OmarComing25

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Sep 24, 2015 -> 11:31 AM) I've been pondering this for a while because there's something really odd about the White Sox fangraphs/BR WAR numbers. When I looked a few weeks ago the Sox had by far the biggest split between their fangraphs WAR and their B-R WAR numbers - fangraphs gave the pitchers much more credit while B-R was giving more to the lineup. There were other teams like this, but there wasn't an obvious pattern to it. If you looked at the teams that were terrible on defense, only the White Sox stood out with that same pattern, and the teams that were good on defense other than the Cardinals didn't obviously stand out the other way, so it's not just "Something that normally happens to teams with bad defense". I'm still trying to figure out what exactly that means. Some hypotheses I have include "The White Sox pitchers are unusually bad at giving up hard-hit contact" so that fangraphs is penalizing the defenders more than it needs to and rewarding the pitchers more than it needs to or "the White Sox are unusually bad at defensive positioning" so that balls are falling way more than they should even taking into account our defenders being really bad. I haven't yet figured this out, but it's an interesting subthread to this season. Regarding this, our pitchers actually have the 2nd lowest hard-hit% of all teams in the MLB behind only the Astros. We're also 3rd in soft-hit% behind the Pirates and Astros. The Astros are the only team ahead of us in both, so in terms of quality of contact given up, our pitching staff is 2nd-best in the MLB this year (unless the hard-hit contact our pitchers give up is several degrees worse than the hard-hit contact other teams give up). Hard-hit% rankings: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=...0&sort=19,a Soft-hit% rankings: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=...0&sort=17,d

The battle of the pitchers that have ERAs that are significantly worse than their FIPs (both by almost exactly the same margin too, heh).

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Sep 24, 2015 -> 11:12 AM) Can every thread not turn into complaining about Jerry Reinsdorf? Even a completely unrelated thread about Sale and the strikeout thread has to turn into that. It gets old and ruins any discussion. Could not agree more

QUOTE (lasttriptotulsa @ Sep 24, 2015 -> 11:10 AM) And this is what I don't like. Sale is harder to hit by who? Players today or players in Walsh's era? If you say Walsh's era, well that's obvious. You can't give pitchers 100 years of science and technology to use to advance themselves but not hitters. This is why you can't compare eras. You can only compare a player in relation to his peers. And in Walsh's era, he was every bit as dominant as Chris Sale. Walsh was also facing a much smaller pool of talent. No black, Latino, or Asian players. It was easier to be dominant in his era.

QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Sep 24, 2015 -> 08:47 AM) Yeah, bringing cheetahs to games is why they'll make the playoffs Well, they lost yesterday, so maybe jaguars are the answer, not cheetahs.

QUOTE (oldsox @ Sep 23, 2015 -> 08:48 PM) I agree with Fathom on the Sale issue. They would surely get 3-5 good players who can hit. This would be more valuable than the 12-15 wins Sale could get. Maybe get rid of LaRoach, too. Gotta check it out. It'll give Hahn something to do. Highly doubt any team is giving up 3-5 players "who can hit" for one player, especially in the era of the pitcher right now. I think some people are way over-estimating the package we could get.

QUOTE (CWSpalehoseCWS @ Sep 23, 2015 -> 08:47 PM) I would love for the Sox to figure out a way to get Machado from the Orioles for Quintana + but there's no way the O's are going to move him. Would have to trade Sale to get him.

QUOTE (Jose Abreu @ Sep 23, 2015 -> 08:20 PM) Joe Maddon brings cheetah to cubs game!!!!11 Another amazing example of Joe keeping the clubhouse loose!!1! This is truly revolutionary managing!!!!111!!!!!11! Maddon really is the perfect manager for the circus that surrounds the Cubs.

With all the money they threw at Hanley and Sandoval last offseason, does Boston have the resources to go after Price?

Quintana has held the title of the most underrated pitcher in baseball for a little while now. There are even several posters here that claim he's a solid #3 at best.

Too early to call. Harper's season has been so good that it would be incredibly difficult to replicate, regardless of how young he might be.

QUOTE (AustinIllini @ Sep 22, 2015 -> 09:14 PM) 8% to Notre Dame? Does that include the bowl game where they get destroyed by a hungry SEC team? So LSU switched conferences then?

There's no way the Dodgers do that trade.

So Montas has one bad inning and now you want to give up on him as a starter? It's been clear that he's a big project and an unfinished product for a while now. Still too early to make that call. This board can be so reactionary at times.

QUOTE (raBBit @ Sep 23, 2015 -> 12:03 PM) That rate is totally unsustainable. I am sure you personally know but league average is said to be 10%. His 12.1% HR/FB, 71.9% strand rate and .329 BABIP are all his career worst. I know it's unsustainable, my point was more that the recent barrage of homers he's given up has eliminated a lot of the sabremetrics-advantage he had over the other contenders.

If you're going with a multi-year rebuild you might as well trade Sale and Abreu. There'd be no point in keeping them if by the time we'll be planning on being good again their contracts are up.

QUOTE (Y2JImmy0 @ Sep 23, 2015 -> 11:00 AM) Looking at the AL David Price ERA 2.34 FIP 2.76 WAR 6.3 Chris Sale ERA 3.47 FIP 2.67 WAR 6.0 Dallas Keuchel ERA 2.51 FIP 2.89 WAR 5.8 Chris Archer ERA 2.92 FIP 2.74 WAR 5.4 David Price is probably going to win the AL Cy Young. Even with his struggles at times, Sale should be right in the mix though. God the Sox defense is atrocious. Sale hasn't really helped himself with all the homeruns he's giving up. In September his FIP is 4.68 and he's giving up HR on an insane 26% of his flyballs.

QUOTE (chitownsportsfan @ Sep 22, 2015 -> 11:41 PM) Don't sign anyone expensive. Take a couple lotto ticket flyers. Commit to building from within and give it a 3 year window. Example of someone who's a lotto ticket?

QUOTE (raBBit @ Sep 22, 2015 -> 09:26 PM) Thank you and agree 100% on the bolded. Objectivity people, let's capture it! Agreed but to me I either see people way overvaluing our guys or way undervaluing them. Almost every Quintana proposal either has me imagining Hahn hanging up the phone immediately or personally driving him to the airport.

QUOTE (flavum @ Sep 22, 2015 -> 09:38 PM) I wouldn't overthink it. Greinke has been dominating from the start of the season, and hasn't really stopped. Best ERA. Greinke, Arrieta, Kershaw. The gap in ERA between Felix and Kluber last year (0.30) was larger than the current gap in ERA between Arrieta and Greinke or Arrieta and Kershaw. Best ERA doesn't guarantee you the win.

QUOTE (fathom @ Sep 22, 2015 -> 09:31 PM) Has a team ever had both CY winners from the previous year on their roster? You mean when Price signs with the Dodgers next season?

QUOTE (AustinIllini @ Sep 22, 2015 -> 09:26 PM) I'm not sure, but I'm sure he's a Cub next year. I think the length of the contract will be the point of contention between teams. There's no danger of him not being a Cub next year, I'm just wondering how that might affect things. I'm still not entirely sure how arbitration works.

I honestly have no idea who wins the Cy Young at this point. I could see any of Greinke, Arrieta, and Kershaw winning it. Greinke's got the ERA, Kershaw dominates them both in advanced metrics, and Arrieta has the best combination of both. Considering Arrieta has arbitration coming up, does winning the Cy Young affect his salary for the next season?

I'll take the loss.

I want the top ten draft pick but it would feel good to sweep the Tigers the next two games, I'm conflicted.