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2021 MLB Draft Thread


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1 hour ago, GreenSox said:

If those were first round picks, that would be an unimpressive track record.  Collins was a first round pick and is, as of now, a bust.

He is on a major league roster contributing to a playoff team.  He might not be where you want him, but it is hard to call someone on a major league roster a draft bust.

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35 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

He is on a major league roster contributing to a playoff team.  He might not be where you want him, but it is hard to call someone on a major league roster a draft bust.

Carson Fulmer and his career -.8 WAR was on a team a few weeks ago.

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4 hours ago, southsider2k5 said:

He is on a major league roster contributing to a playoff team.  He might not be where you want him, but it is hard to call someone on a major league roster a draft bust.

If a .614 career OPS for any player, much less for a first-round pick in the top 1/2 of the draft, isn't a bust, then nothing is.

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12 minutes ago, GreenSox said:

If a .614 career OPS for any player, much less for a first-round pick in the top 1/2 of the draft, isn't a bust, then nothing is.

As opposed to a guy like Riley Pint was was drafted #4 in the same draft and never made it past High A?  

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3 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

If there is no difference between Riley Pint and Zack Collins in your definitions, then your world view is overly simplistic.

While there is a difference, at the end of the day neither player is good at the major league level. 

I'd say that never making the bigs is too narrow of a view for "bust" though. 

Pint was also always injured, and that ate away at his stuff slowly to the point that it's not MLB quality anymore. 

Edited by Jack Parkman
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17 hours ago, Jack Parkman said:

While there is a difference, at the end of the day neither player is good at the major league level. 

I'd say that never making the bigs is too narrow of a view for "bust" though. 

Pint was also always injured, and that ate away at his stuff slowly to the point that it's not MLB quality anymore. 

Zack Collins has retained some value for longer and is very possible he could be traded for something like a middle reliever or other player. Pint can't be traded for anyone as he is retired.

There should be some sort of "retained value" metric, because if a guy is good enough to be tried out in the majors even if he sucks it means he has retained some value throughout their minors, even if it would only be a C prospect, that is more value than a guy that is washed out in Single-A. 

Any attempt to value a draft should really try to break that out.

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Latest mock from prospects live

22. Chicago White Sox
Colson Montgomery, SS, Southridge

The White Sox have had a number of names circled for some time now. College pitchers like Gavin Williams and Ty Madden are popular inside the organization, as are prep infielders like Wes Kath and Maxwell Muncy. Ultimately, we’ve got Rick Hahn and Co. selecting the Indiana prep shortstop at 22. Montgomery has a beautiful blend of athleticism, impact and projection in his physical 6-foot-4 frame. Many believe he’ll stick at shortstop long-term where the value of his bat will play way up. There’s the potential of an above average hit and above average power here, something that’s awfully difficult to find at the position. 

57. Chicago White Sox    
Chase Burns, RHP, Station Camp    

Burns is a bit of a divisive prospect in scouting circles. Some teams have him a first round grade, while others have him valued outside of the fitth round. The White Sox like him quite a bit and were he to fall this far, they'd likely have no problem scooping him up. He's been up to 98 but generally sits 93-96 with a four distinct pitches. The curveball and slider melt together at times, but it's a big body with feel for spin.

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16 minutes ago, beautox said:

Latest mock from prospects live

22. Chicago White Sox
Colson Montgomery, SS, Southridge

The White Sox have had a number of names circled for some time now. College pitchers like Gavin Williams and Ty Madden are popular inside the organization, as are prep infielders like Wes Kath and Maxwell Muncy. Ultimately, we’ve got Rick Hahn and Co. selecting the Indiana prep shortstop at 22. Montgomery has a beautiful blend of athleticism, impact and projection in his physical 6-foot-4 frame. Many believe he’ll stick at shortstop long-term where the value of his bat will play way up. There’s the potential of an above average hit and above average power here, something that’s awfully difficult to find at the position. 

57. Chicago White Sox    
Chase Burns, RHP, Station Camp    

Burns is a bit of a divisive prospect in scouting circles. Some teams have him a first round grade, while others have him valued outside of the fitth round. The White Sox like him quite a bit and were he to fall this far, they'd likely have no problem scooping him up. He's been up to 98 but generally sits 93-96 with a four distinct pitches. The curveball and slider melt together at times, but it's a big body with feel for spin.

This is the first I've seen on Montgomery sticking at SS.

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23 hours ago, GreenSox said:

If a .614 career OPS for any player, much less for a first-round pick in the top 1/2 of the draft, isn't a bust, then nothing is.

He has like 250 career plate appearances so his ops means nothing. 

 

General consensus is that your stats don't mean much until you have 700-800 career plate appreances. Mike trout had a sub 700 Ops his first 150 plate appreances. 

 

Obviously trout was way younger so that doesn't really compare but still you can't call someone with less than a half season worth of PAs a bust. 

It is a little disappointing that it took so long to arrive in the majors but I would mostly blame the front office that they didn't force giving collins (who has a 840 minors career ops) 450 PAs in the meaningless 2019 season and instead played 30 yo McCann (who was great but not the future of the team). 

 

Edited by Dominikk85
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Callis mock.

https://www.mlb.com/news/mock-mlb-draft-2021-june-9?t=mlb-draft-coverage

Quote

22. White Sox: Colson Montgomery, 3B, Southridge HS (Huntingburg, Ind.)
The White Sox are associated with several prep position players. It's no secret that they're on Montgomery, and they also like catcher Joe Mack and second baseman Peyton Stovall.

 

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1 hour ago, Harold's Leg Lift said:

There is a ton of hype around Montgomery right now.  He's facing a DUDE on saturday.  It will be interesting as hell to see how much hype is around him after this one.  

I noticed he was mentioned at 10 with the Mets in Callis' mock. That would be a wild amount of helium.

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Quote

Ht: 6-6 | Wt: 255 | B-T: L-R
Commit/Drafted: Rays '17 (30)
Age At Draft: 22.0

Rank: 67

Preseason Report: One of the hardest-throwing pitchers in the 2020 draft class (he ranked No. 81), Williams looks the part of a big league pitcher with a massive, 6-foot-6, 255-pound frame and a fastball to match. At his best he has touched 100-101 mph and should again be right at the top of the hardest-throwing arms in the 2021 draft class. He gets to that velocity with ease in the delivery and has good natural feel to spin a breaking ball with flashes of an above-average changeup. Considering the pure stuff, Williams’ upside is tremendous. What holds him back is his control and a few minor injuries that have hampered him throughout his career at ECU. There’s plenty of reliever risk, but those who like him will likely give him a shot to start considering his delivery, size and three-pitch mix. Williams has been primarily used as a reliever with the Pirates, and over three seasons he has thrown 68 innings while posting a 3.57 ERA, striking out 70 batters (9.3 per nine) and walking 32 (4.2 per nine). Williams could rank significantly higher than this with a healthy and strong spring.

 

Edited by DirtySox
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Is it just me or are there a lotta big boys this draft? I feel like in 2030 there will be some 6'2 second baseman we are all calling a nick madrigal type because the rest of the players will be 6'6 or taller.

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