Dominikk85

I would rather give Collins a chance until vaughn is up then using williams who has some pop but about a 5 to 1 k/bb ratio in his career. Williams has a bit of pop but his hit tool is terrible. Collins at least walks a lot even though his hit tool isn't great either.

Yes. Making the playoffs multiple years is the best way. Even the best team in baseball only has like a 25% chance to win the WS. Sometimes it can take a while like the dodgers or even the Nats (who had multiple first round losses) but eventually there is a good chance to win one if you make the playoffs 6 times in a 7 year window (not guaranteed either like you see with the yankees though who made the playoffs 5 times in 6 years and made no WS). There is of course also the other side when a fluky team immediately makes it or the giants who usually lost the division to the dodgers but still managed 3 WS. But generally the best approach is trying to have a 5-7 year window and hope that you get lucky once or twice I you are really lucky. Statistically a team who has a strong 6 year window should win about 1 WS (if you consider all 6 division winners have about the same chance to win the WS). The sox will also need to make some trades for injury replacement so it is good to keep some trade capital. I think the sox only need a 4th starter now and they are good to go. Sure getting laStella would be a nice luxury and bauer would make them a super team on par with the dodgers but they are already favored to win the division.

Yeah, that was just an extreme calculation. I think more realistic for him would be like -0.5 war. In 2019 miguel cabrera had -0.3 war with a 96 wrc+ and khris davis -1 with an 81 wrc+. Leury likely would be somewhere around that (90 wrc+ or so).

It depends on how long vaughn stays down. If it is just the two weeks for service time I'm fine with leury/Collins/yermin. If it is really two months or so that wouldn't be good of course (albeit I still think that Collins will be ok against LHP but maybe it is not the right time to try). But for two weeks, who cares? I mean if we assume vaughn is a 2 war DH and leury a minus 2 war DH (about the worst you can be) then it is just a third of a win over 2 weeks. But yeah, if you plan to keep vaughn down until super two deadline and not just the two weeks (like late may) then they should do something.

I wouldn't call vaughn punting the position, after all vaughn is the top 1b prospect in baseball and a consensus top 30 prospect. Obviously even a high floor, advanced prospect can take some time to adjust to the majors (even some all stars have been bad their 1 or 2 first seasons) but I think with vaughn's advanced and safe profile you can bank On him at least producing a 100-105 wrc+ with a chance for more. That wouldn't be fantastic at DH but also not a huge loss since few teams have an ortiz or cruz these days. Imo the chance that vaughn totally struggles and produces an 80 wrc+ like EE last year is rather slim, so I take the decent floor with upside to be a top3-4 DH in the AL right away.

Yeah He Just needs to work on his defense for 12 games, then he is ready:)

Imo the sox shouldn't sign a DH only that then clogs the roster like EE did last year. Getting a lefty bat is fine but only if he also can play somewhere else because the sox already have vaughn and also eloy can use some DH days when he is banged up again.

I like it. It is expensive and those deals can go wrong but he is an elite talent and 3 years are managable in case it goes wrong. This should allow the sox to keep crochet in the minors especially if they keep heuer.

In terms of actual contribution to wins bWAR is better because for game results actual runs score matter and two pitchers with a 4.5 era (one with 3.5 fip and one with 5.5 fip) will be worth exactly the same. However for predicting the future fWAR is better unless you have a 1000 plus inning sample on fip to era trends. Btw Bref does also adjust for team defense, it is not simply RA9 WAR but still luck can happen. For example aaron nola had 10 bWAR in 2018 which would make it an all time great season because he had a low RA with very bad team defense, so he kinda got a double benefit as he had a low babip plus the defense adjustment.

Soccer leagues in Europe have Relegation, 3 Last Teams get relegated to AAA and top AAA teams get promoted to the majors. But leagues are organized a bit differently there, as the league is not an independent entity but there is one big league system that spans recreational ball and pro ball and in theory an adult Sunday league team could make the highest league if they win their league 7 times in a row (which never happens in practice because higher level teams have more money and can afford better players). That also means that relegation can be very threating to a soccer org as your team revenue is much lower in a lower league. Some teams never recovered from relegation and no play semi pro level.

Yeah, it is never enough. However it also could be zero WS, just ask the yankees who are always good since the middle of the decade but never went all the way since 09.

Trump's dollar per WAR is pretty high though:). Sorry couldn't resist.

Did player salary increase more than regular people salary? Ruth only got like 80k in 1930 but that was when the average rent for a flat was like 50 dollars a month and the average salary was maybe 1000 bucks a year. https://ny.curbed.com/2013/11/21/10172014/what-would-50-in-1940-rent-a-new-yorker-today

Great that he was able to see a dodgers WS win in his last year on earth. Happy for him and Vin that they still got to see another WS after a 30+ year drought.

Overall prospect returns have collapsed a bit because teams now all know surplus value and how valuable cost controlled young players are. This means real "fleecings" are rare now because every idiot now can look at surplus value tables. Top prospects only get traded in very rare cases for cost controlled young superstars in these days. On top of this also the success of the cubs and astros with tanking hard lead to many teams trying that leading to an oversupply of talent and an increased demand for prospects. Simply not a lot of teams try to compete and many try to trade for prospects and this makes it hard to get good returns. The sox really got lucky they sold before the teams got super stingy with their prospects plus they had those good contracts. I think it is a good thing that prospect prizes increased because that is an incentive against tanking which sucks for the game (still good the sox did it, it was the only way for them to get good again).

Through 2017 Bauer really was just ok (4.3 era) but since 2018 he had two very elite seasons. He also had a mediocre 2019 and 2020 was shortened so he is not a totally sure thing but the potential is there and 2019 might just be a little fluke in his new self. He also has been very durable so far which is a plus.

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His sprint speed was 77th percentile last year. That is not an 80 but probably a 60-65 grade.

Well cespedes is at least 25 pounds heavier and thus a lot stronger (were is the 180 from? Fg has him at 165) However with cespedes there might be another problem i.e a "bad body" that could affect his agility, flexibility and play a position other than DH. You don't want to bulk up too much as a short guy or you will be labeled a bad body player.

Madrigal already did gain a couple pounds before 2020 and also hit the ball slightly harder than in the minors. I think he can gain another 10 pounds but he shouldn't gain more than to not lose speed and agility.

Hitters are also up there to swing early if it is a fastball over the plate. Back in the day you would start with a fastball over the plate and the hitter would usually take it to get a little deeper in the count and then the AB would start. But today hitters have to attack every mistake over the plate because you usually only see one fat pitch per AB. That means pitchers need to be more careful with the first pitch which leads to deeper counts and more walks. But still strike 1 is important of course and especially reylo and cease have to improve that. Pitch one doesn't have to be a FB and it doesn't even have to be in the zone but it has to be close enough to be either called a strike or get a swing. That being said the "coop let the pitchers only throw FBs" is a bit overblown, I think it was time to replace him but he also wasn't that old school, the sox in 2020 were 8th in fastball percentage in the AL which is middle of the pack.

Owning a team will always be a business and you can't expect owners to lose money consistently. However it is still bad that some teams have 3 times the payroll of others. That some are at 220 and others at 60 is just bad for the game. Maybe the league should make sure that every team is between 130 and 180 instead, maybe combined with more revenue sharing. You could grant teams a two to three year rebuild exception per decade but otherwise you have to be at 130+. No other league has such a big payroll spread as mlb.

Bauer definitely got a bit better on social media. It is good that he mostly stopped posting about politics. As for his agent she is certainly a bit unorthodox but I think that is mostly for entertainment purposes and to gain followers. But that doesn't mean she is bad at her job, I don't think she acts like that in a closed room with a GM. We will see what kind of contract he gets.

Some of the stuff that biden has promised like free college could help. I think it was great that bernie hung in so long. Back then people said quit the race already and support biden against trump but by staying in the race and being annoying he forced biden to promise stuff like debt cancelation, free college and so on and now is probably the best chance to get that stuff done. I would also like m4all but even going back to and slightly improving Obamacare already would be a good start.

He should absolutely win and it sucks they scapegoat him but he probably is still done in baseball because privacy and trust is very important to mlb players and if he gives names of pitchers on court to prove that anyone does it they will be really pissed at him. He can probably get a settlement payment but I don't see how he can continue to work in baseball after naming offenders.