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OmarComing25

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  1. QUOTE (chw42 @ Sep 15, 2016 -> 04:52 PM) According to the way it's listed here: http://m.mlb.com/awards/ It seems like it's by individual positions. Yep, I was wrong. http://actasports.com/blog/changes-in-qual...ld-gold-gloves/
  2. QUOTE (chw42 @ Sep 15, 2016 -> 04:45 PM) Betts has a good case as well. Has more DRS than Eaton, but UZR likes Eaton a bit more. I don't see why both can't win. There's 3 OF spots. Edit: are the 3 OF spots regardless of position or do they take position into account? I thought it was just 3 OF spots regardless of position. EDIT: Nope I'm wrong. That's how it used to be, but they changed it a few years ago.
  3. Player A is Baez. They're close in UZR but DRS significantly favors Baez.
  4. QUOTE (ChiSoxFanMike @ Sep 15, 2016 -> 11:12 AM) That isn't what he said at all. It is what the question asked for though.
  5. QUOTE (Dam8610 @ Sep 14, 2016 -> 03:58 PM) Is starting every 5th day and DHing otherwise considered too taxing? I'm guessing it must be considering no one has done it yet. It would be interesting to see if this guy could pull it off. It probably is pretty taxing but to be fair I can't think of a pitcher who is/was a good enough hitter to make trying this worthwhile. Even a guy like Bumgarner would be a pretty s***ty DH.
  6. 7th among AL position players but 9th overall, he'd be the first White Sox player to finish in the top ten in MLB in WAR since Albert Belle in 1998.
  7. http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/whos-respon...pitching-stats/ I wonder how much this is going to affect Hendricks' Cy Young chances. He's been incredible, but it's not a coincidence that literally every Cubs SP is among the leaders in lowest BABIP allowed. He has the benefit of pitching in front of a historically great defense.
  8. QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Sep 13, 2016 -> 06:22 PM) This will never happen while so many 50+ year old BBWAA members are still voting. Even if you had players or managers voting, they wouldn't go off WAR, only the agents. You don't even have to look at WAR, among traditional metrics Porcello only stands out by W-L record. And if pitching in a pennant race matters, then he has nothing on Kluber.
  9. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Sep 13, 2016 -> 02:56 PM) I totally just thought "wait a minute, the 2005 White Sox had the best record in baseball". Then realized you added "the past decade" and remembered how long this franchise has been moribund. I can has sad now. They actually didn't, the 2005 Cardinals were 1 game better at 100-62.
  10. There's no real standout so Porcello probably wins it because of his record and his other numbers are close enough to the other contenders. It's unfortunate though because if Sale/Quintana/Kluber/Tanaka also got more than 8 runs of game in run support like Porcello gets (which is far and away the most in baseball), then they'd all easily have 20 wins as well.
  11. QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Sep 9, 2016 -> 10:47 PM) Still won with three errors, so yay for that. Seven consecutive quality starts for Rodon? Can he sustain it into 2017 this time? 4-9 against KC on the season. Porcello probably clinched the Cy Young tonight. I wouldn't go that far. Porcello has nothing on Sale/Kluber except his record, and that's just because he's had far and away the best run support of any pitcher in baseball (over 8 runs a game, more than 1 run ahead of the pitcher in second place). He also doesn't have near the name recognition/reputation of those two.
  12. QUOTE (soxforlife05 @ Sep 9, 2016 -> 10:11 PM) He did the exact same thing in the second half last year. Let's see him put together an entire season before we pencil him in as an ace. Well not exactly. Even in his good stretch last year he was walking a lot of hitters, and was still essentially a two-pitch pitcher. Now he's flashing an above-average changeup and has considerably cut down on the walks.
  13. QUOTE (chitownsportsfan @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 08:04 PM) bWAR doesn't hate his defense as much as Fangraphs. by fWAR he's 5.3, 3, 1.4. That thing that's alarming is his wRC+ 161 129 118 and his iso: .264 .212 .185 his power is declining big time. I am still of the opinion that he is older then advertised. He moves and play like a 31-34 year old. Not someone still in his late 20s. Thanks for a reasoned reply tho, those seem rare when talking WAR around here. Is his power really declining though or did he just have a bad first two months? Since the beginning of June his ISO is .213 and wRC+ is 143. Also, according to baseballheatmaps his average flyball distance has been increasing every year. In 2014 it was 305 feet, 2015 it was 307 feet, and in 2016 it's 315 feet. ESPN's Homerun tracker bears this out too. In 2014 14 out of his 36 homeruns were classified as "just enough" (39%). In 2015 12 of his 30 homeruns were of the "just enough" variety (40%). However, this year just 5 of his 23 homeruns were in that category (21%). Seems to me that he's gotten a bit unlucky this year with the number of flyballs that have left the park, at least compared to his first two seasons. He already has the same number of no-doubt homeruns as he did last year, and he's only 4 off the number he hit in 2014, so it's not yet out of the question that he could match that number this year. http://www.baseballheatmaps.com/graph/distanceleader.php http://www.hittrackeronline.com/index.php
  14. QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 06:47 PM) For those arguing we may not get a haul for Sale, just look at the starting pitching market. Rich Hil, Jeremy Hellickson, & Andrew Cashner are the cream of the crop. Meanwhile, due to the second wild card, there will be tons of teams looking to compete and in need of pitching. Obviously nothing is a certainty, but we should be able to get an incredible package if our front office in executes properly. What kind of package do you think is realistic? One thing that I fear is that the teams most well-equipped to trade for Sale (Red Sox/Dodgers) are teams where money isn't really an issue, so the cheap contracts of Sale/Quintana might not be as attractive to them as they would be to other clubs. They might also prefer to give up a lighter package for someone like Archer/Odorizzi/Teheran/Gray and hold on to their assets.
  15. QUOTE (SCCWS @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 02:03 PM) But I would never do those packages. For example, Benintendi came up and was really good offensively and defensively before he got hurt. Moncada has been awful offensively and challenged defensively playing a pretty new position. Neither has showed success at AAA since they each skipped it. Even together w prospects I do not trade Sale for them. Boston would have to throw in Bradley or Betts and I don't see that happening since now they will most likely make the playoffs and their starting pitching has really improved 2nd half. I would trade Rodon for both but Boston would probably not do it. I would be on the fence for Q if they included both and several other quality prospects. I think we could do better than those packages but that's the baseline IMO. Maybe Kopech/Devers together or getting them to include E-Rod, but much beyond that I don't see it happening. Betts is an MVP candidate and Bradley is going to be a 5 WAR player this year, those guys are pipedreams.
  16. QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 01:05 PM) That's the problem. It's easy to say xxx is worth this, so a guy like Sale, cheaply signed for 3 years should be worth significantly more, but IMO, there is a limit a team will go to get Sale. You are going to have to decimate your system. Probably take a young player or 2 off your current roster. I used houses earlier as an example. The more expensive something is, the more exclusive the market. The teams that have what it takes to get him you could probably count on one hand. Those willing to give up what most of the public thinks is even fair value shrinks the total even more. It's really no different than a player with an ARod type contract. Except change the dollars owed to talent required to acquire. Maybe someone just has to have him. Too bad LaRussa and Stewart won't be involved because you could nuke them. I agree about the ceiling. I don't think we're going to be able to do much better than the packages Cameron threw around at the deadline (Moncada/Kopech/B prospect, Benintendi/Devers/B Prospect, or Urias/Verdugo/B Prospect). Could get one big piece, but I'm doubtful that two big pieces are going to happen (ie: Moncada and Benintendi together).
  17. QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 12:51 PM) Using advanced metrics, Jose Abreu is a better defensive 1B this year than the 3 time defending GG winner, and only slightly worse during his career. That's just because Hosmer's defense has always been way overrated. He can pick it with the best of them, but that doesn't mean much when you have by far the worst range of any 1B.
  18. QUOTE (Nixon @ Aug 8, 2016 -> 04:47 PM) They've already confirmed there's another season coming. Started watching The Last Kingdom, it's like that show Vikings on History Channel but with competent writers. If you liked The Last Kingdom I'd definitely recommend the books, they are amazing. I just finished the 9th book and every single one is a great read (also all relatively quick reads, the pacing is really well-done). IMO no one writes battle scenes better than Cornwell.
  19. For what it's worth, the difference between Abreu's 2016 and 2015 numbers is basically 2-3 HR. Even when he was struggling in the first half, he was top 5 among all hitters in average flyball distance. Rotographs has been calling him a great buy-low candidate for fantasy all season because of this, because there was no way that low homerun rate was going to continue. Turns out they were right.
  20. QUOTE (ron883 @ Sep 7, 2016 -> 09:50 PM) Jose starts finally producing when it doesn't matter and people keep calling me out? Too bad he couldn't do it back when it mattered. I'll reiterate what I've previously said. Jose isn't what we thought he was. The league adjusted to him after his rookie year. He is a mid-tier first baseman. So the league adjusted to him and only decided to pitch to his weaknesses when games mattered for the White Sox, and then stopped giving a s*** when the Sox fell out of contention?
  21. Sorry for your loss, can't imagine losing a parent.
  22. QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Sep 7, 2016 -> 09:06 AM) Make it simpler than this; ignore the wild card for a minute. Pretend it doesn't exist in your planning. Is that team, on paper, clearly better than the Indians? They'll have some people like Napoli regress yes, but that roster is still pretty loaded, they'll have money to spend after a playoff run too, they'll be looking at having Brantley back and Miller for the whole season, plus other guys farther along. Does that patched together White Sox team stand out relative to them? If not, then you're in "and if everything goes correctly we can compete for the wild card" territory, and that's not good territory to be in. I want to rebuild but I don't get this logic. Following this, you should only try to compete when you're clearly the best team in your division? That means that only a small handful of teams should be trying to compete in any given year, which would be ridiculous.
  23. QUOTE (fathom @ Sep 2, 2016 -> 02:40 PM) Cubs pitching and defense continues to be unreal, as Giants are 0 for last 35 against them. Lester no-no thru 5
  24. QUOTE (SI1020 @ Sep 1, 2016 -> 07:41 PM) Honestly in this day of age of stat deconstruction I don't know what stat or stats matter anymore. I look forward to the day when wins and losses no longer matter and titles are given based on Pythagorean wins or SRS because nothing real seems to carry weight. The bullpen is bad and blown saves helps us figure it all out. That and watching so many late inning nightmares. Another thing what is this deep love for FIP? You can go back years and find stat geeks who don't like FIP. To me the whole premise behind FIP is absurd. Some really good pitchers are going to come across not so good and others not so good are going to look better. It is a very selective and flawed stat. It has its flaws but it has its uses too. I don't think any "stat geek" would tell you to only look at FIP (or any single stat for that matter), but it's a useful part of the whole picture when evaluating a pitcher. ERA also makes some really good pitchers look bad and others look better than they are. Those flaws aren't unique with FIP.
  25. QUOTE (Hatchetman @ Sep 1, 2016 -> 02:50 PM) Sox pen is 28th in innings pitched, 25th in xFIP I'm not sure how innings pitched is a relevant metric for how good a bullpen has been. All the 28th ranking shows is that the starters have gone deep into games for the most part.
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