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Everything posted by caulfield12
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QUOTE (qwerty @ May 15, 2009 -> 05:19 PM) The bold is entirely false. There is nothing clear about it. The second line is essentially as false as the first. The third line baffles me because it just is not a fact, and by the third line i mean saying rowand wasn't a better defender during ''hunter's'' prime. You do not believe in metrics and go strickly with what you see with your eyes. Others may reply to me with '' well you are only looking at metrics''. This would be the furthest from the case. I go with visual, factual, and knowledge... combined. Then, and only then, is when i base my decision. Basic fact: Since we're all White Sox fans, it's impossible to be objective about "our" players. We tend to either deify them or crucify them more than we should. They are never as good OR as bad as we think usually. I've watched almost as many Twins games as White Sox games over the last 5-6 seasons and there's no way Rowand was better than Hunter in CF from 2002-2004. The reason Aaron Rowand had to dive for so many balls is he took bad routes or misjudged a lot of balls. He's not nearly the defender Anderson is (not talking about their arms) in terms of jumps, instincts, routes, proper technique...Anderson is clearly better. I never say anything good about Brian Anderson as a hitter, but Rowand's not even in his class. Not to mention that I don't give extra points for crashing into wallks or playing so recklessly that he ends up hurting his team by having to go onto the disabled list.
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Question for Greg Walker haters...
caulfield12 replied to Kenny Hates Prospects's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (Reddy @ May 15, 2009 -> 06:46 PM) this is close to one of the most ridiculous posts i've ever read. Obviously I was being sarcastic. Sorry, should have put it in teal. Rongey said on the postgame show that Walker's basic premise was that the mechanical changes in the hitters happened during the offseason and that it was VERY VERY difficult to make any adjustments with the hitters during the course of the season. He cited the examples of Thome and Konerko last year...that Walker knew what was wrong with their swings, hands, balance, stride, etc., but that it was a year-long battle to get them both out of bad mechanics. Hawk's favorite phrase, "muscle memory," also comes to mind. Essentially, the argument was that Tiger Woods can watch someone with a horrible gold swing and tell him points A, B, C of what is wrong with the swing mechanics, but that it's very hard to correct them, because it's almost like starting over from scratch and totally building up your swing from ZERO, deconstructing a swing. For instance, you watch Alexei and Konerko tonight, they had swings (homer and single to RF) where they had almost no extra hand movement or hitch in their swings. Simple to see and diagnose, hard to "fine tune" during the season, when baseball is 90% mental and confidence. -
Question for Greg Walker haters...
caulfield12 replied to Kenny Hates Prospects's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I don't think we even need a hitting coach. We need a team psychologist more, because improving the thinking of Floyd and Contreras would help more than anything a hitting coach could do. I think you could take any of the moderators here and put them with the 2006 White Sox team and there wouldn't have been any difference in terms of offensive output...just like you could take a mod and make them coach of the Fab Five Michigan or even the UNLV teams earlier and there wouldn't be anything more than a negligible difference in the final results. -
I think our best possible infield (defensively) would be Ramirez at SS, Nix at 2B and Beckham at 3B.
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Hunter was better than Rowand (clearly) until about 3 years ago. They're probably even now, although age is catching a bit with Rowand as well. Anderson's better than Rowand or Hunter, but neither Rowand nor Anderson are/were better than Hunter in his prime on turf.
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It seems (from listening to many of the games) he has a really strong arm (I know he threw a runner out at 2nd last night and the same runner didn't try to go 1st to 3rd on a single the next time around)...but not the kind of speed or agility for CF. Of course, expecting someone like Gartrell or Shelby to put up a 850 OPS at a corner OF spot would REALLY be pushing it. We'd have to get some stolen bases (Shelby) and also power from Flowers, plus some unexpected pop from Beckham/Nix/Getz/Ramirez up the middle to compensate for offense we might lose playing Jordan Danks and either a Gartrell or Shelby in the same outfield.
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http://thesportseconomist.com/2005/05/mone...win-fallacy.htm Things like this have been done many times before...the problem is that Oakland A's, Twins or Rays usually "win" this competition, but they're not necessarily successful in terms of winning playoff series or getting to the World Series. GM's like Epstein, Cashman, Minaya, Lynch, etc., will never have a chance because they HAVE to win and they have the budgets to be competitive every year, so they really could care less about cost per win, the only thing is the bottom line of winning the the World Series or not.
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Discuss our 25 year-old Barons outfielder. Is this season an anomaly? Who do you think from the Birmingham roster is more likely to stick with the White Sox in the future (of the non Top 10 types), Gartrell or Retherford? Cook? What is his biggest weakness besides average speed and strikeouts? Would anyone feel confident if they knew that Shelby or Gartrell would be the starting LFer or RFer for the White Sox in 2010 or 2011? That Retherford might be the starting 3B in 2010 or 2011?
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All teams have that "cost/benefit" analysis way of looking at their rosters. Some use VORP and mix it in with salary to get an "overall efficiency" factor for any given player. A perfect example of this is Wilson Betemit versus Juan Uribe. We didn't have anyone (maybe it's Nix now) who could play 3B, SS and 2B AND hit just a little bit. Lillibridge can't hit, Betemit can't field. So the question is do you go with Juan Uribe at $3.6 million or Wilson Betemit at $1.3 million. Personally, with how our pitching has been, I would rather have Uribe's defensive abilities and occasional power (he's also sure to get runners in from 3rd with less than 2 outs, a big weakness for the Sox) than a player in Betemit who's not being used correctly and is a defensively liability at any position on the field. One of the keys to making the playoffs last season was having an experienced/veteran bench player like Uribe to fill the void when Crede went down. Our bench this year is the worst it has been in many years. Before, we had Ozuna, who could give you a spark offensively and play adequate defense. I'll give Nix the benefit of the doubt that he can replace Uribe, though. That's turning out to be a pretty astute pick-up by KW, because if Fields fails to make it, Nix will be the first player they turn to. I'm not sure Ozzie will be able to trust Betemit's defense at 3B, although a platoon of Nix/Betemit might be the best overall option offensively.
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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ May 15, 2009 -> 12:01 PM) The good news is the Sox don't have to be all that good to compete in their division. The problem I have with the offseason is it went entirely away from the gunslinger mentality KW loves to hear people refer to the way he goes about things. There's going conservative and there's the way the White Sox handled last offseason. I just wish the team wouldn't have been satisfied with trying to compete, but trying to blow away the rest of the AL Central. There were plenty of good players available at discounted prices and short term commitments. With all the money coming off the books after this season, it really wouldn't have been nearly the gamble giving Hunter or Fukudome 5 years just one year earlier would have been. We should be fine if we can get a corner OF, DH (if we don't keep Dye) and solidify the starting rotation. It's much easier to pay for an Abreu or Dunn than it is to find a CF like Danks who can lead off and also play very good defense. So we're saving a ton of money there if Danks works out, and there's a good feeling about him within the organization. There was an opportunity to blow away everyone in the division by adding Crisp and Edwin Jackson, and it didn't happen...but there's no team that can run off a 10 game winning streak, so KW still has a chance to fix this season, if he so chooses. Or he can do something that's nearly impossible for him, sit on his hands and neither be a buyer NOR seller and ride out the season with the idea of fielding a much better, more interesting and younger team for 2010.
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QUOTE (Texsox @ May 15, 2009 -> 11:50 AM) We are stuck as well, but with flea market finds. It would be interesting if there was a cost/productivity stat that could be developed. KW could make an argument that he has viable back-up options at every position on the team 3B: Betemit, Nix, Getz, Viciedo, Retherford SS: Nix, Beckham, Lillibridge (try not to laugh), Torres 2B: Nix, Beckham, Lillibridge, Retherford 1B: Betemit, Allen/Viciedo C: Lucy, Flowers DH: Flowers/Allen/Viciedo The two weaknesses on this team are obvious, going forward. The outfield might need two replacements (Anderson, Dye) and the starting rotation. Assuming Jordan Danks is ticketed for CF and leadoff that leaves LF, assuming Quentin is moved. For LF, we have Viciedo, John Shelby, Gartrell and/or trade/FA. For bullpen, Santeliz, Omogrosso and Nunez. But Poreda is really the only one projected to have a chance to be a legit starter in the big leagues. So looking for starters and LF (preferably a power-hitting LH like Dunn with better defensive ability) are the two areas of priority. Or we could leave Quentin in LF and find a RH. Or keep Dye for a lesser amount of money as the full-time DH...but then we really HAVE to get a LH power hitter for the outfield, with Thome gone.
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They would much rather have Nix, who any team in baseball could have claimed last year. Nix is as good defensively as Lillibridge and has the 2nd best RH swing on the team right now.
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Torii Hunter would have been a huge mistake at anything over $10 million per year for 3 years. He'd already lost a couple of steps defensively, and his numbers offensively aren't overwhelming. He's very, very streaky and he strikes out way too much. It would have been great to see him beating the Twins after so many plays (running over Jamie Burke, robbing Carlos Lee, etc.) against us in a Twins' uniform, but we're really fortunate not to have been stuck with Fukudome, Rowand or Hunter.
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QUOTE (Texsox @ May 15, 2009 -> 10:54 AM) Doesn't basketball have a salary cap? I'm not certain it is fair to compare MLB and the NBA. Plus, I was just thinking the NBA has smaller rosters and without the extensive farm system. I'm not certain how much that comes into play. The finance guys have left the discussion, but it would seem that it is easier to make money in the NBA and the hardest in baseball. I'd rank it NFL > NBA > MLB > NHL MLB has been much more profitable than the NBA over the last decade. Not even close. In terms of year-to-year profitability as well as franchise appreciation.
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The problem is that the White Sox seem to treat Chicago like an inelastic market and they can just charge almost any price they want to because 80% of their annual attendance theoretically comes from people who would almost pay anything to watch White Sox baseball, at least that must be the thinking. What I don't get is how teams like the Dodgers and Angels have much more affordable ticket prices, concessions, parking, etc. Last time I checked, LA was a significantly more expensive cost-of-living market than Chicago. With this team, it seems like we'll be in the mix for most of the year, but it doesn't have any identity at all for the fans. We were a great home team last year. This feels like one of those seasons (with the economy being what it is) that the fans will be a bit pessimistic and wait as long as possible before they commit to coming out and supporting the team. Last year, in the beginning, you felt that the team might be good because of the starting pitching, the bullpen and the way they played at home. Then it gets back to the old argument...you don't want to go through another 72-90 season, but if it gives you another Beckham in the draft, might it be worth it? Especially with some of the small-market teams perhaps shying away from some of the Top 10 picks in 2010 because of affordability, it gives the White Sox a chance to get a franchise player even better than Beckham. Hopefully a college pitcher that could make an immediate impact, because pitching will be the most expensive cost to replace. But the cost of that 72-90 would be a loss of around 20-30% of the season ticket base...and theoretically they wouldn't do anything SIGNIFICANT to improve the team (OF/starting pitcher) through free agency but marketing the Birmingham team as the future and hoping the excitement of the arrival of 6-7 new players at one time would be enough to keep the season ticket holders around. I'd guess they would hold off on CF if Danks continues to impress, but that the pitching staff would be the area they'd have to improve. And it's area where we haven't spent since David Wells in free agency, but the Homer Bailey's of the world will be even more difficult to pry away. Personally, I'd rather have lower ticket prices, but I can also understand why they wanted to "lock" in those revenues for 09. The only question is what financial shape we'll be in for 2010. Going from $115 million to $65 million would be pretty astounding, but it's quite possible.
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Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (kyyle23 @ May 13, 2009 -> 09:22 PM) JP Ricciardi/Adam Dunn, Jim Bowden while with the Nats and Cinci was pretty outspoken, Omar Minaya is a daily quote in any NY paper and save your "i was his biggest cheerleader" speech, you havent been on ST very long and you have already written three novels on KW and they have gradually turned on him, and now he has the biggest ego ever and kicked your dog. so GMAB back to you Oh, so now you think Dombrowski and Shapiro are part of the outspoken/too much facetime group too? Since when does facial recognition have anything to do with the issue? Plenty of GMs are unrecognizable to most of the public, they are front office people. That doesnt mean they dont talk to the papers and get their opinions out there He does have one of the biggest egos ever, so does Obama (who I voted for, before you accuse me of being anti-Obama and a socialist), but Obama's doesn't have any affect on attendance, future revenues, fan attitudes, etc. So I'll keep it short and simple: 1) KW is a good GM, in general 2) KW has done a good job rebuilding the farm system 3) Almost none of the players he has traded have had an impact elsewhere, with the exception of Frank Francisco and maybe Chris Young 4) KW really believes that he can see things no other scout in baseball can pick up...or he's the best "spin doctor" in the world...based on his belief in Colon, Contreras, Lillibridge, Miller, Fields, Ramirez, etc., coming into this season. 5) KW could care less what the fans think, even when he is wrong Do you really believe that he's the best GM in baseball and is beyond questioning, ever? However, I am very much elated to see that someone is keeping track of the general "tone and tenor" of my thousands of postings about KW. -
Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ May 13, 2009 -> 08:27 PM) Exactly how many teams do you follow in depth to the point of reading their message boards, blogs, local newspapers, local programing etc to know how much their GMs are quoted? We know Kenny because we seek out all things of the Sox. Of course it seems like he talks a lot because that is what we are reading. Its like reading a liberal blog and wondering why Obama is always talking so much. I read the KC Star, the Minneapolis Star Tribune, the Plain Dealer, The Free Press and the 3 Chicago papers... One thousand people at the Mall of America could walk by Bill Smith and not recognize him. Dayton Moore, same thing. Williams, Dombrowski and Shapiro make more of an effort to get their face and quotes in the papers and especially in the national media. -
Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ May 13, 2009 -> 07:50 PM) 2008 Buerhle ERA home 2.65 away 5.05 Contreras ERA home3.25 away 5.85 Floyd ERA home 3.55 away 4.18 Vazquez ERA home4.25 away 5.10 Danks ERA home3.66 away 2.92 Walker is more vilified, Cooper is more praised...both are somewhere in the middle. However, I would imagine if both of them were fired, Cooper would get more job offers. It's really hard to break down who should be better...because the White Sox invested a lot more of their money in the pitching staff in 05/06 than they did in their hitters...so does that mean Cooper was expected to have such a great pitching staff in 2005? Or that he did a bad job when they regressed the next year? Or simply that they were all stressed from the extra innings and playoff baseball and a falloff was unavoidable? Last year, our homefield advantage was one of the best in the league, I'm sure it really helped the pitchers despite pitching at USCF...like the playoff game against the Twins with Danks on the hill. That adrenaline kicking in and the 26th man affect has to help quite a bit, too. -
Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (kyyle23 @ May 13, 2009 -> 06:53 PM) GMAB, KW is no different from any other GM in the game, we just are exposed to every little thing he says, quit acting like he kicked your dog. Kicked my dog? GMAB back. I've been one of the bigger defenders and cheerleaders of KW through the last 2-3 seasons. Yes, I think there are better ones out there, but there are many more that are worse. Name me another GM whose quotes are in the papers more often about silly things like Frank Thomas and "pitching inside" to opposing players? He's a smart guy, but he can't get out of his own way sometimes...but I'll wait for your list of the GM's with bigger egos. I'll give you Billy Beane and Theo Epstein, who else? -
Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Well, despite the chicanery and tomfoolery today: KW, having the biggest ego of all GM's west of the NESN broadcasting area, WON'T ever admit that the failure of the team has anything to do with the overall talent level of the team or that he believed they wouldn't compete for the AL Central title in 2009. The question is, who will blow up first if this year trends into another 2007, Ozzie or KW? I would rather have Steve Stone as the GM, personally, and I wouldn't mind seeing Ozzie stick around to manage the new generation of Sox players over the next 2-3 years and see how he does with a team that's more suited for his managerial style: players like Nix, Getz, Ramirez, Allen and Beckham, mixing in the power of Flowers/Viciedo and the speed/athleticism of Danks/Shelby. -
Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Andy Gonzalez in 2007 185/280/249/529 OPS Lillibridge this season 154/247/185/431 Not even close, Gonzalez is the clear winner. -
Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (greg775 @ May 13, 2009 -> 04:09 PM) OK, then why the f*** mention Walker? I read a story when he got extended where Oz said he puts in an incredible amount of work with these hitters. That's all he can do. He can't tell them all to hit the same way like Charlie Lau did. If we had that, people would be freaking upset as well. The bottom line is "fire the hitting coach" is a baseball cliche that will be around 50 years from now just as it was 30 years ago. Like the mod said, we have several players who don't deserve to SNIFF a big league roster. Period. When people are tempted to post about Walker they should just scream his name and NOT POST. It's a cliche to blame the hitting coach/pitching coach. QUOTE Fields just has WAY too many moving parts in his swing now. It's no wonder he can't hit a Pavano fastball down the pipe. Lillibridge is probably beyond hope for this year...he wasn't even able to pull Jeremy Sowers, but continued to flare lazy flyballs to RF. Getz stands almost as much on top of the plate as Quentin. Of course he's going to get busted inside, and unless he turns on those balls and drives them to RF, it's going to keep happening. It's strange to see a LH hitter struggle so much will pitches that are low, but it's the pitches that are low AND inside that he's specifically dealing with, like a cutter from a RH pitcher. That was MY original quote. What is your point? Is Walker supposed to make all guys hit the same way? This is why players fail. If their swings suck, they are THEIR swings, they suck and they'll be out of baseball soon. We talk way too much about hitting coaches on here. This was YOUR response, where I never said anything about Walker or making all hitters the same...if I was to say something, it would be hit the ball where it's pitched, lol. WHERE DID I MENTION GREG WALKER??? I suppose we can't only NOT talk about Greg Walker or Don Cooper anymore, but we can't even add our own opinions or observations about the hitters? WHAT???? So you're suggesting that we now ban any poster who talks about any of the coaches or even Ozzie Guillen? Yes/no? Because our talking about them sure as hell won't change the opinions of KW or JR. In fact, if they read what was said here, they'd be MUCH MORE likely to keep them in place. Really, I think we should just curse at fellow White Sox fans right and left, because that will really have an actual affect on how the team is operated. If you want to curse at ANYONE, call up KW at 674-1000 or whatever the number is, leave your name and address and curse HIM out, not me. You can do that, but it would be cowardly to do it all the way from Kansas. Did you call and b**** at Roy Williams when he never led KU to a National Championship, too?? -
Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Wait a second here! Someone asked me what was the purpose of a hitting coach. I gave a brief/succinct answer. Ask Fathom...we both agree here, that the ONLY thing to say about Greg Walker is that he SHOULD be replaced in the off-season before we bring up the wave of talent from Birmingham. Those hitters (specifically Beckham, Viciedo, Flowers and Allen) are all excellent at spraying the ball all over the field and we simply need a change of approach, a fresh perspective, whatever the heck you want to call it. Things aren't working and the team is just completely stale, every element of the team but the bullpen. I could care less about what Walker does or doesn't do right now, we simply aren't putting the talent on the field to win games. Period. End of story. Some of our line-ups over the last two weeks have been embarassing and could be beaten easily by our Birmingham line-up if they went head to head in 10 games against 10 randomly-selected opposing pitchers. It doesn't even freakin' matter, because KW and JR aren't going to replace someone in the middle of the season, anyway. They're both too loyal. But JR was the idiot who was saying the team was "boring" last year, so we deconstructed it in order to present this product on the field? Whatever...the attendance will be 1.6-1.8 million and then the self-fulfilling prophecy will occur and they'll feel comfortable going into the season with a $60-70 million payroll and keeping ticket prices the same. Then KW will have the nerve to say the fans weren't supporting the team. I like KW, in general, because he HAD, up until this year, a gunfighter's mentality...he took risks and gambles and was generally willing to do whatever it took to put teams on the field in August that had a chance to compete with any team in the AL. This whole offseason, he's either been reading his own press clippings or he really believed that Brent Lillibridge or Jeff Marquez was capable of being a starter... It's a miracle we aren't 10 games under .500 and out of the race already. I don't know how Ozzie has managed to remain out of the insane asylum. Maybe his actions today showed even he is starting to crack up watching line-ups go out there that will win approximately 5-10 games out of 100 where you had the same line-ups and pitchers facing each other. Final note: Everyone in baseball can CLEARLY see that Lillibridge, Fields and Anderson, among others, don't have the type of swings that will hold up in the majors. That Pods was done 3 years ago. They can also see that Getz and Ramirez have the intelligence and hand speed to fix their swings. It wouldn't matter if Charlie Lau or Rudy Jaramillo or Walt Hrniak was our hitting coach, Getz and Ramirez would be okay, and the first three would be in trouble. At least Corky Miller has manned up and gotten some key base hits this year, a lot more than was expected out of him. I'm not going to pick on him and throw up his career batting average or whatever....and Nix has looked like a baseball player, when he didn't last year in Colorado. Whether Nix would credit the change of scenery or Walker or God, who knows. -
Omogrosso looked very good in the ST appearance he made...he was absolutely dominant. He has a "stout" body and strong lower body, a little bit like Prior, not those immense calves, but he's well-built. 94-97 is more likely (probably a "fast" gun) but he can definitely bring it...and high 90's wouldn't be out of the question in short bursts as a reliever. His ERA is well below 2 now.
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Lillibridge the leader to go back to Charlotte
caulfield12 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (greg775 @ May 13, 2009 -> 02:42 PM) What is your point? Is Walker supposed to make all guys hit the same way? This is why players fail. If their swings suck, they are THEIR swings, they suck and they'll be out of baseball soon. We talk way too much about hitting coaches on here. Simple, he's supposed to help/assist/mentor in order to maximize the ability of each hitter.