Look at Ray Ray Run Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said: Trump up in North Carolina now It's getting bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buehrle>Wood Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) Looks like a blow out win for Trump. He found a lot of new voters. Well of course as soon as I post trump goes from -800 to -300. Edited November 4, 2020 by Buehrle>Wood 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 I haven't sat down to calculate the numbers, but doesn't Biden still win with WI/MI/PA and then Arizona? Or he still needs ME and NE single electors? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chisoxfn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 33 minutes ago, Tony said: Thus far........it really feels like 2016 all over again Said it numerous times - the whole world has implied anyone that votes for Trump is a racist ahole; thus people keep their trump card very close to the chest and it is very difficult to get good data on it. Just like 4 years ago - it continues to look better and better for Trump. In general - not seeing much signs of a blue wave. I don't give a rip about the blue wave - cause I"m not a democrat...but I do care about getting us a blue president. I'd actually prefer a temporary blue wave just so I can get some real stimulus (even if I won't fully agree with the method - our economy needs it and it will only happen with that). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 You add in CA, OR, WA, NV, you get to Biden 221. WI/MI/PA=46 That's 267 Not counting Arizona. Not counting Iowa. Not counting 2 from ME/NE that could go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soxbadger Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Tony said: If I'm looking at this right, Biden can win Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Iowa......and still lose Ohio and Penn while claiming an electoral college victory He needs Penn, he wont win all of WI, MI, IA. But PA is acting normal big dem parts are coming in slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Look at Ray Ray Run Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden down to +220. At least now we're holding a ++ position @Chicago White Sox Let's goooo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 And that +25% for Biden in Minnesota....that has to have some correlation at least with how WI eventually goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danny Dravot Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Chisoxfn said: Said it numerous times - the whole world has implied anyone that votes for Trump is a racist ahole; thus people keep their trump card very close to the chest and it is very difficult to get good data on it. Just like 4 years ago - it continues to look better and better for Trump. In general - not seeing much signs of a blue wave. I don't give a rip about the blue wave - cause I"m not a democrat...but I do care about getting us a blue president. I'd actually prefer a temporary blue wave just so I can get some real stimulus (even if I won't fully agree with the method - our economy needs it and it will only happen with that). I agree with a lot of this. Looks like Trump will win Texas, but I would have been thrilled if Trump lost Texas but Cornyn won. Trump would go away and any honest reflection would tell President Biden that he’s only there because he’s not Trump- no progressive mandate, just a bit of calm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) If you substitute Iowa's 6 for let's say Michigan's 16... And Biden wins AZ/WI/PA... That gets you to 268... Wisconsin is already closing the gap, down to Trump still up 1.7% with 35% reporting. Edited November 4, 2020 by caulfield12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 PA 32% in, but only 18% of it is early vote, projected to get to 45% when done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 If Biden/Cunningham both lose in NC, that makes it increasingly unlikely that you flip the Senate. Graham already won quite easily in SC, despite being in a race with record-setting fundraising for Harrison. Same with Ossoff in GA, KY for McGrath, spending doesn't equate to victory (or Ted Cruz's Senate race last cycle), Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chisoxfn Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, caulfield12 said: If you substitute Iowa's 6 for let's say Michigan's 16... And Biden wins AZ/WI/PA... That gets you to 268... Wisconsin is already closing the gap, down to Trump still up 1.7% with 35% reporting. He is not getting Iowa. I don't think it will happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Pittburgh also barely counted in PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, Chisoxfn said: He is not getting Iowa. I don't think it will happen. All those farm subsidies and Christian fundamentalists holding strong in western part of state I guess...it's crazy a state that voted twice for Obama (including caucuses) voted for Trump last time at 8-9% or whatever the final tally turned out to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mqr Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The whole thing was it needed to be unarguable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soxbadger Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Pittburgh also barely counted in PA. Its reverse NC/OH, Trump needs a huge early lead. I think youll see similar in WI/MI. Hoping for a split with Biden takkmg PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jose Abreu Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, mqr said: The whole thing was it needed to be unarguable. Yup, no matter what the actual results of the election are, tonight is a win for Trump so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Really curious about what votes are in so far in the upper midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 MI is also current vote heavy. 17% of count is early vote, expected to be 55% when done. Nothing really counted in the big cities of early vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Soxbadger Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, southsider2k5 said: Really curious about what votes are in so far in the upper midwest. Historically Madison/ Milwaukee come in late. Biden may be down some because if there are less students at UW due to covid hed miss out on those votes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 WI 40 % in, MIlwaukee only 28%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Look at Ray Ray Run Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Market is settling around -250/+200. A little bit of better news than that -500 fire storms from earlier. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Right now, looks like you gain AZ (Kelly), maybe Iowa (Greenfield over Ernst), Bullock/Daines and Collins/Gideon races just have no idea how to call them. Hickenlooper over Gardner the only flip for sure and in the books so far. Cunningham's scandal might be the tipping point there in NC, Cooper wins governorship but perhaps Trump the state overall by a few points. Very easily ends up 50/50 tie in the Senate the way things are looking right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) Arizona update hasn't changed in what seems like 30 minutes after originally showing up with such a high percentage already in...also, looks like Georgia is going to join the crowd with WI/MI/PA of counting into the night and subsequent days. Edited November 4, 2020 by caulfield12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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