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GenericUserName

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Everything posted by GenericUserName

  1. Plus you don't get confused about Brendan Malone vs Brenden Milone.
  2. If you signed seniors for all of 6-10, then you could save $1mil
  3. I think 3rd is the last round where you can get a comp pick if your pick doesn't sign, so it might not be a bad gamble.
  4. You figure the 5% overage gives us ~$500k, can probably get another $200k from going with senior signs the last two rounds. That gets us half way. $700k seems like a lot to have saved on the first 2 picks. We might not have much left.
  5. FG says the rumored ask from Dalquist was $2mil.
  6. I'm surprised Callihan is signable. I thought he would be going to school after he didn't go in the first.
  7. I think its more like the guys who are listed but not ranked. So on the FG board, all the guys who are HS-H-#
  8. Hitters I like: Maurice Hampton - I think we've talked about him enough. Jordan Brewer - College popup guy that has more potential than most college guys still available, but limited track record. Could be a 20-20 CF. I honestly don't know how he is still available. Jake Sanford - Similar to Brewer, but against lesser competition. Has more power, but is probably LF instead of a possible CF like Brewer. Hudson Head - Good feel for the barrel and plus speed, but someone needs to get this kid a cheeseburger because it looks like a stiff wind could break him in half. If you can put some muscle on him, I feel like he could develop good power. I guess the questions are how much bigger can he get and what will that do to his speed. Toolsy upside pick favorite. Dasan Brown - Young Canadian outfielder that has good twitch, bat speed and foot speed. Struggled a bit this year, but was also facing teams with professionals so he was probably just overmatched. Toolsy upside pick favorite. Edouard Julien - He is a 20 year old, sophomore eligible college player than could possibly play second, hit 17 homers as a freshmen, broke Frank Thomas freshman record for RBI (that doesn't really mean much, but its a fun connection), and is only 7 months older than Brett Baty. He has real questions about his contact rates, but he has power and more upside than most college guys considering the only reason he is in the draft is because of a loophole and really he should be a younger junior next year. Colin Barber - HS hitter with average or better tools across the board. Needs to refine his approach because he guesses at times which leads to swing and miss. Hopefully that is something he gets rid of when he is no longer trying to impress scouts. I like his bat speed and I think he could have some real power if he got better hip activation with his swing. Carter Young - Probably going to Vandy, but he is going to be a guy we are talking about in three years as a guy with good contact and command of the zone who could probably stick in the middle of the dirt, has average power, good hands, great leadership qualities. He was one of the only non-seniors on Team USA 18U in 2017, but then didn't do as well in 2018 and scouts kind of wrote him off and then he went back to the northwest where its more difficult to get looks at him. Dominic Canzone - Dinged for his weird swing, but tied school record for consecutive games getting on base with 51. Developed power this year when he added more loft to his swing. I think he could have solid average and power, though he is limited to left. James Beard - Fastest guy in the draft. Truly elite speed. If he can hit at all, he could be a scary threat with his ability to steal bases. Basically a second change at developing Adam Engel, but maybe even faster. Pitchers I like: Spencer Jones - Tall lefty that you can dream on. Might be too late to get him away from college. Is also a good hitter, so he has that as a backup if he can't make it as a pitcher. Tyler Dyson - Could have been another first round pitcher from UF if he had performed, but he struggled this year but came on in the last few weeks. If there is some actual change in that time the scouts can identify, he could be a steal even in the third round. Kyle Brnovich - Maybe the single best breaking ball in the class. With the trend of throwing much more breaking pitches instead of fastballs, I think he can get away with an average fastball by having a great breaking ball he can manipulate so hitters get different looks at the same pitch. I could see him being similar to Giolito in that he needs to refine his delivery to repeat it better, but once he does he could have a similar jump. Garrett Stallings - No plus pitch, but a 4 pitch mix of offerings he can command and that he tunnels and sequences well. I feel like he is the guy that performs better than his stuff would indicate and historically we wouldn't know why but it might be explained with modern tech. Hayden Wesneski - Funky pitching angle makes his sinker/slider combo play well off each other. I feel like he is the type that spends an offseason developing a third offering to tunnel with those two and suddenly he is untouchable. Andrew Schultz - College reliever with high spin rate 4 seamer that touches 101. Iffy slider and no third pitch, but I'll take that fastball and let the coaches work on developing a complimentary pitch. Noah Song - At some point having to wait 2 years is going to be worth it. I just don't know if that point for us is before it is for a team like the Dodgers or Yankees.
  9. I didn't like this pick, but how I eventually feel about it will depend a lot on how things turn out over the next days and when signing numbers are reported.
  10. Do not like. He was falling all spring.
  11. You just had to mention Henderson didnt you. I was specifically not saying how much I wanted him to not jinx it.
  12. Agreed. And when talking about best case scenarios, Konerko is light.
  13. A lot of things are silly, but that doesn't mean we don't try to do them to the best of our abilities.
  14. Well I mean what are the other comps we've heard so far tonight for him? Goldschmidt, Bagwell, Hoskins. Two of those are probably better than Konerko and Hoskins is too early to tell.
  15. Konerko was actually a comp some people had for him, but others said that was too light.
  16. There was an article recently about how basketball prospects are all redoing a year in like middle school so they look better for college teams. Baty is a basketball player too, so maybe he was good enough at an early age that they did that.
  17. Depending on which HS arms slide, I could get on board with that. Otherwise Hampton would be a nice high upside pick, but I'm also kind of hoping for Fletcher in the third and I don't really see us taking high ceiling, low floor HS OFers with back to back picks.
  18. I do wonder if the sox will try Vaughn out at third at some point. Maybe not this year with him coming off his college season probably already tired, but maybe at some point next year if he needs a challenge that the minor league pitchers aren't providing.
  19. Potential 5 tool talent. I believe he was at a JuCo for his first two years so this is his first year going against top talent. Playing first and right, but could play center in the majors but Michigan has a really good defensive CF right now. Scouts don't like the lack of track record, but at some point in the third round or so, he might just have so many more tools than everyone else that a team will risk it.
  20. Until watching that last video on there, I didn't realize Vaughn was on the USA baseball 15U team. In a weird way, that makes me feel better about him. It probably shouldn't, but knowing he was well thought of that long ago makes me more confident than when I thought he wasn't that big of a prospect coming out of high school.
  21. Be the change you wish to see in the world
  22. Well he was going to go underslot at #8 and if he were going just on talent he would probably go late teens to early 20s. Slot at #8 is ~$5.175mm and slot at the higher end of where he could go otherwise is ~$3.75mm for #16. So if he was agreeing to an underslot deal at #8, it was probably between $4mm and $4.5mm. So if we say it was $4.25mm, that would save us ~$3mm, which combined with the 5% overage would give us an extra $3.5mm for overslot deals the rest of the draft. Adding half of that amount to our second pick would give the same amount as an early 20s slot. So this strategy could end up getting us two of the top 20 or 25 guys in the draft while still having some left for guys after round 10.
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