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07/31 - A's @ White Sox, 1:10 PM CT


Quin

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2 minutes ago, Heads22 said:

Padres just took a 1-0 lead on Minnesota. Could be 2 GB by dinner.

Manaea has been pitching like crap, the Padres are gonna need a few more runs to win that one. 

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7 hours ago, CaliSoxFanViaSWside said:

With a win today the Sox can finish July 15-11 . Need to do better in August. Much better. Let's see if we are getting any help .

My priorities 2 LH bats . Sox could've won a lot more games with a few more runs and HR's. However, never can have enough pitching.

Going all Jay Cuda on you here. In games where the Sox and their opponent scores 5 or less runs, ( What I call Hockey score games) the Sox are 30-17 . There obviously can't be any 5-5 ties so all scores are of the 5-4, 4-3 ,3-1, 4-0 ( you get the picture) nature. Home Record in these games is 14-10, Road Record 16-7 , so even with the crap defense and crap hitting the Sox are at their best winning low scoring games. That means the pitching is carrying them to wins despite what we are seeing from Lucas, Lynn, the departed Keuchel and the up and down BP

In any game where the Sox or the opponent score 6+ runs the Sox are 20-33 . This is where the Sox lose a lot of run differential and games.

So the hitting and pitching is good enough to win low scoring games but when the pitching is bad the Sox don't have nearly enough offense to make up for it. Higher scoring games the Sox lose often. Basically means the Sox need more offense and more pitching but we all feel better scoring more runs keeping games close, balancing the line up and hitting more bombs.

If Gavin Sheets and Jake Burger are you leading HR's hitters at home you are in big trouble. You have offensive problems at home and also means Sheets and Burger have hit no home runs on the road yet our home record sucks and our road record is OK. Losing at home  is basically all on the cores inability to hit at home especially HR's.

Before I did all this I have been insisting the Sox get 2 more LH bats, 1 starter and 1 more reliever and the core has to do better. Tall order for a team that probably doesn't have enough pieces to get 4 decent players and you would think if getting 4 pieces was going to happen they would have got at least 1 of them by now. If they want to improve this year they have to play the rental market. They can't afford anyone with an extra year.

Maybe you can do without an Ian Happ but only if the Sox can get Joey Wendle , Martin Perez and a good LH BP piece like Matt Moore and better hitting from the core. Then just hang in there long enough to see if Colas can give the Sox better defense and more LH pop especially at home if he can continue to produce in the minors and come up Sept. 12.

Happ and Perez would cost the most. Eliminate Happ.  If the Sox are going to make a trade for starting pitching Castillo is gone and Perez is the best available SP the Sox can realistically afford. It won't be Rodon, Montas, Mahle or Syndergaard because they don't have the pieces to get them and Perez has been better than all those guys along with pitching great against the Astros, Rays and Mariners. No starts against the Yankees.

It would also prevent Minnesota from possibly trading for him. Perez also instantly becomes your #2 starter behind Cease. Despite what anyone thinks of his career before this year he's been almost as good as Cease has been this year, 2.52 ERA and 3.07 FIP. Snagging him as a rental could hurt.

With the upcoming 3 game suspension Wendle can fill in at SS .Otherwise he would be the strong side of a platoon with Harrison . This also take away AB's from Leury.

 

Excellent analysis.

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33 minutes ago, chw42 said:

It wasn't a pretty 2 wins, but with the team kinda struggling offensively, you'll gladly take 2 out of 3. Especially at home, where they've been god awful this year. 

At least we hit some home runs. Left some runs on the table.  Sevy looked a lot better than Grandal.  No moreGrandal hitting 5 th please.

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7 hours ago, Heads22 said:

When Liam falls behind 3-1 you know the fastball is coming and he's gonna challenge you to hit it

He needs to make better pitches than a flat fastball down the middle when he goes 3-1.  Even if he walks a few guys doing it.  Since he walks almost no one.  A hittable fastball is like giving in to the batter.

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