Its because his success so far has been a lot of smoke and mirrors. He has a massive discrepancy between his ERA and FIP right now of over 3 runs. Simply put, he just hasnt looked good, but hes been incredibly lucky. His walk rate is up, his k rate is WAY down. He has been lucky in that his babip is incredibly low and his lob% is incredibly high. Once both of those revert to normal, hes going to be giving up a ton of runs.
now those are just what his stats say. But also watching him, he just doesnt look impressive. He has no command of any of his pitches and is constantly pitching from behind in the count. Yes, he can throw 98. But he cant control it, and a 98mph heater belt high over the heart of the plate leads to a lot of homeruns, which he gives up every time out. Right now cease is your stereotypical thrower. Hes not a pitcher.
as it stands now, cease is no better than a #5 starteR, and only gets that spot in order to get him more reps, not because he deserves it with his performance. If hes starting games in the playoffs, we’re in trouble.