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Predict the Market: FA Contracts


Look at Ray Ray Run

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Cole - 7 years, 250 million - Signed:

Rendon - 8 years, 255 million - Signed:

Stras - 6 years, 220 million - Signed:

Bumgarner - 6 years, 175 million - Signed:

Chapman - 4 years 60 million - Signed:

JD Martinez - 4 years, 90 million - Signed:

Ryu - 4 years, 85 million - Signed:

Donaldson - 3 years, 65 million - Signed:

Wheeler - 5 years, 125 million - Signed:

Ozuna - 4 years, 85 million - Signed:

Grandal - 4 years, 70 million - Signed: 4 Years, 73 Million

Odorizzi - 4 years, 60 million - Signed:

Hamels - 4 years, 65 million - Signed:

Didi - 5 years, 68 million - Signed:

Keuchel - 3 years, 50 million - Signed:

Castellanos - 5 years, 80 million - Signed:

Miley - 2 years, 25 million - Signed:

Encarnacion - 1 year, 19 million - Signed:

Moustakas - 2 years, 38 million - Signed:

Puig - 3 years, 45 million - Signed:

Will Smith - 4 years, 48 million - Signed: 3 Years, 39 million

Will Harris - 3 years, 30 million - Signed:

Betances - 2 years, 16 million - Signed:

Roark - 1 year, 13 million - Signed:

Pineda 1 year, 11 million - Signed:

 

Tracking

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On 10/31/2019 at 9:53 PM, ChiSox59 said:

For shits and giggles, I am going to take this a step further a guess teams and deals

Cole - 8 years, 255 million (Yankees)

Rendon - 8 years, 245 million (Nats)

Stras - 6 years, 200 million (Nats)

Bumgarner - 5 years, $145 million (Twins)

Chapman - 5 years 85 million (Dodgers)

JD Martinez - 4 years, 80 million (Rangers)

Ryu - 4 years, 88 million (Angels)

Donaldson - 4 years, 82 million (Twins)

Wheeler - 5 years, 98 million (White Sox)

Ozuna - 4 years, 78 million (Cardinals)

Grandal - 4 years, 72 million (White Sox)

Odorizzi - Accepts QO (Twins)

Hamels - 4 years, 68 (Angels)

Didi - 4 years, 55 million (Giants)

Keuchel - 4 years, 62 million (Reds)

Castellanos - 4 years, 70 million (Cubs) 

Miley - 2 years, 25 million (Blue Jays)

Encarnacion - 1 year, 12 million (Rays)

Moustakas - 2 years, 27 million (Rangers) 

Puig - 3 years, 43 million (DBacks)

Will Smith - 4 years, 41 million (Rockies)

Will Harris - 3 years, 32 million (Astros)

Betances - 2 years, 18 million (White Sox)

Roark - 1 year, 13 million (Orioles)

Pineda 2 year, 18 million (Twins)

Let's hit on the Wheeler pick too! 

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  • 2 months later...
On 10/30/2019 at 10:32 AM, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

This is something that entertains me every off season and I like seeing how accurately salaries can be predicted. 

Fans the past few years have over valued the market. 

Let's see how accurate everyone can be.

Here is a list of the top 2020 free agents.

Here are the top 25:

Cole - 7 years, 250 million

Rendon - 8 years, 255 million

Stras - 6 years, 220 million

Bumgarner - 6 years, 175 million

Chapman - 4 years 60 million

JD Martinez - 4 years, 90 million

Ryu - 4 years, 85 million

Donaldson - 3 years, 65 million

Wheeler - 5 years, 125 million

Ozuna - 4 years, 85 million

Grandal - 4 years, 70 million

Odorizzi - 4 years, 60 million

Hamels - 2 years, 30 million

Didi - 5 years, 68 million

Keuchel - 3 years, 50 million

Castellanos - 5 years, 80 million 

Miley - 2 years, 25 million

Encarnacion - 1 year, 19 million

Moustakas - 2 years, 38 million

Puig - 3 years, 45 million

Will Smith - 4 years, 48 million

Will Harris - 3 years, 30 million

Betances - 2 years, 16 million

Roark - 1 year, 13 million

Pineda 1 year, 11 million

Cole - 7 years, 250 million - Signed: 9 year, 324 million

Rendon - 8 years, 255 million - Signed: 7 year, 245 million

Stras - 6 years, 220 million - Signed: 7 years, 245 million

Bumgarner - 6 years, 175 million - Signed: 5 years, 85 million

Ryu - 4 years, 85 million - Signed: 4 years, 80 million

Donaldson - 3 years, 65 million - Signed: 4 years, 92 million

Wheeler - 5 years, 125 million - Signed: 5 years, 118 million

Ozuna - 4 years, 85 million - Signed: 1 year, 18 million

Grandal - 4 years, 70 million - Signed: 4 Years, 73 Million

Odorizzi - 4 years, 60 million - Signed: QO

Hamels - 2 years, 30 million - Signed: 1 year, 18 million

Didi - 5 years, 68 million - Signed: 1 year, 14 million

Keuchel - 3 years, 50 million - Signed: 3 years, 55 million

Castellanos - 5 years, 80 million - Signed: 4 years, 64 million

Miley - 2 years, 25 million - Signed: 2 years, 15 million

Encarnacion - 1 year, 19 million - Signed: 1 year, 12 million

Moustakas - 2 years, 38 million - Signed: 4 years, 64 million

Puig - 3 years, 45 million - Signed: NONE

Will Smith - 4 years, 48 million - Signed: 3 Years, 39 million

Will Harris - 3 years, 30 million - Signed: 3 years, 24 million

Betances - 2 years, 16 million - Signed: 1 year, 10.5 million

Roark - 1 year, 13 million - Signed: 1 year, 12 million 

Pineda 1 year, 11 million - Signed: 1 year, 10 million 

 

Overall not terrible. Biggest misses were Bumgarner (terrible projections by me), Did (who took the shorter offer to rebuild value), and Ozuna.

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On 10/31/2019 at 9:53 PM, ChiSox59 said:

For shits and giggles, I am going to take this a step further a guess teams and deals

Cole - 8 years, 255 million (Yankees); 9/$324 (Yanks)

Rendon - 8 years, 245 million (Nats); 7/$245M (LAA) NAILED IT

Stras - 6 years, 200 million (Nats); 7/$245M (Nats)

Bumgarner - 5 years, $145 million (Twins); 5/$85M (Dbacks) JUST A BIT OUTSIDE

Ryu - 4 years, 88 million (Angels); 4/$80M (Jays)

Donaldson - 4 years, 82 million (Twins); 4/$92M (Twins); NAILED IT

Wheeler - 5 years, 98 million (White Sox); 5/$118M (Phillies)

Ozuna - 4 years, 78 million (Cardinals); 1/$18M (Braves) JUST A BIT OUTSIDE

Grandal - 4 years, 72 million (White Sox); 4/$73M (White Sox) NAILED IT

Odorizzi - Accepts QO (Twins); Accepted QO NAILED IT

Hamels - 4 years, 68 (Angels); 1/$18M (Angels) JUST A BIT OUTSIDE

Didi - 4 years, 55 million (Giants); 1/$14M (Phillies) JUST A BIT OUTSIDE

Keuchel - 4 years, 62 million (Reds); 4/$55.5M (White Sox) NAILED IT

Castellanos - 4 years, 70 million (Cubs); 4/$64M (Reds) NAILED IT

Miley - 2 years, 25 million (Blue Jays); 2/$15M (Reds)

Encarnacion - 1 year, 12 million (Rays) 1/$12M (White Sox) NAILED IT

Moustakas - 2 years, 27 million (Rangers); 4/$64M (Red) JUST A BIT OUTSIDE

Will Smith - 4 years, 41 million (Rockies); 3/$40M (Braves)

Will Harris - 3 years, 32 million (Astros); 3/$24M (Nats)

Betances - 2 years, 18 million (White Sox); 1/$10.5M (Mets)

Roark - 1 year, 13 million (Orioles) 2/$24M (Jays)

Pineda 2 year, 18 million (Twins) 2/$20M (Twins) NAILED IT

Overall I did pretty well.  Estimates on Bumgarner, Ozuna, Hamels, Didi and Moustakas were pretty off, but the rest I either nailed or was in the ball park.  I still do find the Bum, Ozuna, Didi and Mous deals pretty strange either for player or team.  In hindsight, not sure what I was thinking with Hamels. Was pretty short on Cole as well.  

Fun little game, glad I participated.  

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