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Race for the worst 2018 record (Top 5 pick) again


caulfield12

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9 hours ago, Jose Abreu said:

If that were the case then winning a World Series every year would be laughably easy. A team full of 3 WAR players would be the greatest sports team ever assembled. 

Agreed. 3 WAR players are very valuable. Even producing 2 WAR players from your farm system is a tremendous value. 

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Actually the trend is going away from chasing ceiling. In the early to mid 00s teams tried to find the player with the highest upside (99-05  just one college player went first overall), but percentage of prep first rounders has been falling and teams pick more based on floor compared to 10-15 years ago.

Maybe this trend will roll back some time in the future but right now it is how it is.

 

Teams are not totally against prep talent but you only take them first if you are sure about them. 

 

If there is any doubt about a HS player (position, bat to ball skill, health) the player will drop very quickly.

Most only take high schoolers first overall if they believe he is a generational talent.

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On 8/19/2018 at 9:20 AM, flavum said:

Draft order through 122 games:

  1. Orioles 36-86
  2. Royals 37-85
  3. White Sox 45-77
  4. Padres 48-74
  5. Marlins 48-74
  6. Tigers 50-72
  7. Reds 53-69
  8. Mets 53-69
  9. Rangers 53-69
  10. Blue Jays 55-67

Draft order through 132 games (after Game 132):

  1. Orioles 38-94 (1-0)
  2. Royals 41-91
  3. Padres 50-82 (1-1)
  4. White Sox 52-80
  5. Tigers 53-79
  6. Marlins 53-79 (0-1)
  7. Reds 57-75
  8. Mets 58-74
  9. Rangers 58-74 (0-1)
  10. Blue Jays 60-72
Edited by flavum
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7 minutes ago, Jack Parkman said:

This is incorrect. The tiebreaker is the previous season's standings. Detroit picks before the Sox if they end tied. 

Well, that officially sucks.

They get the small market subsidy picks, too, which they'll probably need with the sons running the franchise more carefully from a financial standpoint.

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45 minutes ago, flavum said:

Probably looking at 6th unless the Reds are four games worse and/or the Rangers are five games worse than the Sox over the final 27. 

Won’t complain about 6th. It would be a pretty high pick while having a solid starting rotation.

  Try 9th.

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10 minutes ago, zisk said:

  Try 9th.

Reds play the Pirates six games, Padres four, Marlins four, Royals twice

Rangers play the Angels nine, Padres three, Twins two more this weekend

Mets play the Marlins seven, Nationals four...the rest is pretty tough

As long as the Sox do their part and not go better than 14-13, I think they'll hang on to 6th.

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