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Everything posted by steveno89
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jan 9, 2017 -> 09:30 AM) By this point in the Sox trade journey you have to have a star potential position player headline a deal. More pitching doesn't help this rebuild, instead it only prolongs it and makes the odds worse of this working I'd take that package all day Bell and Newman project to be solid, even if unspectacular mlb regular and I'll roll with the potential of Keller and Glasnow anyday I want position player just as much as every Sox fan does, but you can never have too much pitching. Not all of our prospects will pan out, especially as starters. Building up potential bullpen arms is important too
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QUOTE (TheFutureIsNear @ Jan 9, 2017 -> 09:09 AM) Rodon had similar problems and cut his walk rate from 4.6/9 to under 3 in his age 23 season...Glasnow will be 23 for most of this year and has barely gotten a taste of the majors so far. How about he gets just a little time to develop? And an even crazier idea, lets see if he actually fails at any point 1st? I agree it's something that should cause some concern, but the idea that we shouldn't want Glasnow is absolutely ridiculous. I really like Glasnow as a prospect, but was just mentioning that he has not thrown strikes consistently at all. Scouting reports suggest he can develop into a #2 or #3 starter if the command comes along
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QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jan 9, 2017 -> 09:03 AM) No. The only way I want to see a deal with PITT is if we get Meadows back to start it. It does not have to be Meadows or bust What if the Sox were hypothetically offered: Glasnow, Keller, Bell, Newman That is not happening, but how do you reject that offer?
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QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jan 9, 2017 -> 08:38 AM) So if it is true (I take this kind of stuff with a grain of salt), then the Sox have an offer they like are and seeing if the Pirates can match it (or beat it)? Reminds me of Sale and Boston kind of. I have not seen any reports of talks advancing with any particular club. Astros and Pirates seem to be in the mix, with the Yankees lurking.
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QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Jan 9, 2017 -> 08:29 AM) Is obviously prefer Meadows, but Glasnow is legit and gives us 4 of the top 10 or so pitching prospects. Not a terrible place to be. Glasnow's lack of control is concerning. He could get away with it at the minor league level, but in the majors the walks will haunt him. I see him having plenty of strikeouts, but a ton of 5 or 6 walk outings as well. Many believe Keller might be the superior prospect now.
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QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Jan 4, 2017 -> 10:04 PM) Of all the prospects, I'm most interested in seeing where Adams falls on the new Future Sox rankings. Adams low strikeout numbers are concerning. If he can't improve that this season then his prospect status will take a big hit. I feel his ceiling is a number four starter, possibly one who can eat innings. Floor is a AAAA player
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QUOTE (BlackSox13 @ Jan 8, 2017 -> 10:55 PM) If the recent Astros rumors are true that they offered the Sox the Archer package for Q then what Rumbunter says makes sense. The Astros may have raised the stakes with their recent offer. Perhaps I see the pirates holding meadows and bell off the table, and being willing to include one of Glasnow or Keller, but not both. Everyone else in their farm is fair game. Houston reportedly offered martens, tucker and Paulino for archer and were turned down. Yankees are likely checking in to gauge the price, but won't move top tier guys. Sox need at least three top tier and one or two more decent prospects to get a deal done
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QUOTE (Username @ Jan 8, 2017 -> 02:19 PM) The Cubs have made it known that they've been searching for cost-controlled starters for awhile. Arrieta is a likely goner next year, as well as Lackey. Plus Lester isn't getting any younger despite still being great. More importantly, they'll need to extend their core within the next few years or risk players becoming probitively expensive. That Heyward contract is a real bad anchor, and they've got a ton of money allocated to Lester as well. They don't NEED Q like the Astros do. But it greatly improves the outlook of their future roster. Plus, their top prospects are blocked for the foreseeable future. They don't need Happ and Jimenez (who probably has to shift off center), and two top 20 prospects that can hit is a great start on a package. Edit: and before anyone tells me the Cubs don't need money, look at the Yankees/Red Sox. Even huge market teams have to be conscious on contract planning. Jimenez, happ, candelario, zagunis would be a solid package. Although the cubs don't have many good pitching prospects to include
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QUOTE (SoCalSox @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 07:59 PM) Not that it's a bad thing but there seems like an awful lot of talk about 2 players that won't even be on the roster in 2 years... I'd rather take a chance on Garcia and risk losing coats. Neither is likely to crack the roster except if injuries happen
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QUOTE (Con te Giolito @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 06:44 PM) Franklin Perez or Francis Martes probably. I've been saying a martes, tucker, reed and perez package could work for both sides. Reed is blocked and his stock is down. Perez would be a very nice final piece. Neither martes or Tucker is a good enough prospect to headline a deal by themselves
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FS: In-person, detailed scouting notes from the fall leagues
steveno89 replied to NorthSideSox72's topic in FutureSox Board
QUOTE (southside hitman @ Jan 5, 2017 -> 10:35 AM) I should also point out Chris's opinion of "4th starter" is vastly different from what I and many others would consider. He believes that true #1's are "generational arms" and #2 are elites, and "mid-rotation" guys are basically what most would consider #1 or #2 starters. His approach seems to be very conservative. I'm not as high on kopeck as most are. He has shown immaturity, but the plus arm strength is tantalizing if he can improve his secondary offerings and command. He will need at least two full minor league seasons of development, likely three. Nobody knows if Collins can stick at catcher, but there is not much doubt the bat can play at the MLB level. Hawkins is a bust. -
More Sale Post-Mortem: Olney Podcast w/ DD and Hahn
steveno89 replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (bmags @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 12:56 PM) es.pn/2jjo1Eg 8m-12m: Peter gammons on Pirates/Q. Speculate astros coming back for Q with similar Archer deal. Discuss Pirates getting Q then trading Cole in year or two to recoup. 19m: Dave Dombrowski on Sale Some interesting notes: - Wash reports coming out, DD is nervous - Use thornberg trade to confirm deal is still possible (one player was discussed with chisox prior) - was not confirmed until next da but that night, Hahn brings up Basabe/Diaz and DD confirms they are open to that Kinda continues to be confusing. I was sure we used Wash rumors to make Bosox nervous into including devers but seems pretty clear boston was not budging on him + moncada 35 mm hahn - haven't listened to yet. I figure people are bored and could be interested. I don't think devers was ever really on the table. Sox could not afford to not take an arm like kopeck back in exchange for sale either. Diaz is a lottery ticket, but basabe is a very interesting third piece. He could flame out, but the tools to develop into a MLB regular exist -
QUOTE (Y2JImmy0 @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 01:47 PM) Coats isn't even a 4th OF though because he can't play CF. He's like a 5th OF Coats is AAA injury depth at this point. I doubt they plan on giving him much of a shot
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QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 02:22 PM) I understand what he is saying. It depends on what they can get. To me, if the best offers are Martes, Paulino, Fischer, lottery ticket type package - the opportunity cost would be minimal. You can get that deal (not literally) a year from now. We need an elite headliner on the offensive side. If the Sox were interested In another pitcher headlined package, prettty sure we'd have Glasnow right now . You prefer fisher to tucker in a Houston package?
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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 01:26 PM) Sure you do. Most players never even get the 58 PAs. Garcia has far more potential than coats. Coats likely goes unclaimed and gets sent back to Charlotte
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QUOTE (Con te Giolito @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 01:28 PM) There's also no guarantee we will need a pitcher like Quintana in 3 years. I've referred to it as the pitching Death Star before, but the Sox minor leagues are now packed with some of the best young arms in baseball and they figure to continue to add more over the next 18 months. If the Sox can develop these guys, something they have definitely shown the ability to do, they wont need Q. Now is the ideal time to get a rival club to cave and offer up a big package. They can justify it with the four remaining seasons of control in his prime. I like Quintana a lot, but he could net us multiple valuable pieces to jumpstart the rebuild
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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 01:23 PM) And they don't pay him much the next couple of years especially. Not trading him now, the White Sox risk injury and declining performance. Other than that, very little IMO. The thought I have is if he continues to pitch like he has pitched, if they hang on to him, how would the offers differ next offseason, or when he has 2 years left on his deal? I think the packages would sound about the same. It is a guy who has 4 years at a bargain price. Those guys generally don't get traded, and generally you don't have to hear how the other team has prospects off limits. Pitchers being traded of Q's status have been guys with 2 years or less left on their deals.What Sale commanded should have been unprecedented. Same with Eaton, and now with Q. Moncada changed the dynamic of a big time trade, because for pretty much any other MLB system he would be totally untouchable. Guys like tucker, musgrove, martens are not in the same class of prospect as moncada.
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QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 01:00 PM) Dave Cameron put this best, so I am going to blatantly copy and paste what he said and then link to the chat in question. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/dave-camero...aphs-chat-1417/ Well said. Sox will most likely deal Quintana to aid the rebuild, but not unless they get a great return. Q is our final blue chip trade piece that can acquire elite young players. After him it will rely on scouting well, drafting well, shrewd moves, free agency, some luck, etc to get where we need to be.
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QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 12:42 PM) I don't think anyone has made any decision on Jason Coats. The White Sox are likely making a strategic gamble that Coats will pass through waivers based on his talent. It's probably a safe bet. Like I said, if he keeps raking, he'll be back up eventually. I doubt coats gets claimed. Every MLB team has similar players in their system. Being realistic, he is a fourth outfielder at best. Classic AAAA player
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QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jan 7, 2017 -> 12:39 PM) If 2.4 WAR is a bad season, then I'd hate to see a really bad season. He was down from his peak, but in no way, shape, or form did Todd Frazier have a bad season last year. Baseball reference put Frazier at 3.4 war. Hardly a bad season
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QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 08:10 PM) And Balta is right - if the Pirates don't trade Cutch, then they don't have room for Meadows. It's not like they can DH Cutch. Meadows will spend the entire season in AAA ball. They can always deal him at the deadline Bregman, much like trea turner, will never be on the table. If no Musgrove, then I want reed and perez instead. A martes, tucker, reed and perez deal would be a haul for the sox, while not hurting their mlb lineup
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QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 07:21 PM) I usually try not to bash many sites or people for their sources or lack of but Sports Mockery is legit trash when it comes to this stuff. I know it's trash, but it's interesting to discuss
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QUOTE (ChiSoxFanMike @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 07:15 PM) True, but who knows how well Moncada would adjust to a different position. It might be better to keep him in a spot he's comfortable with. Sports mockery suggests the Astros are offering martes, tucker and paulino for Quintana. Feels light. Give me reed and perez instead of paulino
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QUOTE (peavy44 @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 07:01 PM) Meadows is cutch replacement not happening Bregman I'd not going anywhere. If the Astros get reasonable then I can see a trade based around martes, tucker ++ working
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Quintana Rumors: Round and round and round we go
steveno89 replied to GGajewski18's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (bmags @ Jan 3, 2017 -> 02:22 PM) It's a bit simplistic, but had we had the same position in 2015 that we had in 2014, we could have selected Brendan Rodgers (current Q target, top ten prospect), Kyle Tucker (current Q target, top 50 prospect), and Andrew Benintendi (self explanatory). Same could be said for nearly every draft. Hopefully we can select a solid prospect number 11 overall who can help us