheaper than $50M) than trade for Heyward.
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