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caulfield12

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Everything posted by caulfield12

  1. The division is ours for the taking. We can go out there and lead the whole season again, like 2005!!! Actually, it's very hilarious, the Twins and Indians fans are acting like the season is already over, they are jumping off Cliffs Lee like lemmings.
  2. QUOTE (Kenny Hates Prospects @ Apr 7, 2009 -> 12:16 AM) The rotations going into this year are going to be tougher than usual to gauge. Every team aside from the Sox has at least one very talented young pitcher who has never had success over a full season in the big leagues before. If one of Liriano, Reyes, Porcello, Jackson, or Davies stay healthy and go off this year then that man's team is going to be a lot more dangerous than it looks on paper. You've also got young pitchers who have had success in the past over a full season but are still young enough to be seen as question marks. Danks, Floyd, Slowey, Baker, Carmona, Greinke, Galarraga all fit this description. Then you've got the veterans in Colon, Contreras, and Pavano who could be huge pluses out of nowhere. The only pitcher in the whole division that I think you can call a consistent veteran that can be counted on is Mark Buehrle. Meche has only had two good years in a row and Lee has only had two above-average full seasons. Bottom line, there are going to be a lot of surprises. There will be breakouts, regressions, probably a veteran somewhere who will come back as an at least decent pitcher, and this will almost certainly be the division that leads the AL in number of different starting pitchers used. Each team may end up using at least 7 different starting pitchers, not counting make-up games. The Twins would appear to be the safest here in terms of depth, followed by the Royals (Hochevar, Cortes, Bannister), Tigers (Bonderman and Robertson), Indians (Westbrook later on, Laffey, Sowers), and lastly our Sox (Richard? Marquez? Poreda? Broadway? LOL we suck in this area, no good depth. Hopefully Harrell makes some noise this year, and I do like Egbert if he moves back to starting, plus there is Ely and Cassel, but there's virtually zero MLB experience here and nobody who looks like he could be better than a back-end guy sans Harrell). Yes, we're loaded with position prospects (I'm even sort of excited about Eduardo Escobar) and yet the only starters who might be CLOSE to legit are Poreda and Richard from all appearances. We need someone to step up out of nowhere in Winston-Salem and BIRM (like Santeliz) and have a DLS year and evolve to become a legit starting prospect. Marquez, after starting out looking like a possibility...has found himself in a sinkhole again. You just have to hope that Reyes turns out to be the Indians' version of Delmon Young. All the talent in the world, but a negative force/vibe in the clubhouse and with the coaching staff that negates his positive contributions. You look at their line-up, though, with the exception of Travis Hafner...they could be very very good if Choo, Francisco and Cabrera continue to progress. In many ways, the Indians are a mirror of the White Sox in terms of their issues (defense on the infield, back of the rotation, end of the bullpen, Wood's health I guess is more uncertain than Jenks...I also guess you could equate Hafner to one of our older "core" players going down with an injury, although it really looks at this point like you could stick a fork in him...they have two huge bats in Sizemore and Martinez, and Garko is relegated to the bench, with Shoppach being possibly the 2nd or 3rd best catcher in baseball this season (offensively/defensively) Imagine if Josh Barfield, Marte and Brandon Phillips all would have progressed? Phillips had a down year last season in terms of strikeouts and OBP, but he's the freaking clean-up hitter now for the Reds with Votto and Bruce around him. And he's a Gold Glove caliber defender, to boot. Still, I think the one move that will hurt them is giving up on Franklyn Gutierrez's defense. I think they will miss him, because Francisco and Choo on the corners are just so-so...which is yet another parallel with the White Sox. Still, I'll take my chances with Ozzie and Cooper and our staff over Wedge, who seems to never maximize the talent on that roster. They've got LaPorta coming...and we have Beckham/Viciedo, in terms of impact bats.
  3. QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Apr 6, 2009 -> 10:21 PM) Scott Lewis has been a pretty damn good pitcher coming up in the Indians system and I wouldn't be surprised if he ended up pitching like Nick Blackburn did last year. Anthony Reyes has been a pretty solid pitcher coming up and, from everything I've read, he never bought into the Dave Duncan pitching philosophy. In his final 6 starts last year, he absolutely f***ing dominated. Fausto Carmona has amazing stuff and was mediocre last year, but I could easily see him being good again this year. And that's completely forgetting that they have solid options in Westbrook (when he gets healthy), Sowers, and Adam Miller too. Add all of that to the fact that Cliff Lee should be solid again, and Pavano could very easily be a solid starter. Cleveland has had luck with atleast one pitcher like that in the past, and it may be more than that. I am never really sold on Cleveland, but they could very easily be a damn good team this year. I'm not so sold on the Millers, Zach Jacksons, Aaron Laffeys and Sowerses of the world. You're right though, Lewis AND Reyes both could end up having very similar seasons to what we got out of Danks and Floyd. Which leaves three more question marks....will Lee go backwards again like in his sophomore campaign, will the real Carmona show up (and when)?) and can Pavano be both healthy AND effective? Not to mention we don't know what they'll get out of Westbrook when he comes back, if anything.
  4. Francisco Liriano, the last of the three supposed aces going today, gave up 4 runs to the new and improved M's and took the loss. I actually think the M's will end up better than the A's, just a gut feeling. They've really improved their defense quite a bit. They don't have the pitching YET, but I think their overall pitching will be better than the A's and Rangers, but the Rangers' offense will carry them to second place. Crain gave up another run, as usual...love to see that, in other ways, I don't...because it might actually force Bill Smith to do something more substantive than trading for Eddie Guardado or Luis Ayala. It really looked for a day or two like they might bite on Juan Cruz but I guess the price was too high. Something else that was interesting...Delmon Young was benched for Denard Span.
  5. Oakland has a lesser version now of the next Big 3 arriving, with Anderson expected to make a contribution right away. I think their other two top pitching prospects are at least a year away (one of them got roughed up by the Sox this spring). But when you start the season with Dallas Braden, and Duscherer's out of the rotation indefinitely, well...they're far from a sure thing to do much but improve by about 5 games. Gallagher's not the type to be a huge impact starter, either. Of course, they're just as likely to trade Cabrera, Giambi and Holliday and wait on their pitching to arrive. And you have to wonder how long Ziegler can pitch like Takatsu in 2004. The Angels aren't quite as good on paper, but Wood is getting close, Kendrick is ready for a breakout season, and so is Morales. They have a lot of depth in the OF, even if Guerrero is declining...enough depth to cut Willits, at least. Part of that has to do with the contract of GMJ obviously. The White Sox SHOULD be behind the Twins and even with the Indians, although many are picking CLE as the co-favorites. Cleveland finished strong and they have a really tough line-up from top to bottom...because Shoppach will give you 20-25 homers from catcher and Martinez is better hidden at 1B than catcher. The main questions with them are 1) the defense, 2) the starting rotation and middle relief, 3) Francisco/Choo/Cabrera....can they keep improving offensively or will they regress, and 4) the biggest concern, Travis Hafner. If Hafner's done, this team is much less scary. Although that LaPorta kid from the Sabathia trade might step in and made a huge impact. The Twins on paper have the best pitching, but their bullpen is shaky (it was Nathan's worst year), Ayala was the only addition to set-up, Mijares is overweight....Crede and Punto could both go into the tank offensively, and they really need Span's defense in the OF....Cuddyer and Crede are very, very similar players offensively, which means they're easy to get out...but it all comes down to Mauer and Liriano being All-Stars. If both make the All-Star team, I think that means the Twins end up winning the ALCD. I'll be optimistic...Brian Anderson will replicate Torii Hunter's numbers, play better defense and Willie Taveras/Darnell McDonald will put up even worse numbers, so we won't be able to say we're the most terrible in all of MLB.
  6. So basically there are no White Sox fans besides me in Iowa. Just goes to show you how poor the White Sox have been marketed that there are more Twins, Royals and Cardinals fans here 3 hours away from Chicago than White Sox fans. Embarassing. I guess I should join KW and accept the reality that the White Sox will never be anything more than a 2nd tier team...even if they win the AL Central 14 seasons in a row like the Braves did. Only grandmothers who go to Wrigley Field on summer tour buses with floppy hats overloaded with Rafael Palmeiro and Mark Grace buttons.
  7. From: Don Doxsie Subject: RE: Are we to believe the QC Times is also owned by Tribune Co.? To: [email protected] Date: Monday, April 6, 2009, 9:32 AM I'm not sure you quite understand our fan-experts program, which is now in its sixth year. We run frequent items in the paper and online inviting readers to become our "expert'' on the team of their choice. We don't turn anyone away. We allow these people to express their own opinions whether we (or you) agree with them or not. You can hardly hold it against us that we had seven volunteers for the Cubs, five for the Cardinals and only one for the White Sox. Perhaps that's an indication that there aren't many White Sox fans here. Maybe we really should have a Cubs/Cardinals bias. As it is, we don't. We had one full-length story on each of those teams on Page 5 of Sunday's sports section. The headlines were almost all exactly the same size. The stories were of similar length (the Cardinals one appeared to be a bit shorter). And the main photo on the front of the section was Ozzie Guillen. It almost looked like we had a White Sox bias. Thanks for the feedback. Don Doxsie Assistant managing editor, Sports Quad-City Times (563) 383-2280 By that same principle, you shouldn't cover ISU or UNI or University of Illinois because there's a similar disproportionality in the ratios of fans and readership in favor of Iowa, and you are on the Iowa side of the river, correct? Having Guillen (or Piniella) on the cover is simple...it's all about selling papers, and both those guys are popular. I am sure there is a list of about 10 Cubs players that would be the 2nd/3rd choice after the managers before someone like Carlos Quentin, Danks, Buehrle, Konerko, Thome, Dye or Alexei Ramirez would be on the front page. No different than putting Obama on the cover everyday, it sells more copies. I understand the Tribune had a financial stake in the Cubs' success, But 7-1 or 5-1 ratio is pretty embarassing...and you would have to admit that if you were running the newspaper, almost all of the coverage would be about the Cubs. So really it comes down to the editor/s and columnists, right? Isn't it kind of a self-fulfilling prophecy, if you perceive there aren't enough White Sox fans, or if Hy-Vee only sells Cubs and Cardinals paraphernalia. How do you explain the hundreds of thousands of fans in Chicago for the victory parade in 2005? I doubt many of them were Cubs' fans, right? Just because White Sox fans are more skeptical and we don't believe the prognostications of Baseball Prospectus or ESPN/Red Sox/Yankee Nation doesn't mean we don't exist in significant numbers. I mean, I'm pretty sure you will vote for Sammy Sosa for the Hall of Fame and against Frank Thomas, right?
  8. Why are Brian Anderson, Aaron Rowand and Joe Crede not on the banner? Seriously, they should have their own Mt. Soxmore somewhere, painstakingly maintained by fanboys everywhere.
  9. Even stranger was the surreal experience at Olympic Stadium in Montreal. It was during that season when hardly anyone was going to Expos games. (Which of those seasons, you ask? Be nice....). Playing there was like entering some sort of time-space vortex where you would get out of bed, walk to the train station, travel underground to the bowels of the stadium and take the elevator to the locker-room level. Once you got on the train, you did not see daylight. The game could have been at noon, it could have been at midnight, and you would not have known the difference. With the domed stadium only partly filled with fans, every ball hit and every conversation sounded like it was going through something Alexander Graham Bell was about to throw in the trash. Everything echoed, and the sound system made it sound like the announcer was speaking from a submarine booth 1,000 leagues under the sea. To top it off, he spoke in two languages, English and French, and the sound was so bad that no one could tell which one he was speaking in. As far as I was concerned, we were on the surface of Mars. To kick off their opening day, the Montreal Expos took a creative page from the hit show “Survivor.” They had dramatic drumming, a dance team, tiki lamps with flames, and grass skirts. The players went out to their positions and snuffed out their lamps like they were eliminating someone. Since most opening days revolved around fireworks, Blue Angels, parachutes and flying mascots, the burning tiki lamps really took us to a new place. It’s really too bad only a handful of people were at the game, because it was the most creative opening day I had ever seen. from the front page of today's NY TIMES
  10. http://blogs.chicagosports.chicagotribune....pening-day.html Phil Rogers has us at #10 going into the season and winning the division (just barely) over the Twins and Indians. Mocks the idea of picking Indians with Pavano has the #3 and two inexperienced/erratic pitchers behind him in the rotation in Reyes and Lewis. Actually, picking the White Sox between 12-15 in the majors AND for our minor league system are both pretty accurate at this point in time.
  11. It doesn't matter much anymore, because the White Sox recent history in this area is limited to the likes of David Wells and Jaime Navarro. With the economy being what it is, this is all the more pronounced. We're always (with JR and KW) going to be an organization that will go after 3-5 potential Dankses, Garlands and Floyds instead of shelling out the money for a Sabathia, Burnett, Lowe, Sheets, Dice-K, etc.
  12. QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Mar 23, 2009 -> 04:16 PM) I'm not sure Beckham was ever considered to make the team out of Spring. It was generally agreed by the people on here that he would have absolutely had to tear it up (like .400/.500/.700 in Spring) and every other candidate would have had to tank for him to make, and those were the vibes the organization sent out too. Instead, he was just decent, and he's going to go down to the minors. I also don't know how raw Viciedo is after hitting decently, and AAA isn't a bad starting spot for him considering how he handled the Cuban league as a younger player. The only logic of Charlotte seems to be: 1) He can really build his confidence as an offensive player in a smaller stadium that plays more similar to USCF right off the bat 2) While the the starting rotations in AA boast of more prospects and harder throwers with better overall stuff, he'll be exposed to more ex major leaguers with experience and a steadier diet of offspeed and junk pitches than he would be in AA. We know he can crush fastballs, but the question (as it is with 95% of players when they're rookies) is how will he do when he gets behind in the count or when he has to deal with curves, sliders and change-ups off the plate. In this area, he has shown some positive signs of being able to pepper the ball up the middle and to RCF, which will obviously get him to Chicago faster (or an injury to someone at 3B, 1B, DH, LF, RF)
  13. I thought Horacio Ramirez or Sisco qualified for that award...? Well, Dotel and MacDougal, Gobble, Scott Sullivan going further back, there has been quite a few ex-Royals.
  14. Maybe failure is "relative," but pitched at a lower level than expected or NOT making the contribution expected would be more fair to say. Which goes back to the premium on young pitching and why we're so fortunate to have come up with Floyd and Danks, because we haven't been able to produce a pitcher of that caliber since Buehrle...or why Walt Jocketty wouldn't part with Homer Bailey for JD.
  15. The Royals were mostly uninvolved this winter in the free-agency cash grab that CC Sabathia and others enjoyed. But their inability to pursue the most expensive free-agent pitchers actually could be in their best interest. The Star consulted with a stats-oriented executive of a major-league organization to find a simple way to judge recent big-money free-agent contracts for starting pitchers. We looked at the 47 contracts worth $5 million or more per year signed by active players, and analyzed their innings pitched, ERA and adjusted ERA for up to three years before and after the contract. Our executive said this would be a crude but effective way to make a judgment. The results are brutal: Thirty pitchers regressed after signing, and only 13 improved. Four contracts were close enough to be judged either way. That’s a fail ratio of 2:1. Generally, teams are better served drafting and developing their starting pitchers — and signing the ones who turn out to extensions. In other words, that's a 64% failure ratio...not very good to play the odds with only a 1 in 3 chance of success...and a 2/3 chance you'll cripple your team financially in the future if things go south. One pitcher who does seem to be working out is Brad Penny, according to Phil Rogers, he has gotten his FB back up to 96. I would feel just a little bit better had we signed Penny AND Colon, but we'll just have to live with what we have and cross our fingers. Rocco Baldelli or Kotsay wouldn't have been too bad at all...BOS did the same thing Kenny Williams was attempting to do, they just had more payroll to work with. Epstein was still able to lower the overall payroll by about $12-15 million.
  16. caulfield12

    Films Thread

    The film did it all on the strength of a solid A- CinemaScore review from an audience that was 57 percent male and 59 percent over age 25. Like the jaw-dropping early-year debuts of The Passion of the Christ and 300 before it, this is a history-making premiere that you may well be hearing about for a long time to come. www.ew.com I can understand the "male" bias in the audience, but I was very surprised that there were so many over age 25...I guess the core audience of the first movie that was made a long time ago for 15-25 year olds really stuck with the franchise, even through Tokyo Drift and Eva Mendes and stayed loyal. It's certainly not a case of lots of guys REALLY wanting to see Michelle Rodriguez or Jordana Brewster...both of those actresses are B list if not C list. One of them has spent more time in jail and rehab than in front of a camera, which is a shame because she showed show much early promise in Girlfight.
  17. I like the idea of Contreras against the Royals and Danks against the Twins (building off the final game last season)....I don't know about the career numbers, but Jose (seemingly) has pitched better against the Royals than most AL teams in his career. It's going to be interesting to see what happens to the knuckleball in such cold weather conditions...he will give up 5 walks and 7 runs or pitch a shutout it seems. However, it seems like it should be at least 45-55 or maybe even 60 by the end of the week.
  18. I was just joking about Lillibridge, I think he's actually closer to 560 for OPS...there probably aren't many who have pulled that off in 250-300 or more AB's. Taveras would probably be one, or Jerry Owens if he had enough AB's in 2007. It's my REVERSE psychology of demonstrating how/why Lillibridge isn't THAT bad. If Michael Steele can do it, so can I!!!
  19. QUOTE (thedoctor @ Apr 5, 2009 -> 09:56 AM) is it staff coverage or wire coverage? No, it's from their panel of local "fan experts" that are subscribers to the newspaper...I think the two youngest are 10 and 11, but there are about 30 small "predictions" for the season and their favorite teams...and only one of them was about the White Sox.
  20. Well, I was surprised, frankly, they didn't have Floyd, Danks and Alexei Ramirez all slumping badly and going to Charlotte, along with Josh Fields striking out 175 times and Lillibridge posting the first sub 600 OPS for a player with over 250 at-bats in a season (well, that last one might happen if he doesn't start walking more than once every 100 PA).
  21. to my hometown Quad City Times newspaper after seeing their baseball preview edition this morning... I have never seen so much Cubs/Cardinals bias in my life. I mean, I know your son is named after Ryne Sandberg, but can you try to be a little more objective/fair/unbiased in your major league baseball coverage? Since I have to put up with the QC Times while I back in the US for 2 months, that would be very helpful of your crack staff. On your preview page, you listed 7 "individual" reviews/predictions for the Cubs, 5 for the St. Louis Cardinals, 3 for the Minnesota Twins, 3 for the Royals (umm...they've had one .500+ season in more or less two decades), 2 for the Indians and JUST one for the White Sox. What's really embarassing that you couldn't come up with a more equitable amount of articles for the White Sox, really...it's not like they draw 500,000 fans and the Cubs 5,000,000. In reality, the White Sox have been averaging 2+ million in attendance over the last 4 seasons, not to mention only four years ago, the World Series title, but you probably buried that behind the obituaries page I'm guessing. Maybe I can get a free copy of that article with an Obama souvenir edition? Then the letters you print, the experts must have gone to Baseball for Dummies for assistance. I won't pick apart every single one, but I'll just look at one. It really seems like some of these fans have knowledge about as deep as an AIG profitability and ROI report. Indians (bottom right corner of print version): 1) Ummm...no, Choo will the starting/everyday RF, not the LF. 2) David Dellucci...please try to insert name Ben Francisco for LF, thank you very much. 3) DeRosa solid on defense? Do they provide all Cubs' fans with psychedelic mushrooms to make them believe only the best possible thoughts about their Cubbie heroes? DeRosa is about as solid defensively as a DQ Blizzard after 15 minutes in the August sun, not to mention Peralta and Victor Martinez are atrocious as well 4) Nothing on Travis Hafner, who has shrunk this offseason into Eddie Gaedel 5) No mention of Pavano, Reyes or Lewis as the very shaky back of the rotation 6) No mention of the loss of Fr. Gutierrez and his GG-caliber defense in the OF
  22. caulfield12

    Films Thread

    Yeah, I remember former model-turned actress Devon Aoki in the first Fast/Furious...there weren't quite as many streets races in this one, but the one they did have was a really good one, FWIW. And the first scene with Michelle Rodriguez and Diesel in the Dominican Republic (didn't see Wilder or Jose Rijo in the background) robbing a 4 trailer gasoline truck will impress the CGI fans out there as well.
  23. Well, you know Kenny Williams does, whenever he gives an interview with an opposing teams' radio broadcasters, the first thing he'll inevitably do is give the impression MOST expects are picking the White Sox for last and and not 3rd or 4th (and a few 2nds and maybe one who has us repeating).
  24. I think in the USA Today Baseball Preview, we were picked for 3rd in the division (behind MIN and CLE) and 7th or 8th in the AL. CLE was 2nd, one spot ahead of us, and Minnesota was 1st, and #5 in the AL, if I can remember correctly. BTW, if Floyd can get a change-up and slider across the plate with any level of consistency (especially his improved change-up, which was very effective the other day), then it almost won't be fair to opposing batters this season. He might win the Cy Young and not surprise many in baseball, although the prevailing opinion from statistical analysis is that he will regress to a 4.25-4.75 ERA type of pitcher with .500 record ala Javier Vazquez. I read the rankings...so, let me get this straight. We're going to fall to 19 because Carlos Quentin isn't really THAT good, but Mike Jacobs IS so good (despite his sub 800 OPS) that the Royals will be BETTER than the White Sox? Yeah, that really makes a tremendous amount of sense. And then they claim Travis Hafner is HEALTHY, but there wasn't ONE shred of evidence that was close to being true based on ST results or simply just looking at his smaller size and swing, which looks way, way off still...silly season is upon us.
  25. Liriano would be Saturday or Sunday...he's getting the OD start instead of Baker, who's now on the DL. Should be: MON: Buehrle vs. Meche WED: Floyd vs. Greinke THUR: Danks/Contreras vs. Kyle Davies FRI: Danks/Contreras vs. RA Dickey (knuckleballer) SAT: Colon vs. Liriano SUN: Buerhle vs. Blackburn
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