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Everything posted by steveno89
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QUOTE (bmags @ Feb 12, 2018 -> 02:31 PM) On Effectively Wild they said pitching overall and it was due to injury or velo loss. Really would like to see burdi be able to go 2+ innings. What a weapon that would be. Relievers are being viewed as more valuable pieces than ever before, especially ones like you mentioned that can go multiple innings.
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QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Feb 12, 2018 -> 01:33 PM) I think there are just too many good positional guys this year to even consider a pitcher outside of Singer/Hankins, IMO. You're guaranteed to get one of Gorman, De Sedas, Kelenic, Turang, Madrigal, etc. at #4. Maybe, but I wouldn't sleep on a college arm like Casey Mize or Jackson Kowar forcing themselves into the top 5 with strong seasons.
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John Sickels White Sox T20 Prospect list
steveno89 replied to Jack Parkman's topic in FutureSox Board
QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Feb 12, 2018 -> 08:34 AM) John hasn't been able to attend any games in years, and his rankings have been pretty bad in parallel. Innacuracies and weird stuff bleed in. He seems like a nice enough guy, but I wouldn't put a lot of weight on his rankings. He's very, very stat-focused and tends to pick out specific numbers without context. Also, I'm fairly sure Yermin Mercedes won't even get a starting gig in the minors this year (barring injury). Could they rotate Smith and Mercedes in AAA? He's 24 years old, so we might as well test him at AAA vs. letting him sit on the bench while Zavala and Collins play at AA -
QUOTE (bmags @ Feb 8, 2018 -> 02:58 PM) He doesn't walk that much, he isn't a low strikeout guy, and you'll notice that many of the players on the list are CF'ers, Catchers and SS. He gets docked for defense a lot in these WAR stuff. He said he's a young guy with a lot of power and that's it. But I bet in KATOH+ he'll do much better because he has a pretty good hit tool grade from longenhagen. Eloy played all of 2017 at age 20, so he still has time to work on drawing more walks. The talent is there to be a beast at the plate.
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Personal Top 5 wants for the 2018 Draft
steveno89 replied to KnightsOnMintSt's topic in FutureSox Board
QUOTE (Dunt @ Feb 1, 2018 -> 10:44 AM) 1.) Hankins 2.) De Sedas 3.) McClanahan 4.) Liberatore 5.) Gilbert I like Turang's defense a ton, but I am really skeptical how his bat will play at the next level. I like Logan Gilbert as a name to watch. Great Cape Cod stats, and two solid seasons at Stetson. 6'5", 195 lb prototypical pitcher's frame. Three potential plus pitches, and potential plus control. -
QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Feb 5, 2018 -> 03:55 PM) Another more hopeful comp could be Kyle Tucker of the Astros. 18 year old out of the draft in 2015 he put up a .647 OPS, 19 year old in 2016 improved to .798, 20 year old in 2017 improved to .874 to make him a major prospect. The home runs went from 3 to 9 to 25 those years. If Rutherford can put up a season similar to what Kyle Tucker did in 2016 that would be terrific and a significant step in the right direction. While I am not expecting him to do so, I don't think that type of season is unreachable for Blake.
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Realmuto the next Marlin to be auctioned off?
steveno89 replied to caulfield12's topic in The Diamond Club
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Feb 5, 2018 -> 10:45 AM) It will be interesting to see how long they will sit on him to get a price. From the White Sox discussion end of things, what would people think of a deal that started with Zach Collins as the top guy?q Realmuto does not make sense for the White Sox, especially after we just signed Castillo to a two year contract -
Realmuto the next Marlin to be auctioned off?
steveno89 replied to caulfield12's topic in The Diamond Club
QUOTE (Sleepy Harold @ Feb 5, 2018 -> 10:28 AM) Jon Morosi @jonmorosi 23s Sources: #Marlins, #Nationals remain in touch but have not made progress on a J.T. Realmuto trade. Thus far, Miami has asked for deal to include Victor Robles or Juan Soto; Nats have said no. (@JonHeyman first reported Robles as part of ask.) @MLB @MLBNetwork Seems like the Marlins asking price is still high, so I doubt the Sox have any real interest unless that price drops down a lot. Robles is untouchable, but I can certainly see the Marlins requiring Juan Soto to be a part of the deal. -
QUOTE (KnightsOnMintSt @ Jan 31, 2018 -> 10:11 AM) Love to see all the love that Hansen is getting. Could see him making the Top 30 when the mid-season rankings come out. I'm happy to see Dane Dunning is starting to get some national recognition as a backend top 100 prospect. I think he absolutely can stick as a starter and develop into a solid #3/4 that eats innings.
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QUOTE (yesterday333 @ Feb 2, 2018 -> 10:38 AM) I wonder how high Collins would be if he believed he can catch. If Collins can stay at catcher he has tremendous value. If Collins projected to be a solidly average catcher, or slightly above average he would be a sure fire top 100 prospect with his plate discipline and power.
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QUOTE (Y2JImmy0 @ Feb 2, 2018 -> 10:02 AM) Here is the review of system from Keith Law. Really good stuff. He has White Sox as 4th best system. Apparently he doesn't hate them anymore. http://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/story/_/id...ntral-prospects He has it like this: 1. Eloy Jimenez 2. Michael Kopech 3. Luis Robert 4. Alec Hansen 5. Dylan Cease 6. Dane Dunning 7. Jake Burger 8. Blake Rutherford 9. Micker Adolfo 10. Zack Collins 11. Gavin Sheets 12. Spencer Adams 13. Carson Fulmer 14. Ian Clarkin 15. Luis Alexander Basabe 16. Luis Gonzalez 17. Zack Burdi 18. AJ Puckett Some notes: Expects more growth from Dylan Cease, sees Dunning as future mid-rotation starter, Burger is bat-first with position questions but should hit enough regardless, Rutherford the Sox bough low but he needs to hit the ball in the air more, Adolfo was a positive review. Plus-plus arm and plus pull power. RF profile. He doesn't believe Collins can catch, Sees Sheets as having the floor of a platoon 1B and believes in the power, Adams is a strike thrower that could be a back end starter, Thinks Fulmer is a reliever but a good one, blamed many of Basabe's struggles on the knee injury, and sees Puckett as a #5 starter. Surprised he doesn't have Seby Zavala in there after the breakout 2017 he had. He's older than most prospects, but could end up being a solid catching option?
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Personal Top 5 wants for the 2018 Draft
steveno89 replied to KnightsOnMintSt's topic in FutureSox Board
QUOTE (ChiliIrishHammock24 @ Jan 31, 2018 -> 11:18 PM) I would cream my jorts for Beer in the 2nd RD. I think Casey Mize is a guy to watch, and I could easily see him going in the top 5 picks with another strong season in the SEC. -
Sox expecting to open '18 with both Avi and Abreu
steveno89 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (Tony @ Jan 30, 2018 -> 02:00 AM) That probably deceases his odds of staying on the South Side, to be honest. I second that^ If Avi puts up a crazy season like that he will certainly look to get paid huge money in free agency, and likely not from us. -
Translating the FV grades to prime values.
steveno89 replied to Dominikk85's topic in FutureSox Board
QUOTE (GermanSock @ Jan 26, 2018 -> 03:53 PM) I used the mlb.com grades (although they tend to be a little to generous with 50 and 55 grades in my opinion) to translate the grades into future value in their prime. Using this article https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-ex...scouting-scale/ 1. Eloy Mlb grades 55 hit, 60 power, 60 fv Fg grades 50 hit, 55 power, 60 f2f 270 average, 35 hr, 3 WAR 2. Kopech Mlb 60 fv Fg 55 fv 3 WAR 3.Luis Robert Mlb 50 hit, 55 power, 55 fv 260 average, 20 hr, 2.5 war (but that could go up) 4.Rutherford Mlb 55, 55, 55 Fg 60, 55, 55 280, 20 hr , 2.5 war (but might drop next year) 5. Cease Mlb 55 Fg 45 They are really split here, Fg has him as a future 1.5 war guy and mlb 2.5 war guy 6. Hansen Mlb 55 Fg 45 I go with the higher grade, Fg grade might not be adjusted yet to strong 2017 2.5 war guy 7. Collins Mlb 45 hit, 55 power, 50 fv Fg 40 hit, 60 power, 50 fv 240 with 25 hr and 2 WAR 8.dunning Mlb 50 Fg 45 2 war 9.fulmer Mlb, Fg 50 2 war player 10. Burger Mlb 50 hit, 55 power, 50 fv 260, 25 hr, 2 war (I think 2 war is correct, but I expect more power and worse defense,more like 30 hr) Mlb also has 11-16 as future 2 war players ( Gillespie, burdi, Adams, Adolfo, sheets, Cordell) before it drops of to bench players. Personally I think that is a little too optimistic and Fg also sees it that way. But I also think that eloy should be bumped up to a 65 after last year (I,e future 4 win player). Keep in mind that the WAR are average during their prime (say 25-29 years old). A future 2.5 win player might also have one 4 win season in his prime (but also maybe a 1.5 win season). For comparison: 2 sox players last year had 4 war (avi, abreu), then they had 4 more guys in the 50fv (2 war) range (Sanchez, Quintana, Frazier, swarzak - although Quintana of course was a 4 win player for the whole year and Frazier was at 3 WAR, so they essentially where a 60 and a 65 ) and then they had 3 more in the 1.5 war range (45s) and the rest was one and under (40 fv). So you can see how much deeper they will get, last year it was essentially 65,65, 60, 50, 50, 45, 45, and then 40s In the future it will be 65, 60, 55, 55, 55, and then 50s in every spot and nothing worse than 45s on the bench. I always feel like Fangraphs is more pessimistic on players than other systems. How are Cease and Hansen FV 45 prospects? -
Brewers Acquire Christian Yelich & sign Lorenzo Cain
steveno89 replied to GGajewski18's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (bmags @ Jan 26, 2018 -> 09:19 AM) Just one more thought, I just really like what the Brewers are doing. I think the natural impulse would be "okay, we have a need at 2b, we should use our surplus at OF to get the best 2b available". They instead acquired the best asset available who happened to be...another outfielder. But the availability of a Yellich is not always there, but decent upgrades at a 2b should be available. They now have an outfielder with a 4-6 win potential rather than a 3 war OF and 3 war 2b. That gives them a higher floor to make any 2b addition more impactful. I like the Brewers move, as the prospects they traded all have considerable question marks. Brinson turns 24 years old in early May and his value could be slipping. The time was ripe to cash in on him as a centerpiece. -
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jan 25, 2018 -> 09:59 AM) If he hits like he is projected to do, the name Carlos Lee came to mind. I know he was a steroid era guy so his numbers stand out more today than they did then, but if he turns out with a peak like that, the Sox have a cornerstone. I would take Carlos Lee out of Eloy for sure, but would really hope he could be a tad better than him
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QUOTE (GenericUserName @ Jan 24, 2018 -> 11:32 PM) Top 10 OF 1. Ronald Acuna, Braves 2. Eloy Jimenez, White Sox 3. Victor Robles, Nationals 4. Shohei Ohtani, Angels 5. Kyle Tucker, Astros 6. Austin Hays, Orioles 7. Lewis Brinson, Brewers 8. Luis Robert, White Sox 9. Juan Soto, Nationals 10. Alex Verdugo, Dodgers Eloy Jimenez Scouting grades: Hit: 60 | Power: 70 | Run: 40 | Arm: 50 | Field: 45 | Overall: 65 The top-rated international prospect during the 2013-14 signing period, Jimenez signed with the Cubs for $2.8 million out of the Dominican Republic. He emerged as one of baseball's best prospects in 2016, when he starred at the SiriusXM All-Star Futures Game in San Diego, topped the Midwest League in slugging (.532) and OPS (.901) and won the Class A circuit's MVP award at age 19. Despite missing the first six weeks of 2017 with a bone bruise on his right shoulder, he posted better numbers and kicked his game up a notch further (.348/.405/.635 in 47 games) after getting traded to the White Sox in July as part of a four-prospect package for Jose Quintana. Jimenez has few peers among prospects when it comes to hitting for average and power. His massive raw pop, generated with impressive bat speed and leverage from the right side of the plate, earns him comparisons to Giancarlo Stanton. He recognizes pitches well, makes savvy adjustments, doesn't try to do too much and is making progress with his plate discipline. Though Jimenez may not offer much beyond his bat, he still can become a superstar. As he has gotten bigger and stronger, he has slowed and now has below-average speed. His arm strength also has regressed and he recorded just six assists in his first four pro seasons, so he now projects as a fringy left fielder. I know defense is not his calling card, but I am not pleased to hear about the arm and defense looking shaky^. I was hoping he could be average with a solid arm.
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Brewers Acquire Christian Yelich & sign Lorenzo Cain
steveno89 replied to GGajewski18's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (bmags @ Jan 24, 2018 -> 09:08 AM) I agree with this. I would just want to get to more definition on what's needed. Maybe we miraculously hit home runs with all of our OF prospects but all of our infield turns out to be trash. That's a realistic scenario now. We also may need every one of those pitching prospects to form only a decent rotation. We could fills gaps with a few key free agent signings^ We don't need to hit on every prospect, but our key guys need to pan out and produce -
QUOTE (maggsmaggs @ Jan 24, 2018 -> 07:07 AM) The description on Tatis, ranked as the No. 2 SS, was demoralizing. If there is anything positive to take away from the whole Tatis Jr. thing, it is that either we were very unlucky or that our international scouting has gotten better. In fairness to the front office, Tatis. Jr. was nowhere near top 100 prospect lists when we traded him.
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White Sox prospects who just missed our upcoming T30
steveno89 replied to NorthSideSox72's topic in FutureSox Board
QUOTE (bmags @ Jan 22, 2018 -> 10:13 AM) Interesting, some stronger players in that list than I thought. One note: in McLure's write-up you have mentioned him with the 2016 draft and not 2017. The Laz Rivera stuff is interesting, and that there is still so little on Sosa despite being in AZL (to me that means bad things for my own excitement). I'm not sure I can picture the backend now. I expected Mendick, Yurchak and Sosa to make top 30 and I can't really picture who replaces them. I think players like AJ Puckett, Tito Polo, Luis Alexander Basabe, etc. end up near the back of our top 30. The system is much deeper with actual talent that it was even twelve months ago. -
QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Jan 22, 2018 -> 09:40 AM) Yes, it’s definitely too heavy for the Sox. Here’s an adjusted proposal that I think is more fair: Brewers -Trade: Brinson, Diaz -Receive: Sanchez, Adams, Tate Yankees -Trade: Ellsbury, Adams, Tate -Receive: Low level C prospect White Sox -Trade: Sanchez, low level C prospect -Receive: Ellsbury, Brinson, Diaz Still too steep, Brinson is a consensus top 20 prospect in the game and is far better than this deal.
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QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Jan 21, 2018 -> 06:53 PM) The only way I can see Ellsbury being involved if it’s a three way deal with us. This would be a crazy ass trade but makes some sense for all teams. Brewers -Trade: Brinson, Diaz -Receive: Sanchez, Adams Yankees -Trade: Ellsbury, Adams, Andujar -Receive: Low level C prospect White Sox -Trade: Sanchez, low level C prospect -Receive: Ellsbury, Brinson, Andujar, Diaz The Sox would do this trade immediately and be instant winners. Bad deal for the Brewers. Even absorbing all of Ellsbury's contract would not get us three quality prospects like that.
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QUOTE (Eminor3rd @ Jan 22, 2018 -> 08:24 AM) Doesn't Ellsbury have a NTC? Why would he allow himself to be dumped to a non-contender? The thought is that if Ellsbury wants to receive regular playing time he would waive his NTC rather than be stuck on the Yankees bench
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Brewers Acquire Christian Yelich & sign Lorenzo Cain
steveno89 replied to GGajewski18's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jan 21, 2018 -> 04:29 PM) Why would we be dumping our starting SS at we’ll below his max value? To play who there, Leury Garcia? You want to pay top value to Andrus for this year? Yolmer? You have seen Anderson’s offensive and defensive numbers the last two months, yes? Even though his 2016 was rough, Anderson is not going anywhere right now. The Sox do not have any other SS prospect that is remotely close to the majors. -
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jan 22, 2018 -> 08:19 AM) Ellsbury has put up a 2 WAR and a 1.7 WAR the last 2 seasons. Not bad considering he isn't playing every day now. So he isn't a horrible player. He's just not worth what he is paid, and his playing time is only going to get worse in NY. He isn't a trade and release guy. No way. But at least for me, it would take a lot to inherit that contract now at his age. He kind of reminds me of Tim Raines late in his career. He probably will be able to hit for a while, and will be able to run, and is probably a good guy in the clubhouse, but he isn't anywhere near what he was, and probably should only be playing part time. I doubt the Brewers are looking to deal Brinson for anything less than a cost controlled starting pitcher like Michael Fulmer for example. He's not getting dealt for salary dump and/or Sanchez level players