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Who we selling before the deadline?


ron883

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1 hour ago, Balta1701 said:

There are problems with LA though. 

1. Gavin Lux will be back. While he can play some 2b, and they're experts at moving people around, they also did want to move him to SS.

2. The Dodgers clearly made a decision this year to save money and to give experience to younger players. They may very well not want to move their younger players right now.

3. The Dodgers got themselves down to a point where they're just $14 million or so over the Tax line according to Spotrac. I'm not sure if they will be factoring anything like an insurance payout (they have multiple guys out for the season), or any adjustments due to Bauer, but if they were, they might have a shot at getting out of the multi-year repeater luxury tax penalties. That could be super huge before Ohtani hits FA. They seemed to be very particular in the level they spent to last offseason, so I'm wondering if they're able to count something that puts them under. They may very well not be adding any money this July.

Again the Dodgers have zero shortstops. Tim would be a huge addition and they don't have to eat that much money on Tim's salary. They won't miss a few top prospects because every year they have one of the best ranked farm systems year in and year out because they know how to scout, draft and develop young prospects...hence why they recruited away Andrew Friedman.

You can move Gavin Lux to SS, but he doesn't compare anywhere near the hitting production of TA. 

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Yesterday's game thread is closed, but this is worth putting somewhere to keep an eye on.

Lance Lynn has now had 5 starts this season. There should be substantial concern about his arm strength and losing velocity, and if this team does reach a point of selling this will be a major issue for suitors.

He is currently averaging 92.1 mph on his 4 seam fastball this month. The last time Lynn had a month where he had an average fastball that low was in April of 2017, his first month back from Tommy John surgery, which makes this a pretty obvious issue to note.

In 2017 through 2019, his fastball did improve month to month during the season, but 2021-2022 it did not. In 2018 and 2019, his fastball also improved during April, with a velocity >1 mph better at the end of April than at the start - that has not been the case here in 2023, in fact his first start had his best average fastball and his last start was down from that.

His average fastball sat at 94 mph when he was really good in 2020-2021, it was 92.9 when he struggled more in 2022 coming back from injury. He is thus down basically a full 2 mph on his fastball, from league average to well below average, over the past 2 years.

The other major factor in his down performance this year has been his walk rate, which has skyrocketed. That may well improve, but so far over the first 5 starts there's no sign that his fastball is improving.

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