Dominikk85

QUOTE (reiks12 @ Jun 14, 2017 -> 04:44 PM) There is a high chance that counseling helped this guy. I was a therapist in Missouri for teenagers who did this sort of thing. A little over 90% of teenagers who do this go on to live healthy lives and don't reoffend. The same can't be said about adults. A lot of this sort of thing happens because of doubts about their own sexuality and growing up without any boundaries. Of course there is a lot more to it but thats what was common between most of the kids that I worked with. Most kids I worked with felt great shame and showed a lot of motivation to deal with whatever issues they were going through. More often than not dealing with those issues allowed them to focus on healthy relationships and to honor their victims. Society will never separate child sex offender from adult sex offender even though countless studies suggest they should. Very sad. That is true but there are also people who think he doesn't deserve a second chance regardless of whether there is a chance of relapse or not. Legal punishment is not just to protect society but also for justice to the family of the victim. A murderer also doesn't get a second chance usually even if there is very little risk for a relapse.

I think that he has already played his last baseball game. Looks like no team will draft him and I don't think he can go back to college.

Btw im not sure why they drafted a first baseman in the second round. Sheets stats are not bad but the Sox already have collins as a potential 1b or DH and burger is not a lock to stay at third either. I know you go best player available but with burger probably not being that expensive wouldn't there be a higher upside overslot pick? I get hahns strategy, he is going away from toolsy outfielders to advanced college bats who have a high floor and usually positions work out themselves but if guys already start at the left of the defensive spectrum there is not much room to go. Still it proyally is worth a try, 11th and 40 something are not super high picks and if you want guys that definitely not flame out in A ball those were probably the guys to go.

The reports on his defense are not bad everyone occasionally boots a grounder that is nothing to worry about. The worries about his defense come more from his body type. I don't love the pick but I don't think he will be a bust. The swing is not pretty but he has proven that he can hit at the highest college level. I don't think he will be a 300 hitter but if he becomes a 35 hr guy that is ok. The swing reminds me of todd frazier an if he hits like a young todd frazier that is fine even as a DH.

Body and swing are not pretty but he gets the job done and he has a lot of power. I feel this is a couple of spots too high for him but then again 11 is not a save spot to pick a star and I think it is unlikely that he really busts. Worst case he is a tyler white (bad bodied first baseman)and best case he is a young todd frazier if he can improve his body some. That is not bad at all, prefer that to another toolsy of with flaws.

Ks are OK if you hit the ball exceptionally hard and if you take a ton of walks (like dunn). Kendall definitely has power but his college K rate point to mid 30s plus k rate in pro ball if not high 30s. The guys who make mid 30s work all have at least 70 power if not 80 (Sano, gallo). Even with 60 power (high 20s home runs in mlb) 35% definitely does not work long term. I think kendall has power but I'm not sure he has Sano kind of power (hitting 450+ foot homers all the time). Now I read he focused on baseball late so there might be room to improve but imo you only take him if you believe you can significantly improve his contact by making adjustments. Regarding bukauskas I don't see it. Most reports have him fall out of the top10 and probably to about 15 to 20.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jun 12, 2017 -> 08:00 AM) I personally think he has disqualified himself, but don't make decisions for others. I just can't see why a team would even consider it, but if they do, that's their choice. OJ didn't make a comeback when he was acquitted. The NFL wife beaters had a rel hard time getting a job, and this is beyond that. NFL teams take guys off their draft board for nothing compared to this. To me this is something that won't fade away. You knock your wife around, unfortunately that fades away over time. This doesn't. Plus, I am one of those who thinks people who do this don't get rehabilitated. I realize a lot of these players, if not the majority aren't exactly choirboys. There are a lot of issues with a lot of people, not just baseball players. Everyone makes mistakes. People deserve extra chances. I get all that and I agree with it, however, a line has to be drawn somewhere. Drugs, drinking problems, gambling...to me, those are second chance things. Wifebeating, to me, you're done. And child molesting, no way you would play for my team. It pissed me off when the Sox traded for Brett Myers. You could go back to the thread and see. I love the White Sox, but if they were the team that gave this guy his "second chance", I think I would find some other thing to occupy my time in the summer. But mlb wife beaters had a pretty easy time getting a job again - chapman -jose Reyes -maybe addison Russell if this turns to be true I would not draft him either but somewhere later in the draft some gm might take the chance to get value cheap. Those gms have enormous pressure to find guys who can play and it takes only one to bite. Friedman for example has a history of taking guys with a bad and sometimes criminal background if he he cheap enough (for example Matt bush). But I definitely agree that it can be a big distraction and I would stay away if I could as a gm.

QUOTE (turnin' two @ Jun 11, 2017 -> 02:15 PM) Beer has more HRs this year that Hiura does in the last 2 combined. Not sure they are very comparable at all. Yes. Hiura is a very good pure hitter and also has a good eye but he has not shown much power. 8 hr with a metal bat in college is not great. Now he might be one of those guys who grow into more power but worst case he is a DH with 12 home runs a year and even if he plays second hitting like 15 hr or so is not that special anymore, the time of bat first no power second basemen is mostly over (last year more than half of the majors 2B hit 20+ HR). Now there is a chance he becomes a dustin pedroia type who hits 300 with 15 hr and great defense or even he becomes a 20 plus hr guy and is a star but there are probably limits to his realistic ceiling. I think the chance that he flames out in AA ball is very low and he might have about the highest ceiling to reach the majors in some capacity and that has value but to be really be called the best college bat I think just a good hit tool is not enough, I want at least a 55 future power too. Now I don't think he is a no power guy but with the HR surge now 20 HR is just average and the bar has shifted up.

QUOTE (steveno89 @ Jun 9, 2017 -> 09:14 AM) Quintana's FIP of 4.10 is really not that bad. That shows he has been pretty unlucky this season and his numbers should improve. 3 1/2 seasons of a quality left handed starter should not come cheap. The Astros are very much a contender right now, and for the next few seasons. Tucker, Martes and Musgrove might be too much for them to stomach, but a deal could still be built around their prospects. Teams will definitely go by fip and not era but a 4 fip is also not TOR pitching. He should get better than that and I do think they should get at least two top100 prospects and more for him but I could understand why teams would prefer a guy who does it with strikeouts and not with soft contact and Homer prevention. I see the Sox getting a top20 guy as the headliner but maybe not a top5 guy like moncada.

QUOTE (TheFutureIsNear @ Jun 10, 2017 -> 12:17 PM) Evan White a right handed version of Cody Bellinger? What does everyone think of that comp and the value at pick #11? Much less power there. He can hit but might not hit for enough power at 1b. He probably could play a corner pretty ok though.

Btw there are some who think that mcKay is overraten due to the two way thing. He probably would be a top10 guy either way but maybe not more if he did only one thing. Statistically he is very good but at the plate he is a 1b and his stats were great but not really better than some other 1b guys (smith, rooker) and on the mound he is very polished but his stuff is not off the charts great. And if you don't think he can pitch and hit in the majors why give him a bonus for that and not treat him like either a top10 hitter or pitcher?

A second first rounder would be a huge advantage in the draft.are there any FA leaving or other ways to get that additional pick?

I think to go first overall beer needs a really crazy season with like a 1300 ops or so. This year he had a good one with a round 1000 ops but for his defensive profile to go first overall he needs to really go crazy with the bat. If he has a season like his 2017 season he might fall to like 7 or 8.

Jerry brewer knows a lot about the baseball swing but he is not a scout and doesn't consider age, position, body projection, defense and other stuff that scouts do. He is an excellent hitting coach but I wouldn't take his word for gospel when it comes to scouting.

I would prefer lewis or addell but beck is probably the third best hs bay out there.

Who do you prefer? Longenhagen thinks Lewis is the best hitter of the 3 but Adell and Beck have more power. Eric A Longenhagen: Lewis has the best bat of the three and more favorable defensive projection in CF. Beck and Adell have more power, Adell’s arm has been down this spring, Beck’s is plus, but I’ve seen Adell mash good high school pitching and not Beck. Seems like Beck is the most risky and Lewis the least risky with Adell being in between.

QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jun 5, 2017 -> 07:10 AM) Trea Turner has a 710 ops right now...not nearly the dynamic offensive force he was over a half season last year. Benintendi at 755. to be fair turner missed a month with an oblique strain and still might not be at full strength again. he should be given some time before you evaluate his season. as for benintendi I think he will hit but I don't think he will be an MVP candidate as some red sox fans think. I think he will hit for good average and OBP but his power probably is more like average (20 HR or so). still might be a 4 win player but I don't think he will be nelson cruz bat plus jasons heywards defense as some red sox fans seem to expect. I still think moncada has a higher ceiling but AB is a much safer bet because of his combination of contact skills, plate discipline and defense and at least decent power.

1-1 I take hunter greene. Yes HS pitcher but he seems to be a generational talent he is sitting upper 90s and basically pitching like Strasburg was out of college. I don't love McKay that much. His Velo was not that spectacular and he might be more of a 3 starter. His bat is very good too but he is a 1b and I read reports that he hit a lot better against weaker teams than against good teams. Now he might improve either hitting or pitching if he focused on it but I can't ignore greenes upside, he could become a jose Fernandez or noah syndergaard and no other player in the draft has Close that upside. At 11 I would go haseley first and if he is gone I gamble upside with adell or Kendall. At 11 there is no safe and great pick especially not this year and if haseley is gone I might as well take the upside rather than one of the 1b/DH bats.

QUOTE (Hatchetman @ Jun 5, 2017 -> 01:02 PM) Its amazing how many hitting experts there are out there. Amazing anyone could play baseball before Youtube. I posted the video here before. The baseball rebellion guy knows his stuff, he worked with many top amateurs and some pros.

The good thing about Kendall is that his defense and position raises his floor. Even if his OBP is below average and his power maybe a bit above so that he is overall an average hitter he still can be an above average player. If a first base type becomes an average hitter he is a 0.5 war player.

QUOTE (Y2JImmy0 @ Jun 4, 2017 -> 01:54 PM) I would hate that pick in round 3. I'm not a fan of drafting relievers. Didn't like the Burdi pick last year either though. Getting a mlb reliever from the 3rd round is a good result. Not many good starters come from later rounds.

QUOTE (TheFutureIsNear @ Jun 3, 2017 -> 08:48 PM) Can someone tell me what the issue with Burger is? Is that he goes to a small school? He shows + power, is walking more than K'ing, and and has good contact skills. So is it level of competition? Or that he's not a great athlete? To me he seems like a low floor, but still high ceiling prospect that should be in high consideration for pick #11. I think the biggest question is if he can stay at third. Usually college third basemen are not the best defenders.

QUOTE (bmags @ May 31, 2017 -> 10:32 AM) I kind of take exception to this. We shouldn't rule out all future athletic players because of Jared Mitchell. We have also failed with a high intangible line drive hitting short stop in Gordon Beckham. We just developed a raw, athletic shortstop in Tim Anderson. We were bad at developing, period. But you won't get good by constantly relying on acquiring the high value prospects like Robert/Moncada who are very athletic, powerful prospects with some swing and miss. I would love another advanced approach college hitter, but we can't just draft a bunch of corner outfield/1b 15 home run types. Did they really develope him? Anderson is an ok player because he is a shortstop but his plate discipline and contact is still not good. I think nobody has something against athletic players the problem is raw players with flaws. Btw the cubs weren't great at developing those players either but they got a lot of very polished players. Btw im not totally against addell he has some plate discipline issues but the swing itself is pretty solid.

QUOTE (Dam8610 @ May 31, 2017 -> 12:56 AM) Smith's power projects much better than Ravelo. still I don't like smith due to that reason. if he was a middle infielder that would be no big deal but at 1B he doesn't have the fallback option if the power doesn't develope. I mean some of the no power 1B prospects do develope power at some point (or at age 30 in yonder alonsos case:)) but many also never develope it (like james loney). it is also interesting whether it is an exit velo thing or a swing plane/launch angle thing like in alonsos cases who always hit the ball hard but swung too level and now swings with more of an uppercut to get it in the air more. smith won't be a 1 HR guy but there is a pretty good chance that he will be like a 15 HR guy with a wood bat and that doesn't really play at 1B. he will hit and there is a chance he becomes a star and hits 30 HR but for a 1B only prospects that is too many "Ifs" in my opinion.

QUOTE (Palehosefan @ May 30, 2017 -> 08:24 AM) For orgs that have had a history of developing guys with a lack of plate discipline, its a valid risk worth taking. For the White Sox, a guy comes into the system with issues, and leaves with issues. Hiura could be a good pick if he didn't have the elbow issues. Do you draft him and immediately put him under TJ surgery? Do you relegate him to 1B instead? Could do worse with this pick. Evan White is just underwhelming for me. He's very good defensively, but is his power ever going to develop? I would be thrilled with Pavin Smith. He's solid defensively at 1B, and has a beautiful swing and eye at the plate. His power has also developed while hitting in a pitchers park at UVA. He continued his success in the Cape Cod league as well with wooden bats. I think he would be a fast-track guy that could be part of the rebuild in 2 years. I think with hiura it is good that he is a 2b. If he played third or short I would expect worried about the arm more but a 2b doesn't have to throw that far. For position players the recovery is only like 6 to 9 months or so. You could draft him, let him Dh in rookie ball for two months and then have the surgery so that he his ready to play second in June next year. Not that much developement time lost. Imo it is important that they get up the middle talent. You can always find a 1b that can hit some but up the middle guys that can hit are rare. Plus you can always move an up the middle guy to a corner but not vice versa.