Jose Abreu Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 (edited) MLB posted a video today that got me thinking: Eloy hit .267/.315/.513 (.828 OPS, 117 OPS+, 116 wRC+) in a rookie year that was often interrupted by injury, rusty periods following injury, and so on. When he was healthy and recovered from whatever ailment he had been dealing with (as in, ~2 weeks after returning from an IL stint), he was awesome. He seems to have bulked up over the winter, and his swing looks great at the end of that video. Defense aside (I think he'll improve to the point where he's at least playable), what do you expect from him next year? Something like .270/.320/.500 may be a reasonable baseline, but if he stays healthy, I think he's gonna take a massive leap. I wouldn't be surprised if he puts up .280/.340/.560 with 45 home runs (he was on a 41 home run per 162 pace last year), for example. Is that crazy? Edited January 29, 2020 by Jose Abreu 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsak31 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I’m thinking 40+ HRs for Eloy and Edwin, and they’ll be lighting up that scoreboard at GRate often! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 I'm gonna hate doing this prediction game this year because the first question in reply to any of them is "What's the ball like"? The MLB jumped by nearly 20% last year - if the whole league went down by that much because they stop using the Happy Fun Ball, then you're talking a 34 home run pace instead of a 40 home run pace over 162. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mqr Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 Give me a wRC+ floating around 130 and I will be whelmed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoxBlanco Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 When I read the thread title, my first thought was, “I’m expecting a huge offensive season...something like 45 bombs and a .900 OPS.” Then I read your post and saw you had the exact same prediction. Great minds. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcq Posted January 29, 2020 Share Posted January 29, 2020 25 minutes ago, Balta1701 said: I'm gonna hate doing this prediction game this year because the first question in reply to any of them is "What's the ball like"? The MLB jumped by nearly 20% last year - if the whole league went down by that much because they stop using the Happy Fun Ball, then you're talking a 34 home run pace instead of a 40 home run pace over 162. The balls will not be as smooth. Baseballs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaliSoxFanViaSWside Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 1 hour ago, Jose Abreu said: MLB posted a video today that got me thinking: Eloy hit .267/.315/.513 (.828 OPS, 117 OPS+, 116 wRC+) in a rookie year that was often interrupted by injury, rusty periods following injury, and so on. When he was healthy and recovered from whatever ailment he had been dealing with (as in, ~2 weeks after returning from an IL stint), he was awesome. He seems to have bulked up over the winter, and his swing looks great at the end of that video. Defense aside (I think he'll improve to the point where he's at least playable), what do you expect from him next year? Something like .270/.320/.500 may be a reasonable baseline, but if he stays healthy, I think he's gonna take a massive leap. I wouldn't be surprised if he puts up .280/.340/.560 with 45 home runs (he was on a 41 home run per 162 pace last year), for example. Is that crazy? No it's not crazy at all and frankly you could go even higher in batting average and OBP . As far as what I expect, just being a little more serious while he still maintains the fun he seems to be having. He really does need to improve his fielding but I won't ever expect that to be on the plus side but I'd like him to be average. Hitting I expect him to be more selective and see if the launch angle thing is right for him. He's a lot like Mazara in that he's a line drive hitter who likes to use the whole field and likes to extend his arms so he's vulnerable to low and away because he likes going to the opposite field. But he hits too many hard hit balls for ground outs . Once he starts learning to lay off certain pitches and take more walks I think he's capable of huge power numbers.He's already a very good mistake hitter so force the pitchers into making more mistakes and not go after pitchers pitches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldsox Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 He's our stud. Put him at #4 in the lineup and fill in around him. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poppysox Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Eloy and everybody else in this lineup will be setting personal best in rbi and runs scored. Runners always on base when you get up to bat and someone behind you that can get you in. Third base coach might need rotor cuff surgery.? As far as Eloy HR's...I think 45 sounds right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chitownsportsfan Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 He looks really slim. Good for him. He needs to keep the baby fat off. I can see 280/330/520 this year, which would be just fine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiSoxFanMike Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 .900+ OPS with at least 40 home runs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reiks12 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Judging by his monthly splits I feel that hes going to have a monster year. Definitely can see the early struggle adjusting to MLB pitching, and then the injury in middle of the season. That September was remarkable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCalChiSox Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 .280/.340/.540....maybe WRC+ around 130 or so would be a good year 2 at the plate. Ideally instead of being worth -10 runs in the field if he could cut it to -7 that would be nice. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chitownsportsfan Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 44 minutes ago, SoCalChiSox said: .280/.340/.540....maybe WRC+ around 130 or so would be a good year 2 at the plate. Ideally instead of being worth -10 runs in the field if he could cut it to -7 that would be nice. That and avoiding stupid injuries by being uncoordinated and/or too gung ho at times in left. Just keep shit in front of you, make the plays at the wall and down the line, and let Robert handle the power alley. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ron883 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 I'll be bummed if he isn't an all-star and MVP candidate 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BackDoorBreach Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 .850+ OPS and ~40 bombs. He needs to pull the ball and elevate more. I think his defense improves a tad as well. He was ungodly hot in September, so we should see something closer to that than how he was the first couple months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mmmmmbeeer Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Based on his minor league performance and his 'hot' month in MLB, I'm surprised so many folks have him hitting .280 or under. He's Miggy. I expect him to hit over .300 with at least 35 bombs. Seems with Moncada making HUGE strides last season and Robert on the horizon, the numbers Eloy put up in the minors and late 2019 are being ignored and we're instead focusing on his middling performance when he first came up. The dude is an absolute stud. Same as Moncada and Robert, he was a top 3 prospect in all of MLB. The kid is going to shine brightly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jerksticks Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, mmmmmbeeer said: Based on his minor league performance and his 'hot' month in MLB, I'm surprised so many folks have him hitting .280 or under. He's Miggy. I expect him to hit over .300 with at least 35 bombs. Seems with Moncada making HUGE strides last season and Robert on the horizon, the numbers Eloy put up in the minors and late 2019 are being ignored and we're instead focusing on his middling performance when he first came up. The dude is an absolute stud. Same as Moncada and Robert, he was a top 3 prospect in all of MLB. The kid is going to shine brightly. Hell yea. Keep the talkins comin! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TomPickle Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 .275/.335/.525 with a wRC+ of ~125 I expect him to be in a close competition between he, Yoan, and Encarnacion to be the best hitter on the White Sox. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
he gone. Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 I'll leave a specific power prediction out of it since I think that may be determined by the baseball this year ... However, I am going to put a bit of pressure on Eloy & go .315BA, 350OBP, 95RBI. I think HR should be in the 25-35 range. That's expecting a lot -- but looking at this career MiLB numbers? I don't think we scratched the surface last year. Also, I want to see less strikeouts and more doubles - let's say 30 doubles and the same 134k's over a full 150 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SonofaRoache Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 34 minutes ago, BrianAnderson said: I'll leave a specific power prediction out of it since I think that may be determined by the baseball this year ... However, I am going to put a bit of pressure on Eloy & go .315BA, 350OBP, 95RBI. I think HR should be in the 25-35 range. That's expecting a lot -- but looking at this career MiLB numbers? I don't think we scratched the surface last year. Also, I want to see less strikeouts and more doubles - let's say 30 doubles and the same 134k's over a full 150 games. I agree with this, but remember he only played 120 games or so last year. So I think he can still get to 30-35 homers. I'd like to see a .330 ish OBP and 860-890 ish OPS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BackDoorBreach Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 He hit 31 last year while being injured a ton of games. 25-30 HRs would be a huge power outage. Even if they change the ball it's not going to really effect players like Eloy with legitimate power too greatly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squirmin' for Yermin Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 I will predict .300/.350/.900. 35 HR. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soxfan49 Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 Slightly improved defense, 42 homers, participates in the HR Derby but does not win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EloyJenkins Posted January 30, 2020 Share Posted January 30, 2020 (edited) 288/340/590 45 hrs, 45 doubles, 102 RBIs and some very sketchy defense Edited January 30, 2020 by EloyJenkins 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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