JUSTgottaBELIEVE
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Everything posted by JUSTgottaBELIEVE
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Some guys outperform their advanced stats. Regression never came for Mariano Rivera. His career ERA was 0.55 less than his FIP and 0.78 less than his xFIP. Colome’s career trends are comparable. So even if Colome’s ERA increases a run to the low 3’s, he’s still a better option at closer than most guys (has a career save percentage of 90% = proven/reliable). He’s proven to be reliable whereas guys like Luke Jackson are anything but.
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There’s more to a catcher’s defense than framing. McCann is marginally better at framing but he leaps and bounds better at blocking balls, minimizing errors/miscues, and shutting down the opponent’s run game. Not sure how many games you’ve watched the last few years but it’s a night and day difference when you compare their defense. It’s really not even close.
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I don’t understand the love for Narvaez. He was terrible defensively. He’s basically what I expect from Collins in another year or two. OPS around 800 but poor defense. That’s fine for the backup catcher/DH/occasional 1b but not as the primary catcher. Give me a guy like McCann all day every day as the primary catcher even if his OPS is 100-150 points less than a guy like Narvaez (which of course it isn’t this year).
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Using WAR to compare all relievers to closers is ridiculous. Nate Jones at his peak was a 2 fWAR guy. Would you want him closing out games over a guy like Colome, who’s highest fWAR season as a reliever is 1.2? That’s a rhetorical question and is Exhibit A for why comparing middle relievers and setup guys to closers is misguided.
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Since TB made him a closer back in 2016, Colome has a 91% save percentage (111/122) and an ERA under 3 while functioning as the team’s closer. Hard to find anyone with a better track record in save percentage and ERA, especially a team like the Braves that need a closer specifically (unless you trust Luke Jackson).
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Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Slide Eloy to DH when you play JDM in RF or LF, Abreu at 1b. Vaughn won’t be ready until late next year or early 2021. -
Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Depends on what Abreu is willing to sign for. If it’s a 1 or 2 year deal having both guys could definitely work. -
Sox vs Yankees 6/14 - 7:10PM
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to smalls2598's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Hopefully they skip Manny’s next start so Gio pitches against the Cubs in the second game of the series on Wednesday. -
Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Guess who played RF tonight for the Red Sox...I know he sucks defensively but that lineup with JDM in RF and Abreu at DH might score 900 runs. Especially if they also signed Grandal to catch. -
Sox vs Yankees 6/14 - 7:10PM
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to smalls2598's topic in 2019 Season in Review
Does this count as a win against a “good” team or do the Yankees suck too? -
Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Puig will be lucky to do better than a 2 year deal unless he has a monster second half this season. -
Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Not hindsight. I was calling for this before the season started. -
Nick Madrigal promoted to Birmingham
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Sleepy Harold's topic in FutureSox Board
304/369/415 (784 OPS) and...2.4 K% ? -
Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
It only took 6 months but I see everyone has now figured out why I was saying last offseason that Harper was the much better fit than Machado for the Sox both now and in the future. Big missed opportunity there. -
Nick Madrigal promoted to Birmingham
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to Sleepy Harold's topic in FutureSox Board
Well, not really. The people labeling him a bust haven’t shown up in Madrigal threads over the past week. I wonder why ?♂️ -
Future White Sox Lineup #GetExcited
JUSTgottaBELIEVE replied to JUSTgottaBELIEVE's topic in Pale Hose Talk
His defense is trending the wrong way in a hurry and he’s basically a 90 wRC+ hitter in a Cubs uniform over the past 4 years. Hard pass. I’d rather sign Avi Garcia to a cheap deal (certainly far cheaper than $50M) than trade for Heyward.