Anything less than 12-7 is bad.
I’ll look at it this way…
the Yankees, Astros, Mariners, Blue Jays, and Rays all get 88+ wins.
The Twins and Sox stay under 88, so the season series winner makes it, and the other goes home. The Twins win 4 of the final 9 games with the Sox, securing the tie-breaker. That would mean for the Sox to get to 87, and the Twins to only get to 86, the remaining games (not including h-t-h) would have to be:
Sox 34-23 and Twins 30-27
So yeah, let’s get some wins in bunches now.