Dominikk85

I think there were some swing and miss issues against good pitching. Still great athlete and power. Also was a two sport guy i think so maybe there is more room to grow.

Top3 overall a HS hitter shouldn't be that raw. Still more raw than a top college bat but not as raw as a late first round or overslot second round HS bat.

Would be interesting if the royals pick Vaughn.would the sox go HS then?

If abreu is healthy and has a good start he has aome trade value but only if the sox eat like half of his salary which I hope they will do. Unfortunately abreu often is a bit bad in cold weather and doesn't start that well though.

I think rutschman is by far the best player of the draft, looks like buster posey. Vaughn is very good too but position limits his value a little, probably a 2.5 to 3 win guy.

If vaughn really could become konerko that would be fantastic. 1b was one of the few positions of strength of the sox in the last 20 years and if they can get another one as good as konkerko and abreu that would be really good. That might be only a 55 but even if it is only 3 war you still get a 125 OPS+ with 25-30 homers and solid obp.

I don't think you can take a college pitcher at 3, not enough track record. If you take a college pitcher top3 it should be a "sure thing" like mize last year. Even if a pitcher breaks out one year is imo not enough data to warrant a top 3 pick.

Tatis is a very Good prospect but I would take machado's 5% K-BB% over tatis 19%. Tatis raw numbers are good but mostly on power and babip domination. Moncada did the same in the minors and struggled upon call up. Because of this I prefer guys with good K-BB% numbers, just less bust potential. It still was a bad trade but tatis wasn't seen as a top100 prospect at that time.

I think they are in both phases. The bulk of their core is still there but they will still still acquire key pieces to the farm albeit of course the farm won't get as strong again as it was a year ago. But overall this core of prospects plus the 19 and 20 picks need to get the job done. The sox won't be able to collect another collection as strong as they currently have if they fail (because they don't have a sale, Quintana, Eaton to trade). They simply need more health and development from the guys they have.

Two years ago only the Astros and 2-3 other teams did it. The sox are not a team at the forefront of innovation, they do it when it is established and "proven". At least they are not last this time.

Well let's wait first if the mariners actually succeed. If Omar indeed becomes an average or better framer the sox player development deserves some criticism. But so far it is only training and I'm sure the sox tried stuff in training too albeit not sure if it was as methodical. Data driven Player development, rather than just an ex pro eyeballing you and guessing is a real thing but it still has to translate to games and we have yet to see that with omar. The sox have sticked too long with the old cue based coaching but at least they try now with lisle and Johansen.

Well he is there only since late 2014 so most international guys are still in the minors. Still 3 guys out of their current top10 which are all top 100 guys have been signed internationally by him (baz, morejon, patino) as well as a ton of guys out of their very strong 10 to 30 group. Also signed a lot of very good players in texas. There is a lot to criticize about preller but nobody would question his international competence.

Preller is a crook but admittedly he is good, his biggest strength is the international market where he was a scout before being a gm. In this area he is indeed way superior to hahn and most GMs. But hahn generally did great in trades too and you can't blame him for Machado, had he gotten more money from jerry he might have gotten him.

I think he was a little overranked though because he was a performer who stood out. Corner guys who perform often get overtaken late by other performers who can play the field. don't forget beer's down years still were a 1100 ops with 20 homers compared to his 1250 in his fresh year. I could see the same happen to vaughn if a good defensive OF posts a 1000+ ops and rises.

Seth beer also fell to the comp round.

The metrics do suggest regression. His K-BB rate was under 10% which is below average (average is around 14%). However I do think he has the stuff to increase his Ks and he really needs to.

I'm pretty sure at this point the sox will stick with their college bat approach and probably again double up in round 1 and 2. Rutschman with a big start, if he keeps it up he will probably not fall, the only chance he falls is a longer slump or some injury. You can't really pass up on him, he essentially seems to be the second best college bat while being a good defensive catcher. This will probably leave vaughn for the sox unless he gets snatched at 2.

Any team who doesn't use all of the international pool is stupid. 5m is nothing and there is so much value. Can't leave that on the table.

At this point I would be fine with any contribution from him. When drafted you hoped for a starter of course but if he turns out to be a dominant reliever that would be ok too.

Jack cust has a career 123 wRC+. Didn't do it in a sexy way but if collins can do that at catcher that would be pretty good.

There are no mlb regulars with a sub 200 average. But there were plenty low to mid 200s guys who walked a lot. Maybe Collins can be jack cust.

Are you worried about erics assessment that eloy might be more of a DH/emergency corner OF than a capable outfield defender? Of course his bat will play at DH too if he hits his projection and becomes a 130-140 wrc+ hitter but if he is a DH or very negative OF he could be more of a 3.5 war rather than a 5 war guy.

Zavala is also striking out a lot, pretty similar to collins. He had some super high babips giving him a decent average but I'm not sure that will stick in the majors.

Collins is a much better hitter but can he catch?

I agree. He obviously knows baseball but i just don't believe he is putting in the same effort as the other guys. Making a top100 the right way is a boat load of work with a lot of talking to scouts and even seeing guys in person. Longenhagen for example has an insane work and travel schedule. I just don't think bowden puts in that effort, he probably parrots other lists and tweaks them a little by personal preference. fortunately the athletic has hired sickels who will probably make the next lists and has more credibility.