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Everything posted by VAfan
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Joc Pederson: How long will he be a future White Sox?
VAfan replied to Y2Jimmy0's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I totally agree on signing Pederson. Of the FA outfielders behind Springer, he's one of the few who isn't a defensive liability. With Jimenez likely stuck in left as long as Abreu and Vaughn are here, we can't afford a second defensive liability in the OF. Robert can only cover so much. Pederson also shouldn't break the bank, which should be spent on resigning Alex Colome and going after Trevor Bauer. Sign those 3, Sox, please! -
Last night, I rewatched the bullpen meltdown against the A's that lost us that series. Ricky Renteria's panicked moves in that game sealed his managerial fate. But what also emerges from that game is a clear indication that no one else in the Sox bullpen is ready to stand up to the pressures of closing out games. Bummer was particularly bad that day, and he has an injury history now. Heuer got out of one jamb only to give up the 2 run homer that started the A's comeback. Crochet, who is the only other pitcher on our current staff who coud be better than Colome as a closer, couldn't make it through 2 innings without getting hurt. He has more value as a starter, anyway. Evan Marshall gave up the winning runs in the middle innings. So the Sox clearly need a closer for this season. Colome is realiable, likely cheaper than alternatives, and is well known by the Sox and his teammates. His best attribute, IMHO, is that he's been successful closing out games. He once led the league in saves with 47. He doesn't have overpowering stuff, but he uses what he has very effectively, and he has proven that he can stay healthy, carry a substantial workload, pitch more than an inning in a pinch, and close out games. They aren't always pretty, but he gets the job done. Between a TOR starter, right fielder, and closer, I actually think having that closer may be the most important thing the Sox need to take care of. Because without that backend reliable guy, it can disrupt the rest of the bullpen. But if you have the back end sealed up, then the other guys can fit into their roles in the 6th, 7th, and 8th innings. If you can't close out games, that just kills a team. Meanwhile, if you can, well we saw starting with KC that having a great bullpen can propel you to winning the World Series. So, sign Colome. We should be able to get him on a 2-year deal. That will give the Sox time to season his eventual replacement. We just don't have anyone else who can fill that role right now.
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Dodgers sign Bauer (3/102, opt-outs, 40-45-17)
VAfan replied to Jose Abreu's topic in The Diamond Club
The unfortunate fact is that Chicago will never be a White Sox town, even if they win the World Series again. Cubs fans have never required the Cubs to win to give their allegiance. But it's not really a zero sum game. The Sox can gain in attendance without it coming from Cubs fans. So I support the idea that the Sox should go for it in 2021 and while they have this cost-controlled core in place. -
I'm not going to put a lot of advanced stats in this post. I will leave others to do that. But I was thinking this morning as I wrote my "Untouchables" post about the White Sox offense and how it could be the best in the AL in 2021. In 2020, in the AL the Sox were 2nd to the Yankees (315) with 306 runs. 2nd in OPS+ to the Yankees (117) with 113. 1st in HR with 96 1st in slugging at .453 Yet, they gave a huge number of ABs to Edwin Encarnacion, who slashed .157/.250./.377 with an OPS+ of 70. They also gave a lot of ABs to Nomar Mazara, who slashed .228/.295/.294 with an OPS+ of 64. There is no question that Andrew Vaughn as the primary DH will destroy EE's DH numbers. Right field, on the other hand, is still an open question. If the Sox fill that slot with Joc Pederson, he put up an OPS+ of 127 as recently as 2019. Then you look at the rest of the lineup. Tim Anderson, 27, put up a better year in 2020 than he did in 2019. He could still get better. Yoan Moncada, 25, went from 140 OPS+ in 2019 to 94 OPS+ in 2020, mostly because of the lingering effects of COVID. I would expect him to bounce back. Luis Robert, 23, started hot but then went ice cold, only to start to find his stroke by the playoffs. Expect him to make major strides. Eloy Jimenez, 24, is going to continue to solidify his game. Nick Madrigal, 23, is just a really good hitter. Jose Abreu, 33, is unlikely to repeat as MVP, but he's driven to win a championship, so who knows how long he can keep up his play Yasmani Grandal, 32, hit about as well as he has for years. With the upside of the Sox youth, and the fact that they only have one hole to fill -- right field -- if Vaughn holds down the DH spot, the Sox offense should be even better in 2021 than they were this year, when they were already in the top 1-2 offenses in the AL. This is why the Sox should not consider trading any of their core offensive players for pitchers. The Sox can fill their few holes from within, or in free agency, without weakening their offensive strength.
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Reading various threads talking about trading this or that guy is distressing to me, because I think the White Sox shouldn't be thinking about trading any core player, and they have a lot of them. This is my untouchables list. Tim Anderson, 27, signed through 2024 Luis Robert, 23, signed through 2027 Eloy Jimenez, 24 (in 2 days), signed through 2026 Yoan Moncada, 25, signed through 2025 Andrew Vaughn, 22, with full control, including when his service date starts Nick Madrigal, 23, with only one year of service time used Jose Abreu, 33, MVP in 2020, signed through 2022 Yasmani Grandal, 32, signed through 2023 That is 8/9ths of your starting lineup. The reason they should all be untouchable is because: A. All except Abreu and Grandal are on the upswing of their careers, with a high likelihood that they will all get better over the next few years. B. All except Abreu are signed or controlled for the next 3 years, and most are controlled through 4 years (Anderson), 5 years (Moncada and Madrigal?), 6 years (Jimenez and Vaughn?), or 7 years (Robert). C. There is no one in the Sox farm system that could reasonably take over for ANY of these players. So if you trade any of them, you then need to find someone to replace them, and it will most likely be a far lesser player. D. Andrew Vaughn, who often comes up in trade comments, is the core offensive player under the longest control (he could tie Robert if the Sox start him late this year to add a service time year), and with tremendous upside. There is no way the Sox would get his value back in trade because he's still an unknown. Plus, not only does he anchor the DH spot that has been a huge hole in the Sox lineup, he can help extend Abreu by splitting time at 1B. I would also add some pitchers to the untouchables list Michael Kopech, 24, under control through 2024 Dylan Cease, 24, under control through 2025 Garrett Crochet, 21, under control through 2026? Lucas Giolito, 26, under control through 2023 Why am I adding these pitchers? A. Michael Kopech is an unknown at this point, but should be ready in 2021. Because he's an unknown, he will not bring back value equal to his upside, which is considerable. B. Dylan Cease has been a disappointment, but has electric stuff. Like Kopech, he won't bring back value equal to his upside. I want to see if our new pitching coach can do anything close for Cease for what he did for Giolito. He also doesn't need to improve as much as Giolito did to be a very solid 3-4 starter. And he might be better than that. C. Garrett Crochet might become the Sox' best pitcher. D. Giolito may end up not staying, depending on his contract demands. But if you ultimately have to trade him, this year is too early. Better to try to extend him before he puts together another excellent year. My overall opinion is the White Sox have one of the best young cores in MLB. (I don't follow other teams closely enough to say exactly where we rank.) It's taken years to assemble this group, but they've done so, and they've locked most of them up for a very nice run. The Sox need to supplement them to complete the team, but they can't rob from Peter to pay Paul. They must find ways to add without subtracting.
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Totally agree.
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Sox should not be trading ANY of their A prospects, period. That certainly includes anyone expected to start this season on the major league club - Vaughn, Madrigal, and Kopech to name just 3 guys. Why make these trades when free agent pitchers are available to ADD to the team without sacrificing anyone? It makes no sense to me. If you traded Vaughn, you would have a gaping hole at DH, no one to take over for Abreu when his contract is up. There is no one in the pipeline who can replace him at the moment. The Sox had a great offense this year, but it didn't get them past Oakland in part because we still had holes in the lineup. I hope the Sox front office isn't as dumb as so many of the trade-happy fans that seem to gravitate to Soxtalk.
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Not that we need another TLR thread, but I just want to say my peace where it might get noticed. Tony LaRussa was hired for one purpose - to help the Sox win playoff appearances, Division titles, Pennants, and World Series Championships. No one alive today has won more of those things in baseball than Tony LaRussa. Yet, the fanbase and commentators across baseball have widely derided this hire as a massive mistake by the White Sox. LaRussa himself has been criticized as: 1) out of touch with today's athletes, and the Sox players in particular, 2) unable to incorporate modern analytics into his managing, 3) racist for his early rejection of kneeling during the national anthem, 4) incompetent because he hadn't called his players as soon as he was announced as manager, 5) a relic of the past because he hasn't managed since 2011, 6) too old, 7) a drunken irresponsible person for getting a second DUI arrest, and many other things. Sox fans and others have also derided the process by which he was hired, as an edict from Jerry Reinsdorf that in their eyes directly contradicted Rick Hahn's wishes, thereby neutering Hahn's role with the Sox going forward. These commentators refuse to take Hahn's comments during the press conference announcing LaRussa at face value, assuming he was lying to cover up a broken process. I think nearly all of that is irrelevant. Tony LaRussa may or may not succeed as the Sox' manager in 2021 and beyond. But he should not be judged on the process. He should be judged on whether he gets the results he was hired to achieve - playoff appearances, division titles, pennants, and WS championships. The man has managed 5097 games. His teams have made the playoffs 14 times in 33 seasons. They have 6 pennants and 3 World Series titles. He won the World Series with an 83-win and a 90-win Cardinals team, which suggests he doesn't need the most dominant team in baseball to win it all. He's had a winning record at all three stops - Sox, A's, Cardinals. Whatever process Tony LaRussa has used to achieve these milestones, with 33 different collections of players, is okay by me. I defer to his expertise and experience in these matters, because like every other fan and commentator on TLR, I've never managed a major league baseball team or game, and I don't pretend to know more than the guy who is third all-time (about to be second, and the only one to manage during an integrated league) in managing major league games. If you are so disgusted with the Sox over this hire that you want to boycott the team or the games, or give up your fandom, that is your right. And you can continue voicing your criticism of this hire if you like till the cows come home. For me, it's all about the Ws, especially during crunch time. That's where Rick Renteria failed, and it's why he had to go. I expect Tony LaRussa will get better results.
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La Russa arrested for DUI in Feb; charged day before hire
VAfan replied to Baron's topic in Pale Hose Talk
As one of the few people on here who defended the LaRussa hire, I would have to agree that this is a very bad look for Tony LaRussa and Jerry Reinsdorf, who appears ready to stand by LaRussa and not punish him for the DUI. I would also say that those calling for LaRussa to be let go are likely to be disappointed. It appears the Sox knew about the incident, and moved ahead anyway. Even though the headlines about being charged the day before he was hired might lead some to believe he just committed the DUI, or committed it after the hiring conversations, it occurred months ago in Arizona. As I've said all along, I don't know if Tony is going to work. But the DUI by itself doesn't change the reasons the Sox chose to hire him - his baseball acumen. He got a DUI in 2007, apparently, and it didn't prevent him from leading the Cardinals to a World Series win in 2011. So, Tony LaRussa might lack the character that would endear you to root for him. But he might also be a skillful and successful major league manager for the Sox. Despite the widespread criticism, I think we're going to find out. -
Okay, it's been fun debating. Going to leave this topic. If you haven't voted, please do so today.
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Did I say that? I will say that there aren't many major league managers in the world. There are fewer successful ones. There are fewer who've won division titles, fewer still who've won pennants, fewer still who've won World Series. Only 3 in history who have managed 5,000 games, only one of whom did so in the integrated era of baseball. So, among the universe of major league managers, Tony LaRussa is by all measures at or very near the top.
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Tony didn't take a decade off from baseball. He's never left being part of the game. He's spent the last 10 years gaining a different perspective on it. And, for the last time ..... I'm saying Tony LaRussa's track record should earn him some respect. That's what I'm relying on. I'm not pretending, like his critics, to know more than LaRussa about what it will take to manage the White Sox. I'm not pretending, like his critics, to know right now that this will be a failure, when he doesn't even have a full coaching staff yet. I'm also not claiming that it will work magnificently. I've said that throughout. No one knows. Just like no one would know that about any hire the Sox might have made. Just give the guy a break. If it turns out badly, then by all means be critical.
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Read Fegan's article at the Athletic about how Tony reached out to Bruce Maxwell. How many other major league managers have done that?
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It didn't go "over my head." I don't think you are capable of making an argument that I can't understand. There is no online school for major league baseball managing. You might learn how to play poker online, but you can't learn how to manage a baseball team that way. And to flip your example, Tony LaRussa has managed more major league games than all but 2 other people who have ever lived. When you've managed 1, let us know.
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Okay, so inform us what you know. What level of baseball playing and/or coaching have you achieved? BTW - Tony LaRussa has a Doctorate. Lawyer managers in baseball have had a very good track record of success. I happen to be a lawyer too. It is very good analytical training.
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But I'm not sitting here opining that Tony LaRussa doesn't know how to manage -- absurd -- doesn't know how to relate to players -- absurd -- doesn't respect BLM -- proven wrong -- doesn't understand analytics -- absurd. The arguments against LaRussa are overblown and based in ignorance, when the guy has a track record that is worthy of respect. In what field do you work? Who is the top person in that field? Do you think they are a hack who shouldn't be working in that field any longer? The arguments that Tony LaRussa can't manage any longer are being made by neophytes who have no clue. What I do know is that Tony LaRussa has had the most accomplished career of any big league manager in the last 50 years. That's a simple fact. Based on that, I find the deluge of criticism from Sox fans to be premature at the very least. As I said above, if he fails, then let it rip. But give the guy a chance. You might learn something.
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I think you VASTLY underestimate what it takes to be a major league manager, much less one who has led his team to more than 2,700 victories, 12 division titles, 6 pennants, and 3 World Series crowns, and the fact that you THINK that it's easy just affirms your ignorance. And it has nothing to do with playing poker.
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But, unlike you, I'm not pretending I know what Tony LaRussa can't do, which is to successfully manage the Chicago White Sox. That's what you are pretending to know, when you don't know anything of the sort.
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John Feinstein's article in today's Washington Post. https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2020/11/02/tony-larussa-white-sox/
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Not true, and not the same. I've never said LaRussa is going to work out, because we don't know that about any manager the Sox might have hired. What I've consistently said is that LaRussa's track record, experience, and expertise deserve a TON more respect than his critics are giving him. He's earned enough that you should give him the benefit of the doubt to see how it works out. There will be plenty of time to be critical if he fails. But the people who pre-judge him suggest they know better, when they know absolutely nothing about baseball by comparison. Take the critique that he can't get along with the players. How the F would anyone "know" this?? He's managed 33 years of teams, gotten a truck load of players to play together to winning seasons. Seems to me TLR knows a LOT more about getting along with all sorts of players, or more importantly, getting the most out of players, than any of his critics. Take the critique that he's insensitive to BLM and kneeling. Read James Fegan's piece in the Athletic. Tony called up Bruce Maxwell of his own accord. Maxwell is the first baseball player to have kneeled during the anthem. Wanted to understand where he's coming from. The post-hiring interviews indicated Tony's views have changed. So, more spouting off by people who have no idea what they are talking about. Take the critique that he managed during the steroids era. That was a problem in baseball. But how was that the manager's problem? Front offices decide who the team signs, or cuts. The league decides (with the players) what the testing protocol is. LaRussa's job is to take the players he has and win games with them. Take the critique that he doesn't know analytics. What a bunch of crap. The man said "information is king" during recent interviews. He's always wanted information, and has always used it. But there's more to baseball than analytics. Need to know how to apply it when players are involved in the nuances of a game. Take the critique that he's too old. Well, maybe he will be, eventually. But it's not a physical job. It's mostly a mental job. And there's no evidence yet that his mind has lost its edge. So, once again. None of us can know how this, or any other hire the Sox might have made, will turn out. But, the Sox got the most accomplished manager alive today, and one of the most accomplished managers in MLB history, to come back because he's motivated to lead the White Sox to the World Series. Anyone who discounts that as a trash hire is doesn't know what they are talking about. Give LaRussa some respect. If he fails, by all means, let it rip. Until then, he deserves some respect.
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You have no idea what you are talking about. You are just projecting a terrible outcome in advance for a manager that knows 1000 times more than you do how to manage a baseball team to success, and has more experience than any other manager in the game. I've said every time it might not work out, just like it might not have worked out with any other choice the Sox made. But it's ridiculous to spew such venom on the most accomplished living manager in major league baseball. He's managed 5000+ games, and led teams, collectively, to more success than the White Sox have experienced in their entire 115 year history. And, as for cheating, which players of the 2011 Cardinals teams were on steroids? WTF was a manager in the steroids era of baseball supposed to do? Drug testing, and the lack thereof, was controlled by the league. Tony didn't sign the players to the roster. He used the players the front office provided to win baseball games. Every other manager of that era did the same.
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Not the same. What I've said on this blog from the beginning is that I don't know, nor does anyone else know, how this is going to turn out. But TLR has more experience at this than all of us, and all the other commentators out there, combined, so he deserves the opportunity to prove himself in the here and now with this Chicago White Sox team. At that point, go ahead and judge him. Just don't pre-judge him, because nearly every critic on here doesn't really know anything about what it takes to be a major league manager.
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I love how all of the people who are b****ing about this move have: 1. Never managed a major league baseball game in their lives. 2. Never played major league baseball. 3. Never served as a major league baseball executive Yet you all seem to think that: A. The person who has managed more than 5,000 games, winning more than 2,700 of them, and who has led more teams to division winning titles, and pennants than the Chicago White Sox have had in their 115+ year history, and just as many World Series titles - Doesn't know how to manage any more - Doesn't know how to manage or relate to players - Doesn't understand analytics - Doesn't know how to work with a front office, and - Is going to create clubhouse tension. B. That AJ Hinch was the slam dunk better choice, even though - He just spent a year banned from baseball because of his role in perhaps the worst cheating scandall in MLB history - Won his only WS title when that cheating was in place - Couldn't lead his team past the Nationals last year even with Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander (Dusty Baker got within one game of the WS without either of these pitchers) - Got outmanaged by Dave Martinez, and blew the Series, just like Cash did this year for the Rays, when he went to the bullpen hook for a starting pitcher who was cruising with a lead, only to see his relief pitcher get blown up and give up the tying and winning runs Now, there's no guarantee Tony LaRussa is going to work out, just like there was no guarantee that AJ Hinch or any other managerial choice would. But to think the White Sox made some colossal mistake by hiring the most accomplished baseball manager alive today is nothing short of ludicrous, and to hear it from a bunch of neophytes who don't know the first thing about the challenges of the job is rather tiresome.
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That may be true, because there is uncertainty in the hire, just as there would be in any hire. Obviously, Hahn didn't go in expecting to hire Tony. But I think he came around to that view during the process. Ultimately you can't make the case that they missed someone obvious because of the black marks against Hinch and Cora. Neither of those guys are slam dunks. And anyone else would have questions as well. So why not go with arguably the most accomplished manager of the last 50 years? Who has a history with the team and would be motivated to win a title with the only team he failed to do so? Dusty Baker proved again this year he is very good at what he does. But he still doesn't have the one ring, much less 3.
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I think it went down the way Hahn said it did. I don't think Reinsdorf issued an ultimatum, or picked Tony. I think he suggested him, and once he was interviewed, Hahn, Jerry, and Kenny all agreed to go with Tony. Hahn may have been lying at the press conference to cover his true feelings, but I don't think so.