QUOTE(ZoomSlowik @ Feb 9, 2006 -> 09:52 PM)
You'd think so, but historically it's not really the case. I saw something on success rate a while ago, and I think the success rate for like the 24th pick was as high as it is for the 4th pick (or something like that, don't remember the exact numbers).
Yes but the players picked above Hinrich were all great picks that seemed like sure things. Most people would have expect Hinrich to be worse than Bron, Melo, Wade, and Bosh.