OmarComing25

Who though? The FA options all suck unless Castellanos opts out.

Damn so much for my theory

The last two games were close in the late innings and today is as well. For Hader not to come in once the last three days seems fishy. And yes they've had 4 games postponed but 2 innings in 9 games?

Hader has only pitched 2 innings for the season, is he hurt?

Went from 1-4 to the 3rd best record in the AL real quick!

Moncada hasn't looked comfortable the entire season so far and he's still killing it.

Foster's high fastball looks really good.

Going back to 1990, the best #4 picks have been: - Ryan Zimmerman (38.2 WAR) - Alex Fernandez (28.5 WAR) - Kerry Wood (23.9 WAR) - Gavin Floyd (16.0 WAR) - Kevin Gausman (13.7 WAR) - Dmitri Young (12.5 WAR) - Kyle Schwarber (9.3 WAR) Only 5 made the All-Star team (and 3 of those were mediocre players in Young, Jeffrey Hammonds, and Jason Grilli). Only 3 ever had a season worth 4 WAR or above. The history of #4 picks is very unremarkable. And it's not like the picks since 2010 who haven't had much time to make an impact are exactly killing it either. Only McKay and Schwarber have seemingly amounted to anything and it's obviously too early to say anything on McKay. I can understand wanting a prospect with a higher ceiling at #4 but this idea that you're looking for a "generational hitter" is just being unrealistic.

Statcast xwOBA for Moncada: 2018: .302 2019: .362 Statcast has Moncada’s xBABIP at 0.383 Interesting that it differs so much from Fangraphs' formula, but to say he hardly improved at all from 2018 seems like quite the hot take.

Only Mitch Keller and Brock Stewart had a higher gap between their allowed wOBA and their xwOBA than Diaz, if we could somehow buy low on him I'd be all for it.

Keuchel’s FIP was nearly a run higher than his ERA, however his xwOBA nearly exactly matched his actual wOBA, which suggests his ERA is a better predictor of his performance going forward. Would anyone be disappointed with a 3.75ish ERA next season?

I think RA9 WAR is much better than bWAR to evaluate a pitcher's career. I don't like the method bWAR uses to adjust for defense. It gave Nola a full win over deGrom in 2018 despite deGrom blowing him away in actual results because DRS viewed the Phillies as a historically awful defensive team. However, even if the Phillies defense was that bad, it clearly didn't affect Nola the same way it did the team's other pitchers considering he had a .251 BABIP so giving him such a huge boost for it doesn't make any sense. RA9 works much better if you care about results on the field IMO.

I definitely phrased that poorly. I don't think it's an either or scenario and I'm willing to overpay a bit for Wheeler. Just saying that in a hypothetical where you had to choose one or the other I'll take consistent playoffs over a one and done title. Agree it doesn't have much relevance to a potential Wheeler contract though.

To be fair they tattooed a few balls with 2 outs, just hit them right at fielders.

Has it really been a great World Series though? Aside from Game One every other game has been a blowout. There's been one single lead change in five games. There's been very little drama.

Just listened to the latest Statcast podcast and they had a segment about Anderson and Moncada and their BABIPs. Mentioned that they were among the highest in the history of the game (both at .403 coming into today) but then took a look at their expected BABIP based on Statcast and Anderson came out to .355 while Moncada was at .386. Said that Moncada could have the ability to sustain very high BABIPs going forward because he hits the ball so damn hard, is very fast and sprays the ball all over the field so he's impossible to shift.

I actually got banned from there in September in 2005. It was when they were in that slump and about to lose that huge lead and someone posted "Man I hate this team right now" and I responded with "I know the feeling." Mods said we were both trolls and banned forever.

I’ve never seen a baseball team be so night and day at home and on the road, they are unbeatable at Wrigley but look like they should be competing for a Top 5 pick on the road.

I'd put Greinke on the fringe case list Votto as well

Yeah inning is still going on if he wasn't sulking after hitting the popup.

I don’t consider Bumgarner a top guy anymore.

I wouldn’t be against a Hamels signing, he’s a fitness freak so the age thing might not be as much of a concern.

Injuries are part of the game though. It's not like the Warriors haven't greatly benefited from injuries in every single one of their title runs (Kyrie/Love, Kawhi, Paul).

I understand wanting a higher ceiling pick but your expectations for the third pick are too high. To add on to what Balta just said, I looked at all the #3 picks since 1980. If we cut it off at 2014 since it's the most recent year a #3 pick has made the majors then 16 of the 35 picks have had 10 or more career fWAR. Of those 16, only 3 of those you can call stars (Manny Machado, Evan Longoria, and Matt Williams) with another 2 very good players in Troy Glaus and Bobby Witt. So there's basically only a 1 in 7 chance that the #3 pick becomes a very good player and stars only come along once a decade. Vaughn doesn't need to be a top ten bat in the league for the pick to be worth it.

LOL a top 10 bat in baseball is like a 145 wRC+. You going to be disappointed if Vaughn is just a 140 wRC+ hitter?