he gone.

my thoughts on it all have changed so many times over so who knows? Covid has joined the holy grail of things not to talk about in my opinion - religion, politics and covid. I personally have traveled, but i also very likely had Covid back in early March. (was in and out of Ohare like 10 times in two weeks, in vegas for a conference, etc. and then got sicker than i had for probably a decade, wife then got sick worse than she had ever too and got it officially) So who knows again on the point of if you can get it twice, but my current thoughts are i need to keep my own mental health up. i flew to denver to hike for a week last month. all seemed alright, i understand the risks, etc. a lot more than i did back in April. As more information emerges i just have to calculate the risks of what i am doing, how it effects others, etc. So i traveled and then went home for 10 days and didn't see anybody or do anything. But i'll tell you that week away from home was glorious. Planes probably aren't the best idea, but theyll counter about the air filters. Again, all up to the individual and when you make your choices try to no affect others with your decision.

This. relax people. when he's hitting massive, clutch home runs in the playoffs people will be fawning to resign him. The board is so fickle from one day to the next. it's baseball, he's on a one year contract and offers something to the team. find something else to complain about.

You know who is a perfect complement to our team? Madrigal. We need a guy who isn't all home run or nothing. He is, and will be the mainstay at 2b for the next 10-12 years. mark that down for 2030.

Overall record: 10-6 Daggum Tribe couldn't get bases loaded in, really didn't cash in at all. Sucks, but still take 2-1 on the day & glad i sat out the dodgers game even if they ended up winning in extras because it was closer than the juice was worth based on stats. Sometimes sitting a bet out is the best bet. Today's Games: Angels/Rangers: Gibson line drive rate bad, walks, etc. – Gibson even worse of late. Angels hot of late. Good discipline, etc. rangers can’t hit the ball. ML -166 seems kind. Punt on the Indians – don’t touch that juice. Will the Indians win? probably, but at -200 and their offense of late? they started ticking up, but then started chasing again. i can't put my hard earned money on this team. Yankees and Orioles: Geritt cole – not just bad luck, his underlying stats are bad. Tough to get behind him. There may be something here for F5 or full game orioles. This is a sharp game. Orioles offense has actually been good, Yankees are all banged up and have not. Hard to trust the Orioles, but the name recognition on Cole is driving the juice, I'll sit on the other side and take those odds on a small play. Give me the reds over cubs. Alozay walks too many. Reds have been just as bad as the Cubs with the sticks -- so i can see them stranding a lot, but give me Sonny Gray against the Cubs. Reds f5 or low scoring. Haven’t seen a line on this, but likely to play Reds F5. Madison bumgarner is bad, really bad – 9% walk, 54% fly ball, 49% hard hit, 20% barrel, EV flyball at 97mph…. hes trash. Trash trash. Ops over .900. his ERA should actually be closer to 10 or 11 …. Dodgers crush lefties. I may just take my paycheck and put it on this game. I’m going to package this game up in many ways. Dodgers TT, dodgers run line, dodgers -2.5 or 3.5 In review: Dodgers 3 different ways, TT, Run Line, juiced run line, Angels over Rangers ML, parlay of both of those? Smaller bets on Reds and Orioles. For the sake of keeping track for overall record that will be 7 bets. Go Dodgers!

Probably doesn't hurt to try him in the OF, 3B, etc. It's a shame Eloy is such a joke in the OF for two reasons: A) he should be a DH but with Vaughn and Abreu its not happening. Also b) bad because it'd be nice for him to fill in at RF and then hide a Vaughn or McCann in LF. But alas those aren't options.

I forget what Josh Donaldson got off the top of my head ... but that's my comp. Maybe a few bucks less based on position scarcity. I think he got what ... 4/88 or something? If so, maybe 4/76?

Overall record: 8-5 Rough day out there, but glad to minimize damage by playing small on Indians and Brewers. Upset I didn't get a chance to hammer the Brewers again today - was late to research ... that 14-0 lead is what i was aiming for yesterday. But oh well. Dodgers game is just a bad beat... to be up 10-6 in the bottom 10 and to serve up 3 with that bullpen is unfortunate, especially being my large play of the day. Things went about what I thought with Clev, just shaky, but that Padres offense, damn they swing the stick. Also glad on stuck it in the pocket on the Sox - had some opportunities, but Musgrove had them in his pocket. Onward and upward, let's go! Indian TT - i'm on the edge here if i want to play the indians full game or indians TT. I think the TT pays better, think this will be my play of the day. Cubs and Reds under - I mean, if this was sitting at 7.5 or 8 I'd be hammering it. Maybe I'll take the option to do so, but at 6.5 it just makes me think there is almost no room for error. Still think I'll play the F5 under or maybe tease that 6.5 to 7.5 and take less juice. Kershaw - I mean he's doing well, but exit velocities, hard hit, and barrels are pretty bad. ONly at a 25% clip though, so not hitting them up that much. Almost like Buehler last night - doesn't make a ton of mistakes, but when he does they've been homers, so i can see him letting up 1 or 2 just like buehler did last night, the hope being that they can be solo shots rather than 2-3 run jacks. On teh flip side clarke for the snakes ins't realy that bad with good metrics underneath. scares me in the sense that i think it can be a 1-1 game through 4-5 innings before they take off.. not sure if I'll play this because of that, or maybe wait and play it live if the odds drop. Sox - not sure what I want here either. a lot of waffling today ... I trust the kid Dunning, and think Brubaker is a 1 time through the order, maybe 1.5 times through type of guy. don't see him going more than 3/4 innings then its to the pirates bullpen that has been pretty good. pirates are so bad, I can see dunning doing 6ip. overall I think we see a bounce back game but i'm usually timid batting my home team. So all that said - going with Indians TT, Sox ML, small bet on Cubs/reds under and probably just sitting out the dodgers who are in a bit of a funk, not woth chasing that juice.

yah, its just another way to give a bonus - Rivers does a match bonus based on money deposited, others will do deals like the Chiefs game which is essentially $100 free - just different angles for the free money. One is more engaging I guess? Marketing at the end of the day.

I just used Rivers. No real thought put into it. Might not be a bad idea to open a few just to utilize the bonuses as they are all clamoring to build that client list. I know personally i got the $250 rivers bonus and there were no strings attached - or not many when comparing to other gambling sites. Only downside on that one so far is they're still developing the app, so it's via the website, not great, but not ideal.

I'll say it. Sorry for your loss. And sorry that people made a mockery of your statement. whether true or not, it still sucks that people reacted the way they did

meaning this -- starting in 2022 the Tigers will be our biggest rivalry throughout our run. So 2022-2026? Tigers will be our number 1 rival. Twins/Royals as our next tier. Indians will be in the dumps. I just don't trust them to offload Lindor well either. Or Carlos CArrasco. Or any of their guys. they do it poorly consistently.

Short answer is yes. But not in 2020, not in 2021, probably not in 2022. 2023 Yes. But too much can happen in between. Hardest thing to do in baseball is build arms/rotation. Tigers have a nice looking start there. Second hardest thing is to have management that spends. Otherwise you're the rays/indians/A's in perpetuity which leaves almost no room for error. Right now the indians have struck an okay balance for the time being, however when you don't cash in on Kluber, Clevinger or Bauer in any meaningful way then there's going to be room for doubt to sustain that run. Indians to me fall more in the Rockies category of teams that seem to not be able to time out/cash in on their talents. The Tigers? depends on if the Illitch sons want to spend like their father when he was dying. IF they spend? That can be a dangerous team in 2-3 years because you'll have Miggy's contract coming off, you'll have Tork who is like a Vaughn bat - pretty much certain will translate at hte MLB level & you'll have Riley GReene. Now, i get that it leaves 6-7 bats to fill, but assuming you can have league avg. production at say Catcher and LF? You have 5 spots remaining to be filled. As we have seen lately it's not very tough/costly to acquire guys like this. Schoop for them this year ... Cron .... you can go out and get people like Avi Garcia on shorter contracts, Puig, Scooter Gennett, etc. etc. or make trades and acquire guys like Tommy Pham did last year iwth the Rays. Or to lesser extents Moreland, PIllar, etc. etc. Basically my point is, the arms are the tough part and if they do that, and its trending somewhat in that direction? Add a few college bats in the next draft or two, graduate your top guys, and then let the Illitch family make their splash on the big FA or two. I've said the Tigers are the team to watch. Royals and Indians are stuck in the Rays mode, not too scared there. Twins? I don't think they'll make it over that hump. Just that 85-95 win team for the next 5 years that is always dancing, but not really able to graduate over the hump (unless they find a 1-2 rotation punch).

Nope is the simple answer. Seeding here is going to be dicey. early on we wanted to avoid being a 7/8 seed to avoid the Yankees. Now we may play them with the Yanks being 7/8 seed. Simply put from my perspective I'd like to avoid the Rays, Indians. But it's a toss up on a 3 game series for almost any match up. I don't want Snell/Glasnow/Morton or Bieber/Carrasco/Civale/Pleasac or whatever order they bring out. Outside of that? I can match up with almost any team. A healthy Yankees team wouldn't be ideal either but i'm not sure that's a thing. Thing that sucks is comign into this year i was really hoping Cease/Kopech/Rodon would step up and take the #3 spot in the rotation by the horns. Thus far it hasn't even come close to happening. Going to be tough to win the 1st round, let alone any future ones without anything from those guys. Hopefully Cease can round into form just in time and Rodon can get back to throw a few games before end of season. not looking great with his last setback.

Picks: Dodgers run line - this is an easy one obviously. its about as big of a mismatch as there can be in baseball... only worries are Buehler's exit velocity and high flyball %. I can see him getting dinged for a 2-3 run homer possibly, but outside of that he's been good. Hopefully when he gives up the homer it's bases empty. Outside of that this should be a rout. weaver has been trash, serving up 11% barrels which is just entirely too high and the dodgers are too good to lose this one. Jays over Yanks - value is good here. I think it's a slight edge to the jays here. happ has been better of late, and actually his underlying numbers show he should continue to improve, it's just the jays are top 5 in league in offense. they are taking walks, not chasing, and mashing. while the going is good, got to pile in. Indians run line - this one is going to be very, very small. almost in pass territory. --- **** Junis is on mound today, not singer, all about the same though *****but the indians haven't really been very good. they were bottom of the league, now of late are league average. mckenzie on mound has been a rock star in all metrics, however still just his 4th start. that scares me with that juice. paying him like he's done this for years. Royals have been trash without soler and the team is just bad. bullpen is bad. etc. etc. feels like a fools bet to play this too big. but royals are so bad that i think i'll end up small, probably ML too. On fence here because of fantasy implications playing with me... but i think you have to take the brewers over tigers. everythign is trending towards a brewers breakout soon. bullpen looking better, offense starting to click, etc. tigers are opposite. they had a nice run for a two week stretch but their offense and bullpen turning back into the tigers. I think i have to play brewers ML here. but another small play. PASSING ON: Passing on: Padres - juice is high, clev has been better of late, but his metrics don't support the juice/name recongnition in vegas at this point. rockies on the road aren't great, good names, but they chase too much. I'm waiting to see the k props if it's at 4.5 i'll take a stab at clev on a small bet. Passing on our Sox - toyed with a game over, or maybe a sox TT over, but pirates bulpen better of late and not sure what you'll get out of a musgrove. all of his numbers are trash, but i still love him. I'll have fun watching, but with money in my pocket. Braves/Marlins - marlins f5, however passing on this too. everything lines up right for marlins here. sixto has been on fire, kyle wright should be in AAA if not for terrible pitching out of braves. but marlins offense is really bad of late and braves offense is top 5 as well. pair that wtih sixto's third start overall? meh.. i can see the marlins being up early, but not enough to take my money and play it.

Saw that.. from the producers that brought you WeWork, we present to you, 2020 market melt-up via whale positions. I think we can all tell it's super frothy out there. I've got my money on the sidelines with my last purchase in May. I'm not selling any of my positions either, not trying to time any whales. I'll just keep my long positions, long.

Forgot to add the Glasnow K's to the overall record. Overall record : 7-2 -- in the words of the late Farmer - let's keep the line moving! I'll have picks probably around noon or early afternoon.

Thread record: 3-2 Todays games: Seattle F5 kc/cle f5 under toronto ML

Not like a whole lot today. too much juice on a lot of these games. taking the cardinals over cubs. glasnow k's over. I really think there may be sneaky value in a marlins, rockies, and maybe, maybe the royals, but not chasing bad baseball.

the parlay. my arch enemy. the rush of winning a 4/5 leg parlay is something that can't be recreated. unfortunately they pay well for a reason. I'm currently trying to be smarter with my bets, keeping the risk tolerance lower. But man do i love parlays lol. Tonight's games. I'm skipping the DH games, just don't like the risk. I think a lot of the value in games is attacking weak bullpens and DH are just too risky in terms of that and lineup construction. playing a few games tonight: I'm taking our hometown Sox. I keep not betting them because I don't like having it ruin a good thing, but I think tonight is a good opportunity against Singer. He hasn't been terrible but his average exit velocity and some of his underlying stats really plays into the Sox type of play. Add to that the Royals offense has been in the gutter? Sox bullpen has been iffy as of late. taking Sox F5 ML Lots of runs to be had in the Phillies and Mets game. Porcello and Arrieta are past their prime and both offenses are humming. Mets bullpen actually okay, phillies not so much. Playing F5 over here. Lastly, give me the Cubs/Cards under F5. Those are two elite pitchers going today. Maybe there are runs, but Cubs offense chases a lot and Flaherty will have any team chasing.

I'm saying that it's not truly BOGO. I'm saying the sale side price is inflated to cover the buy side. When someone is selling an asset, specifically one as large as a house -- in their minds are taking home $500k. Tt's easier to work in/cover 2.5% on the "buy" side because it's coming out of a bigger basket. It's not "free" for the buyer, it's psychology. The shoe analogy is saying BOGO is just marketing for a ___% off. But "free" sounds better, so that's what companies do. They take a $100 shoe, price it at $160, then give you the other $100 shoe and say it's free. You pay $160 for the 2 pairs. It's not really free, it's a 20% discount. I'm saying it's fudging numbers. No such thing as a free lunch.

my gosh ... i don't know how many times i have to say it either. You walk into Shoe Carnival and it's buy one get one free. Do you think the second pair is actually free? Do you really think that I'm that dumb? I mean, good lord man.

I saw two homes because I, myself spent probably 40+ hours looking for homes, neighborhoods, school districts, taxes online. AKA, you dont need an agent like you did in 1980 when you bought your home. Yes, back then you needed an agent and the difference between a good and bad agent was worth the pound of flesh. They had the access to the MLS. They had their rolodex of other agent contacts. As a home buyer You had the Chicago Tribune and you searched for homes via the Sunday paper via a picture of the home from the outside. or those real estate magazines. You'd call your local agent, who had contacts in Hinsdale or whatever neighborhood and knew an agent there and could do the leg work for you in regards to the taxes, the schools, have pictures of the house mailed or faxed over. You needed a good agent, because they could get market your house in the Sun Times, the Trib, local newspapers, and local events. Their reach was the difference between your house sitting or moving. As a purchaser you couldn't go online and look at comps, you couldn't see pictures of your house, the neighbors house, what sold in the last few months/years. The difference is now you can. And we're still paying the same commission although the leg work is now being done via computers and in a lot of cases the purchasers. But you're right Tony. My opinion is wrong.

Wish I played the ones I kept my money in the pocket & not the Padres. Such is the life of gambling. Clean sweep on the bets in my pocket, 0-1 on the played game

Can the Robert one pay +920 based on the distance?

Can opinions be wrong? Investing isn't about the value today, it's about the value into the future. There's a reason revenues have almost doubled over the past year at Redfin. Disruptions happen in industries & I am saying the trend will continue as younger people buy homes. Answer me this: paying $25k in commission for a theoretical $500k home - do you think you're getting $25k of service? Or do you think the process & price can be improved? My own answer: I found my own home. I called an agent and saw the house and bought it. We saw two homes in total. (and before we get to the argument "the seller pays the commission" shhhhh.... you're dumb. The cost is baked in. It's like saying buy one get one sales are netting you something for free. $25k for what? Unlocking a door, throwing a listing online and onto the MLS, and drawing up boilerplate paperwork? If you don't see how that process can be improved? I dont know what to tell you