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thxfrthmmrs

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Everything posted by thxfrthmmrs

  1. Dwar includes positional adjustment, and so obviously he's going to get penalized for being a primarily LF. For comparison take, Alex Gordon, the greatest LF fielder of this generation, and winners of 4 straight GG, accumulated a total of 1 Dwar over the last 6 years. And on UZR, do you really want to want make an argument based on the 2 years where he was barely negative? Most of which are attributed to his play in CF, which he shouldn't/won't be signed to play?
  2. Which stat? He's career UZR/150 is at LF is 2.9, which is pretty respectable, would be even better if you look past the 2019 outlier where he had an injured ankle. His 17 rARM (outfield runs saved above average) since 2016 leads all active LFs, his arm should be good enough for RF.
  3. It's worth noting that Colas isn't ranked in the MLB top international prospects list, perhaps it's because he hasn't declared yet. Cespedes is ranked 1, I think Colas should be up there.
  4. Same, I have my doubts on him, let's hope that the weight loss has considerably impacted his game in a positive way. Either way I won't complain at all about a signing, and I think him to the Sox is as good as done.
  5. It exists, I'm not going to pull it up. I have seen a 3 minute compilation of MJ missed dunks a while back.
  6. A lowlight reel of any player is a bad indicator of their skillset, just as I could post videos of Mike Trout missing a catch or striking out to make him look like a bad fielder or hitter. Advanced metrics show that he's an average defender in left with a strong arm, and most of the negatives came from 2019 where he was playing with a bad ankle, he was able to rebound in 2020. At the risk making it sound like I'm Rosario's agent, I think he's #2 best option after Springer at RF. Pederson is a more well rounded player if he puts it together, but there's too much boom or bust risk, and he's more of a platoon than Rosario. If signing Rosario to a reasonable short term deal would allow the Sox to go after Bauer, or a Kluber/Quintana combo with two closer quality RPs without dealing from the farm, then I am all for it.
  7. You don't really need to platoon Rosario. He's was respectable against lefties the last 2 full seasons. If anything, Joc Pederson would be an expensive platoon.
  8. Also this may surprise a lot of people in the Rosario vs. Pederson comp. Both played sparingly in RF throughout their career and exclusively LF in 2020 (Rosario had reps). According to Statcast Rosario sprint speed was 26.8 ft/s Joc was 26.5 ft/s. Rosario's outfield jump was in the 33 percentile was Joc was 25 percentile (both didn't fare well). Historically, Rosario also had the better sprint speed, outs above average per Statcast and rARM (outfield arm runs saved above average) per Fielding Bible. We've been beating the Pederson as plan B at RF drum pretty hard, but I think if Rosario gets non-tendered, he's higher on my list as options after Springer.
  9. Other than the fact that he's another free swinger?
  10. His arm is strong enough for RF and he grades out as average in limited exposure there. Other than a bad 2019 where he played through an ankle injury he was generally slightly above average in LF. I think he should be able to handle RF alright.
  11. If Rosario gets non-tendered, is he a better option than Pederson? Pederson is likely the more well rounded player but comes with more boom or bust risk and will likely commit a bit more $$. Could Rosario be had for a 1/$8M deal?
  12. Pretty cheap would still mean Cease, one of Dalquist and Thompson, and maybe another piece. If Phillies are selling, whoever loses on Bauer would come calling.
  13. While that is true, in normal year I wouldn't expect the idea of Bryant being non-tendered to be a possibility, or at least he'd be dealt to another team that has payroll flexibility. I was more so responding to Ray's notion that baseball owners using COVID as an excuse to cry poor and are planning to collude against players while NBA teams just handed out contracts last week like it was business as usual. The salary system for the two leagues are very different and you can't just look at the surface.
  14. Again, this where the escrow comes in. NBA revenue dropped about 10% this year, I do not know how much of that is directly tied to BRI, but basically the owner's insurance is basically getting the 10% escrowed player salary back. And if the actual BRI is fell more than 10% then they could even recover the losses in future years.
  15. Umm. I don't know why you have an expectation that player salaries and team spending doesn't get impacted during a global pandemic. That's not how it works. Under the current CBA, NBA players are guaranteed a shared between 49-51% of the basketball related income (BRI). If at the end of the season the projected BRI ends up being less than the actual BRI, then NBA will have to send a check to the players. On the flip side if the projected BRI ends up a lot higher than the actual BRI than the players will have to repay the owners through the form of escrowed salaries to ensure their collective salary isn't over 51% of the BRI. So if 2020-2021 season is played in front of no crowd or less than full capacity, you could bet than the BRI will be a lot lower than the projected and what's escrowed will be going back to the owners. Salary escrow in a normal year is 10% of player salary, owners had pushed for a higher escrow % prior to restart, and end up agreeing to a 20% escrow for 2020-21, however the losses would be spread across multiple years I believe. NFL and NHL have a similar system in place, but I do not know the full details. That said, you could argue that MLB owners are in the worst situation because lack of escrow and that they're on the hook for all existing contracts in full if the full season is played, even they're not generating anything at the gate. If Angels plays 162 games in front of no or reduced crowd in 2021, they would still have to pay Mike Trout's $38M salary in full, but if Lakers plays a 72 game season next year in which the actual BRI will certainly be a lot lower than projected, then 20% of Lebron's 39M salary goes back to the owners.
  16. Your original point was the Ricketts couldn’t cover they payroll and Bryant could be nontendered to be a farce. Baseball doesn’t have a salary cap and floor system, and I don’t think they will ever have one. In leagues where cap system is in place, e.g. NBA, NFL, NHL owners had pushed to significantly increase the salary to be escrowed to cover revenue loss. Baseball doesn’t have an escrow system in place, temporarily suppressing player salary is their way of guarding against revenue loss. Furthermore to address your point on NBA salary cap, they could not directly reduce the salary cap proportionate to the BRI hit because that would bring most every team over salary cap and possibly luxury tax. The point MLB owners wanting to shorten the season to reduce player salary payout is apples and oranges compared to NBA, since most of the NBA season was already in the books. Lastly, the irony is if the MLB owners are colluding to suppress player salaries (specifically during pandemic), the deals so far to the pitchers far exceeded what the industry expected, so they must be doing a really shitty job at collusion.
  17. Not really. Owners aren’t losing more money than they have to just so they could pay players their full salary. www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/30211678/nba-revenue-2019-20-season-dropped-10-83-billion-sources-say%3fplatform=amp “The league and union are negotiating methods of artificially inflating the 2020-21 salary cap to keep it around $109 million, sources told ESPN. Those talks have centered on placing a larger percentage of each player's salary into an escrow fund. If at the end of the season, total player salaries exceed their mandated share of overall basketball-related income -- about 50% -- some or even all of that escrow money would go to teams.”
  18. Get in there Rick, ride the tricycle.
  19. Horny for Hoerner, that’s an easy one.
  20. Looks like the best case comp for Williams is Kawhi Leonard and worst case is Chris Singleton (whom you probably don’t remember unless you played in a 30 team fantasy league). Talk about a wide range of outcome.
  21. They’ll have a surplus if they sign Springer. Dom Smith will be a starter in 2021. I could see them dangle any of the 3 OFs they have.
  22. Harden and a bunch of mediocre players, no (but then again, who could?) but I think Harden could absolutely be the best player on a championship team. When he had CP3 and Capela around him, they were pretty much the second best team in the league besides the Warriors who just had more talent. If you pair him with another star who could be a complementary player, like Butler, Klay, or Tatum (who has quickly become one of the best two way players in the league) or a star big men like AD or Embiid, I think that team has a good shot of going all the way.
  23. Who were they bidding against? Themselves? This is a strange development unless Braves saw something in Smyly others didn’t.
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