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2017 Democratic Thread


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QUOTE (Quin @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 04:07 PM)
And because we're living in a poorly written political thriller...

 

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/12/i...court_rule.html

 

Alabama's Secretary of State, who believes you have to earn the right to vote, got an injunction filed so that he can destroy voting records from tonight. He also went to Russia last year to observe their elections and had glowing reviews.

 

Somehow, that is not an Onion article.

 

Are we sure he didn’t go there with Sessions?

 

Who funded that trip, exactly? What could possibly be gained from such a junket that would be of value to taxpayers?

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QUOTE (bmags @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 04:38 PM)
*whispers to self* please don't look at exits please don't look at exits *clicks link to exit poll*

 

 

Moore supposedly needed at least 27% African American turnout to win. The women’s vote seems just as important, especially anyone close to independent/moderate. They all have to break towards Jones.

 

 

Nearly six in 10 voters for Democrat Doug Jones were black in these preliminary exit polls

Nine in 10 Moore voters were white. A slim majority of voters for Moore were white men.

 

(Three in 10 voters in this election are black in these initial results, a number that can change as more results come in throughout the night. That portion is on par with presidential elections in 2008 and 2012.)

 

Voters continue to be nearly evenly divided on a host of questions about the two candidates in Tuesday's election.

 

Alabamians are evenly split on whether they view Jones favorably, while Moore’s favorability rating is underwater by double digits in preliminary exit polling. CNN.com

Edited by caulfield12
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Trump really put himself in a tough spot with this one. If Moore wins, he will take full credit, and would one really want to? If he loses, he campaigned for Moore opponent in the primary and lost, then campaigned for Moore, another loss would make him a loser. Sad.

 

I think he ultimately loses either way.

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McConnell's in an even tougher situation if Moore wins, because it puts nearly every GOP Senator into a potential primary (against Darth Bannon), even in states like South Dakota, Nebraska and Utah.

 

Arizona (Flake's seat), Nevada (Heller) and Mississippi (Wicker) are going to be thrown into chaos if ultra-right wing candidates emerge there. Then you've got Corker's seat in TN and Ted Cruz/Beto O'Rourke as well in TX.

 

The odds would still have to be about 75% in favor of the GOP holding the majority, with the Dems having 3X more seats being contested and having to win ALL those toss-ups like McCaskill, Manchin (WV), Donnelly, Heitkamp and Tester. 8 seats for GOP, 23 for Dems.

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Turnout expected to be around 25%.

 

Jones has been trending well with indicators like white college-educated women voters and chipping off 20% of moderate/liberal Republicans....but he's still behind by 1.5% with 5 per cent in so far.

Down 9.8% now...going in the wrong direction quickly in the last 10-15 minutes.

 

He has to sweep across those 9 majority African-American counties in the bottom 1/3rd of the state.

Edited by caulfield12
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-3.6% Tightening again.

 

With all the positives about Alabama in recent years, Mercedes-Benz, aerospace industry, Univ. of Alabama and Auburn both trending in a positive direction academically...had perhaps unjustified higher hopes compared to what we're seeing right now.

Edited by caulfield12
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