caulfield12 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds A’s at least at 1.5%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TitoMB345 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 We did it! Eliminated by April 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Hurtin Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 What? I’m not seeing Jim Carrey anywhere in here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Green Line Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Who care. These numbers are made up 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KipWellsFan Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 4 minutes ago, Green Line said: Who care. These numbers are made up Not made up: "To generate the playoff odds, we take the current standings, the remaining schedule, and each team's projected performance. We use those inputs to simulate the remaining season 20,000 times. We aggregate these outcomes to find the probability of winning the division or a Wild Card spot, along with winning the World Series and various playoff rounds. If a team has a 90% chance to make the playoffs it means that 18,000 out of the 20,000 simulated seasons end with the team making the playoffs." MLB Playoff Odds | FanGraphs Baseball Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chitownsportsfan Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 26 minutes ago, KipWellsFan said: Not made up: "To generate the playoff odds, we take the current standings, the remaining schedule, and each team's projected performance. We use those inputs to simulate the remaining season 20,000 times. We aggregate these outcomes to find the probability of winning the division or a Wild Card spot, along with winning the World Series and various playoff rounds. If a team has a 90% chance to make the playoffs it means that 18,000 out of the 20,000 simulated seasons end with the team making the playoffs." MLB Playoff Odds | FanGraphs Baseball They say if the concept of infinity exists then eventually apes will type out Macbeth. I'd assume eventually the White Sox would also win a playoff series. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyyle23 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 52 minutes ago, Green Line said: Who care. These numbers are made up Do you believe they are exaggerated or incorrect Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 1 hour ago, Green Line said: Who care. These numbers are made up Me care. Number bad. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Green Line Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 4 hours ago, Kyyle23 said: Do you believe they are exaggerated or incorrect Exaggerated. Theyre always wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted April 2 Author Share Posted April 2 1 hour ago, Green Line said: Exaggerated. Theyre always wrong. But they pretty accurately capture a given moment in time based on up to date results and their proprietary assessment of body of work/rigid statistical analysis...but not necessarily what will happen in the future. A bit like in-game win loss probabilities displayed on the screen. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 5 hours ago, Green Line said: Exaggerated. Theyre always wrong. They aren't wrong. They are probabilities based on specific points in time and historic models. It is stats 101. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wegner Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Suck it Vegas odds makers 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted April 3 Author Share Posted April 3 Those three teams (from thread title)...along with the A's (1.1%), are the ONLY ones with less than 10% odds of making the playoffs as of current moment. Marlins 11.1% Angels 14.6% Royals 14.4% 1-5 Astros still are predicted for first place in the AL West, for example. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Falstaff Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 (edited) So you're saying the Sox have a chance, EXCELLENT Edited April 3 by Falstaff Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoxAce Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 We still have a chance! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 39 minutes ago, SoxAce said: We still have a chance! That's what they get for loading up on former White Sox players Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted April 4 Author Share Posted April 4 8 hours ago, southsider2k5 said: That's what they get for loading up on former White Sox players The 2021 Braves? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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