Eminor3rd

I don't even know what players the Dodgers have anymore.

QUOTE (LittleHurt05 @ Aug 24, 2012 -> 11:59 AM) You never know, just in case we go extra, extra innings and maybe Myers has to bat? It's good to know that the odds would be in our favor. They wouldn't, though. One at-bat has zero predictive power. In fact, 95+% of all "career vs. pitcher" stats are not even close to being statistically significant. It's just another media fodder thing.

QUOTE (flavum @ Aug 23, 2012 -> 03:53 PM) Collectively, it's what they have to do to get to 91 wins. So if the Sox do what's below the line, they'll only win 90 games, which makes them -1. Tigers have done what they're supposed to, so they are Even. I have the Tigers going 24-14 the rest of the way, including 4-3 against the Sox. Hopefully we do better than that. Ahh ok, thanks.

What does the -1 mean? How did a sweep of NYY result in -1 of anything?

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/m...-for-white-sox/

QUOTE (JoeCoolMan24 @ Aug 21, 2012 -> 05:06 PM) OMG, why did I check this thread when I am starving and about to go grocery shopping....guess I'm eating Pizza tonight... Haha I was about to say the same thing

Beckham is having a rough career...

Ugh, Mendoza...

Wise's career UZR/150 is 13, which is borderline elite. Danks' career UZR/150 is 20. But, he hasn't even actually played 150 innings there in his career, so it would be ridiculous to consider that a reliable measure. This move is fine. For the next two weeks, they're practically the same player for the White Sox, but Danks could use ABs to improve. Makes perfect sense.

QUOTE (Jose Paniagua @ Aug 12, 2012 -> 06:52 PM) This brings up the important point that --they're both bad +1

This really all depends on a post-season run. If we don't make the playoffs, no one is back. If we DO make the playoffs and Youkilis remains this productive, you'd be foolish not to pick that option up. He's had exactly zero seasons where he hasn't been worth that. He was worth it last year, and if he stays on pace, he'll be worth it this year.

If you assume he trades Quintana, you have to assume there's a good chance that it's part of a package for a pitcher in return. Otherwise, it would be AJ or Youkilis' replacement. Or, Beckham's replacement?

QUOTE (elrockinMT @ Aug 6, 2012 -> 12:24 PM) What do you think? Trade bait or could he be the long reliever/spot starter? We saw some good games out of him for sure as weell as some real struggles. I do agree Santiago may be a starter in September or at least in the plans for 2013. We really have no idea of what will happen with peavy and Liroiano or Floyd for that matgter. Plus John Danks situation is up in the air He's more valuable as depth than as a trade chip, at this point.

Ugh, Greinke is so good.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/q...-hitting-coach/ Sounds like what would happen if I were the hitting coach. "Hey, you guys are good, don't change anything... just swing at good pitches and take bad ones."

I wouldn't be shocked if it was Santiago that was moving...

Would LOVE to sneak in and snatch Dempster cheap.

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/k...-chicken-salad/ Nothing you don't already know, but nice to see some praise from well-respected, neutral minds.

"Sacks packed with seamen."

We need a starter

Oh, not Guthrie, please. Not Richard either if he's going to cost prospects. What's respectable about a 4+ ERA in Petco?

QUOTE (RZZZA @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 11:46 AM) Trading offense for pitching seems counterproductive to me...its like plugging one hole and creating another, isn't it? We cant afford to lose anybody from our line up now Depends on magnitude. Trading 0.5-1.0 wins of offense + prospects for 2-3 wins of pitching will make a difference. But no, shuffling some offensive value for similar pitching value probably won't.

I just want to point out how HUGE a series win against BOS would be given that we are throwing Axelrod, Humber, and Hernandez against them. Setting up the DET series with Sale, Peavy, and Quintana could be one of the pivotal decisions of this season.

QUOTE (ScottyDo @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 10:18 AM) What's funny is I'm not really a prospect guy but you're adopting so extreme a position that I look like one. I'm generally in favor of trading unproven talent for proven talent, but I am more willing to take a look at the balance sheet. The better the prospect, the more likely you are to get burned by the trade, but since they're prospects their bust rates tend to be fairly high, and many trades for veterans therefore come with acceptable risk levels. With Viciedo, he's performing decently with flashes of greatness in MLB at a very young age, so his bust rate is almost nonexistent (barring injury which is equally likely to occur in the guy you're trading for). In fact, I'd hesitate to call him a prospect. The odds of him succeeding brilliantly in the future is relatively high, so you'd better get something good for years to come to offset those odds. Your premise is correct here: that Viciedo has a higher floor than many prospects because he's shown some level of competency at the ML level. But I think you're taking it way too far when you say his bust rate is almost non-existent. As I said in more detail a few posts back, he's put up 0.3 WAR this year and on pace for a well below average ML season, and his Achilles' Heel is his plate discipline, which is something that is definitely NOT a sure thing for him to develop. He may simply not be able to recognize pitches well enough to realize his potential. If he doesn't do that, we have Delmon Young. If he doesn't improve significantly, he's going to have a pretty disappointing career.

QUOTE (SOXOBAMA @ Jul 18, 2012 -> 09:40 AM) There's a guy in the Sox lineup that makes many outs and I would love to see him get traded this off season, that person being Adam Dunn. I'd make Viciedo a DH and make a trade for a player like Pence. Dunn's OBP of .362 is second on the team only to Konerko. Dunn makes fewer outs than ANYONE in the Sox lineup other than Konerko. Don't let the strikeout totals and the mass media hype machine fool you.