OmarComing25
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Everything posted by OmarComing25
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I'd actually probably put Hamilton at 90 grade speed, he's just that fast.
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http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/final-str...olito-richards/ Interesting write-up on Giolito Nice words from a self-proclaimed big Giolito doubter. The biggest thing here for me is the spin on his fastball. I know guys like Eno Sarris haven't been big on Giolito because of the lack of spin, but so far it seems like he's added spin to offset the velocity drop, and that's giving him a decent amount of swinging strikes on the pitch.
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QUOTE (BrianAnderson @ Sep 6, 2017 -> 02:22 PM) Thanks. I'm not trying to come off as a dick or attack anybody on the board. I'm here reading daily, posting semi-weekly. I just can't stand the topics sometimes. And I get it's because of the state of the Sox. We want ANYTHING to be excited for. I just think there are levels to that. Yolmer was a legit discussion when he was named Carlos and was 23. Saladino was a legit discussion after he did well for a full year. Engel is not a legit discussion cause he's never done anything. Delmonico isn't legit cause its been a few weeks. I'd much rather have conversations about free agent classes, the approach of Renteria with the bullpen or bunting, how Giolito is mixing pitches better, or Moncada's approach at the plate and the positives and negatives that may bring down the line. Instead I feel like this board sometimes reverts back to the lowest common denominator of "Engel made a nice catch" which then equals "can he be our everyday CF?" s*** I get it. It's painful. I just want more baseball analytical discussion than sometimes what happens on this board. If not give me discussion on Giolito, Lopez, etc. rather than Delmonico and Davidson Those discussions are happening though, there are threads about pretty much all of those topics. You can always just ignore the threads about Engel/Delmonico/Davidson/Yolmer/whoever, no one is forcing you to read them.
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QUOTE (BrianAnderson @ Sep 6, 2017 -> 12:49 PM) To clarify - yes. That was all sarcasm - I thought I laid it on thick so I didn't use the green font. I love defense as much as anybody and I'd love a Saladino or Engel on my team in a playoff run but they just never will be good enough offensively to make up for it. Also to clarify - someone said they hate when people say they hate the board sometimes. I really don't care. I'm allowed to roll my eyes when people suggest that Engel, who has 28 CAREER homeruns (OVER 5 SEASONS) in the minors is going to suddenly hit 25 a year in the majors. I like this board when I can discuss prospects and the future in a civilized, realistic manner. But I feel like a lot of times the board is just a bunch of topics about _________ hot streak and can they be a piece in our 2019 run to the playoffs? Kevan Smith, Engel, Delmonico, Yolmer, Saladino, etc. etc. None of them will be contributing members yet there have been discussions dedicated to each of these players. (And yes, I know I can be over-reactive the other way. I dismiss all these guys. I have softened on Delmonico as a contributing member in the future -- but only as a bench player at best IMO It's not like there's a whole lot of other White Sox-related stuff to talk about right now though, so of course these types of discussions are going to pop up. The part we're in now is the most boring part of the rebuild. There's no one left to trade, and most of the guys who will be future contributors are in the minors. What kind of discussions are you expecting?
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QUOTE (bmags @ Sep 6, 2017 -> 10:01 AM) I went to look at the Padres stats thinking maybe they've had a few career years but nope, they have 1 guy with over 100 games played and over .800 OPS. Their run differential is pretty terrible, so they are actually very lucky this year. I'd be kinda pissed if I was a pads fan, which don't exist. Yeah by run differential they should have the #1 pick right now, but by Base Runs they're 3rd but in the mix for 1st, and there we're 2nd to the Giants. It's kind of amazing that the Giants haven't even been unlucky, they've legitimately played like the worst team in baseball.
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Given the remaining schedules, catching the Phillies seems more likely than catching the Giants, though we can obviously help ourselves since we play the Giants.
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QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Sep 6, 2017 -> 07:39 AM) I have been saying Avi's had a ton of infield hits and had to be among the leaders. Does xStats have a top 10 in infield hits and if so where is Avi on it ? I found the Infield Hit stat on Fangraphs. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=...0&sort=11,d Here are the leaders by percentage. Avi is 3rd behind Altuve and Story.
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Tigers and Phillies up big.
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FWIW I checked out Avi's xStats and they were better than I thought they were going to be. He's shown some real positive change compared to last year. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14rW...K-cXP4cs8qc97I/ His xOBA is .349, and while it's quite a bit lower than his current .366 wOBA it's still well above average. His "expected" batting line based on exit velocity and launch angle came out to .291/.342/.478, which would be a wRC+ of about 118 or so, which is still top 10 for all RF on the year. Unsurprisingly his xBABIP is quite a bit lower at .336, but that is partially offset because xStats believes he's been unlucky on his power this season, seeing as how his SLG barely drops at all despite the decent sized drop in AVG/OBP. His xOBA in 2016 was .321 which was quite a bit higher than his actual 2016 wOBA of .302 so you could say xStats saw some considerable improvement coming this season anyway. Also, xStats tends to slightly underrate guys who get a lot of infield hits and Avi's infield hit% this year (12.2%) is double the league average rate, and for his career he's solidly above league average (~9%), so you could even argue that his expected batting line should be higher.
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Holland released, Fry called up, Moncada activated.
OmarComing25 replied to Bob Sacamano's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Sep 5, 2017 -> 01:59 PM) It was mainly luck. His peripherals were always garbage. 4.47 FIP and 4.95 xFIP through the first two months, he was obviously pitching over his head but those are more mediocre than garbage and would be fine out of your 5th starter. After June hit his walk rate doubled and then he just started getting pounded. Like DA said, he lost any semblance of control. -
QUOTE (KyYlE23 @ Sep 5, 2017 -> 09:13 AM) nobody cares. As long as the kids in the pipeline are the real deal, it doesnt matter what the payroll is next year, so stop whining about it This can't be repeated enough.
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We might catch Detroit, they are really really bad.
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QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Sep 3, 2017 -> 03:21 PM) This game has been a freakin joy to watch. Yep, one of those games that makes you not care as much about draft position. Nice to see huge games out of Lucas and Timmy.
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QUOTE (Two-Gun Pete @ Sep 3, 2017 -> 01:08 PM) Here's the thing: If Avi is a ~3.0 WAR player with a .395-ish BABIP, what is he if/when his BABIP regresses 49 points? Perhaps a 2.0 WAR player? For me, there's too much downside risk to count on him sustaining his BABIP going forward. As such, I wouldn't want to count on him, or else this FO may give a contract expecting more than he's likely to provide. That said, while I prefer to sell high on Avi, I fully expect this FO to extend him. I'd be perfectly happy if Avi is a 2.0 WAR player going forward though. We need some of those, if we had 3-4 of those types during the last few years over some of the replacement level players (or worse) we threw out there we might have actually made the playoffs. Those guys are still pretty valuable.
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QUOTE (Two-Gun Pete @ Sep 3, 2017 -> 08:11 AM) Two things: 1. They were talking on the broadcast about how Avi has one of the highest BABIPs in Sox history, & also, the highest in the league. Therefore, there is (at a bare minimum) a massive degree of regression ahead of him. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=...0&sort=12,d 2. Do you believe in this one lucky season of his, or the mediocre pieces of 3+ seasons in which he was a poor player? I maintain that Hahn should sell high on him. There is no way that he will continue this level of performance. Extending him is this FO just begging to be made into a fool once again. Avi does have a career BABIP of .340 though, he's a high BABIP hitter. Heck ZIPS forecasts him as a .353 BABIP hitter going forward, so even with a 40 point drop he can still be a useful player. If the FO thinks he can be a league average player an extension isn't such a bad idea, though I would wait to see how he does next season. Given the market we've seen recently for corner outfielders I don't think we'd get much in a trade but if someone offers something decent then yes I would definitely pull the trigger.
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Guerrero was striking out everyone in the first half but the Ks have disappeared in the 2nd half.
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Detroit did way better than I thought they would, and didn't even have to eat all that much money either, that's disappointing.
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Afternoon delight: Sox Twins 8/31 game thread
OmarComing25 replied to southsider2k5's topic in 2017 Season in Review
QUOTE (Harry Chappas @ Aug 31, 2017 -> 03:22 PM) I'd still like to piss in the Twins playoff Cheerios. A loss would be nice though as well. Exactly my feelings as well. A loss is nice but playing spoiler isn't bad either. -
Afternoon delight: Sox Twins 8/31 game thread
OmarComing25 replied to southsider2k5's topic in 2017 Season in Review
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 31, 2017 -> 01:18 PM) Talk about not learning from your mistakes. I don't really see it that way. The Upton contract is market rate. There's a much much higher chance he's worth the money to them than Pujols, Hamilton or Wells are/were. -
Fantastic Starts and Where to Not Find Them
OmarComing25 replied to ron883's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Hitting .317/.371/.578 since the thread was created. Use your powers wisely, ron. -
Kopech will have a chance to win a rotation spot next spring
OmarComing25 replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Aug 30, 2017 -> 02:52 PM) The good news is this likely won't be the case as I don't think he's up until at least June/July. There's good reasons they can decide to let him start the year at triple-A for a while. Yeah this isn't a Kris Bryant case where he clearly has nothing left to prove in the minors. -
QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 03:04 PM) Haha damnit I just now got the joke.
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QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Aug 29, 2017 -> 02:41 PM) Postponed or cancelled? Postponed, they don't have a new date yet but he said it will likely be in October.
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Received a text from the groom that the wedding has been postponed, 30 minutes after I booked a new flight. Fortunately was able to get a full refund.
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I have a wedding to go to in Houston this weekend. My Thursday morning flight was canceled earlier, I'm trying to find a new one but I'm having a hell of a time. I'm in the wedding party but the only other options I was given to switch to get in late Friday night which would mean I'd miss the rehearsal. Other options I'm considering is just biting the bullet and paying a big sum for another flight Friday morning or flying into Austin and renting a car. The groom says the area where the wedding is was mostly unaffected so all things are a go at the moment.